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Reasons to believe in a tempting tech ETF

Reasons to believe in a tempting tech ETF

相信诱人的科技ETF的理由
Benzinga Real-time News ·  2020/09/15 12:24

The darling technology sector took some lumps earlier this month, but consensus wisdom appears to be that was a mere blip and the group will get its groove back if it's not already doing so.

本月早些时候,达林科技板块遭遇了一些挫折,但普遍的看法似乎是,这只是昙花一现,如果该集团还没有恢复最佳状态,它将重新回到最佳状态。

What Happened

怎么了

Of course, that would be beneficial to the Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3X Shares (NYSE:TECL), which is one of the premier leveraged plays on the largest sector in the S&P 500.

当然,这将有利于Direxion Daily科技牛市3X股纽约证券交易所代码:技术),这是标准普尔500指数中最大板块的主要杠杆交易之一。

TECL tries to deliver triple the daily performance of the Technology Select Sector Index, essentially making the Direxion exchange traded fund a geared play on Apple, Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) and Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT) because those stocks combine for over 44% of the Technology Select Sector Index.

Tecl试图交付将每日业绩提高三倍科技精选行业指数(Technology Select Sector Index),实质上使Direxion交易所交易基金(ETF)成为苹果公司(纳斯达克:AAPL)和微软公司(纳斯达克:MSFT)因为这些股票加起来占科技精选板块指数的44%以上。

Why It's Important

为什么它很重要

When the technology sector hits bumps in the road, inevitably, there are calls that the 2000 tech wreck is going to repeat. Should that happen, TECL, predictably, would be a disastrous ETF to be holding. Fortunately, a 2000 sequel isn't brewing.

当科技行业在道路上遇到颠簸时,不可避免的是,2000年的科技灾难将会重演。不出所料,如果出现这种情况,Tecl持有的ETF将是一只灾难性的ETF。幸运的是,2000年的续集并没有酝酿之中。

“When we compare the most recent run-up in IT to its counterpart from 20 years ago, we observe that the current relative outperformance of the sector is much less extreme than during the late 1990s,” notes S&P Dow Jones Indices. “Moreover, the relative volatility of the IT sector was much higher then (December 1996-December 2000) than it is now, with an annualized standard deviation of daily relative returns of 23%—almost two and a half times the current period’s standard deviation of 9.5% (December 2016-August 2020).”

“当我们将IT行业最近的一次上涨与20年前的同行进行比较时,我们观察到,该行业目前的相对优异表现远没有上世纪90年代末那么极端。”标普道琼斯指数。“而且,当时(1996年12月-2000年12月)IT行业的相对波动性远高于现在,每日相对收益的年化标准差为23%--几乎是本期标准差9.5%(2016年12月-2020年8月)的2.5倍.”

The 2000 bursting of the tech bubble washed out an array of flimsy companies. However, it's not a stretch to say that while the sector won't move up in a straight line, components in TECL's underlying index are far stronger today than they were two decades ago.

2000年科技泡沫的破裂冲走了一批脆弱的公司。然而,可以毫不夸张地说,尽管该板块不会直线上升,但Tecl基础指数中的成分股今天比20年前要强劲得多。

What's Next

下一步是什么?

There is, of course, something to that strength, which is derived in large part from significant economic moats and fortress-like balance sheets. Additionally, that strength can augur well for reduced volatility with TECL.

当然,这种实力也有一定的原因,这在很大程度上来自于重要的经济护城河和堡垒般的资产负债表。此外,这种强势可能是Tecl波动性降低的好兆头。

“In 1999 and the present, IT had a strong tilt toward momentum and high beta and a tilt away from value,” according to S&P Dow Jones. “However, one of the main differences between now and then is that IT currently has much stronger tilts toward quality and low volatility than it did in 1999. This suggests that the companies within the current IT sector are both more profitable and less volatile now than they were 20 years ago.”

根据标普道琼斯的说法,“在1999年和现在,IT强烈倾向于发展势头和高贝塔系数,并偏离价值。”“然而,现在和那时的主要区别之一是,目前,它对质量的倾向性要强得多。与1999年相比,波动性更低。这表明,与20年前相比,目前IT行业的公司利润更高,波动性也更小。“

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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