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Is Shanghai Huayi Group (SHSE:600623) Using Too Much Debt?

Is Shanghai Huayi Group (SHSE:600623) Using Too Much Debt?

上海华谊集团(上海证券交易所代码:600623)是否使用了过多的债务?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/11 23:24

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Shanghai Huayi Group Corporation Limited (SHSE:600623) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

传奇基金经理Li·Lu曾说过,最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久性的资本损失。因此,当你考虑到任何一只股票的风险有多大时,你需要考虑债务可能是显而易见的,因为太多的债务可能会让一家公司倒闭。重要的是上海华谊集团有限公司(上海证券交易所:600623)确实背负着债务。但更重要的问题是:这笔债务造成了多大的风险?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务会带来什么风险?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

一般来说,只有当一家公司无法轻松偿还债务时,债务才会成为一个真正的问题,无论是通过筹集资金还是用自己的现金流。如果情况真的变得很糟糕,贷款人可以控制业务。尽管这并不常见,但我们确实经常看到负债累累的公司永久性地稀释股东的权益,因为贷款人迫使他们以令人沮丧的价格筹集资金。当然,在企业中,债务可以是一个重要的工具,特别是资本密集型企业。在考虑一家公司的债务水平时,第一步是同时考虑其现金和债务。

See our latest analysis for Shanghai Huayi Group

查看我们对上海华谊集团的最新分析

What Is Shanghai Huayi Group's Debt?

上海华谊集团的债务是什么?

As you can see below, at the end of June 2023, Shanghai Huayi Group had CN¥12.3b of debt, up from CN¥10.2b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. But it also has CN¥15.0b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥2.67b net cash.

如下所示,截至2023年6月底,上海华谊集团的债务为人民币123亿元,高于一年前的人民币102亿元。单击图像了解更多详细信息。但它也有人民币150亿元的现金来抵消,这意味着它有人民币26.7亿元的净现金。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:600623 Debt to Equity History October 12th 2023
上证综指:600623债转股历史2023年10月12日

A Look At Shanghai Huayi Group's Liabilities

上海华谊集团负债情况一瞥

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Shanghai Huayi Group had liabilities of CN¥23.9b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥9.57b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥15.0b and CN¥4.60b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥13.9b.

从最近的资产负债表可以看到,上海华谊集团有239亿元人民币的负债在一年内到期,还有95.7亿元人民币的负债在一年内到期。另一方面,它有150亿加元的现金和46亿元的应收账款在一年内到期。因此,它的负债超过了现金和(近期)应收账款的总和139亿元。

Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of CN¥12.6b, we think shareholders really should watch Shanghai Huayi Group's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price. Given that Shanghai Huayi Group has more cash than debt, we're pretty confident it can handle its debt, despite the fact that it has a lot of liabilities in total. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Shanghai Huayi Group will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

鉴于这一赤字实际上高于该公司126亿元的市值,我们认为股东们真的应该关注上海华谊集团的债务水平,就像父母第一次看孩子骑车一样。假设,如果该公司被迫通过以当前股价筹集资金来偿还债务,将需要极大的稀释。考虑到上海华谊集团的现金多于债务,我们相当有信心它有能力处理债务,尽管它总共有很多负债。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中了解到的债务最多。但你不能完全孤立地看待债务,因为上海华谊集团需要盈利来偿还债务。因此,如果你热衷于了解更多关于它的收益,可能值得查看一下它的长期收益趋势图。

Over 12 months, Shanghai Huayi Group saw its revenue hold pretty steady, and it did not report positive earnings before interest and tax. While that hardly impresses, its not too bad either.

在过去的12个月里,上海华谊集团的收入相当稳定,没有公布正的息税前收益。虽然这不会给人留下深刻的印象,但也不算太糟糕。

So How Risky Is Shanghai Huayi Group?

那么,上海华谊集团的风险有多大呢?

Although Shanghai Huayi Group had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last twelve months, it made a statutory profit of CN¥523m. So when you consider it has net cash, along with the statutory profit, the stock probably isn't as risky as it might seem, at least in the short term. Given the lack of transparency around future revenue (and cashflow), we're nervous about this one, until it makes its first big sales. To us, it is a high risk play. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 3 warning signs with Shanghai Huayi Group , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

尽管上海华谊集团在过去12个月中出现息税前利润(EBIT)亏损,但它实现了5.23亿元的法定利润。因此,当你考虑到它有净现金和法定利润时,它的股票风险可能并不像看起来那样高,至少在短期内是这样。考虑到未来收入(和现金流)缺乏透明度,我们对这款产品感到紧张,直到它做出第一笔大销售。对我们来说,这是一场高风险的比赛。当你分析债务时,资产负债表显然是你关注的领域。然而,并非所有投资风险都存在于资产负债表中--远非如此。我们已经确定了三个警告信号与上海华谊集团合作,了解他们应该是你投资过程的一部分。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

如果你对一家增长迅速、资产负债表坚如磐石的公司更感兴趣,那么请立即查看我们的净现金成长型股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

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