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Arthur J. Gallagher's (NYSE:AJG) Investors Will Be Pleased With Their Strong 253% Return Over the Last Five Years

Arthur J. Gallagher's (NYSE:AJG) Investors Will Be Pleased With Their Strong 253% Return Over the Last Five Years

亚瑟·加拉格尔(纽约证券交易所代码:AJG)的投资者将对过去五年253%的强劲回报率感到满意
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/12 15:47

The worst result, after buying shares in a company (assuming no leverage), would be if you lose all the money you put in. But when you pick a company that is really flourishing, you can make more than 100%. For example, the Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (NYSE:AJG) share price has soared 228% in the last half decade. Most would be very happy with that. Meanwhile the share price is 2.3% higher than it was a week ago.

最糟糕的结果是,在购买了一家公司的股票后(假设没有杠杆),你投入的所有资金都会亏损。但当你选择一家真正蓬勃发展的公司时,你可以制作超过100%。例如,阿瑟·J·加拉格尔公司(纽约证券交易所代码:AJG)股价在过去五年里飙升了228%。大多数人会对此感到非常高兴。与此同时,该公司股价较一周前上涨了2.3%。

Now it's worth having a look at the company's fundamentals too, because that will help us determine if the long term shareholder return has matched the performance of the underlying business.

现在也有必要看看该公司的基本面,因为这将有助于我们确定长期股东回报是否与基础业务的表现相匹配。

View our latest analysis for Arthur J. Gallagher

查看我们对Arthur J.Gallagher的最新分析

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

不可否认,市场有时是有效的,但价格并不总是反映潜在的商业表现。评估围绕一家公司的情绪变化的一个有缺陷但合理的方法是将每股收益(EPS)与股价进行比较。

During five years of share price growth, Arthur J. Gallagher achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 10% per year. This EPS growth is slower than the share price growth of 27% per year, over the same period. So it's fair to assume the market has a higher opinion of the business than it did five years ago. That's not necessarily surprising considering the five-year track record of earnings growth. This optimism is visible in its fairly high P/E ratio of 45.51.

在股价增长的五年中,Arthur J.Gallagher实现了每股收益(EPS)每年10%的复合增长。这一每股收益的增长速度低于同期27%的股价增速。因此,可以公平地认为,市场对这项业务的看法比五年前更高。考虑到五年来盈利增长的记录,这并不一定令人惊讶。这种乐观情绪从其45.51的相当高的市盈率中可见一斑。

The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下图显示了EPS是如何随着时间的推移进行跟踪的(如果您点击该图像,您可以看到更多详细信息)。

earnings-per-share-growth
NYSE:AJG Earnings Per Share Growth October 12th 2023
纽约证券交易所:AJG每股收益增长2023年10月12日

This free interactive report on Arthur J. Gallagher's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

免费如果你想进一步研究股票,关于Arthur J.Gallagher的收益、收入和现金流的互动报告是一个很好的起点。

What About Dividends?

那股息呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for Arthur J. Gallagher the TSR over the last 5 years was 253%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

除了衡量股价回报外,投资者还应考虑总股东回报(TSR)。TSR是一种回报计算,计入了现金股息的价值(假设收到的任何股息都进行了再投资),以及任何贴现融资和剥离的计算价值。因此,对于支付丰厚股息的公司来说,TSR往往比股价回报高得多。我们注意到,对于Arthur J.Gallagher来说,过去5年的TSR为253%,这比上面提到的股价回报率要好。而且,猜测股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种差异是没有好处的!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

It's nice to see that Arthur J. Gallagher shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 33% over the last year. That's including the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 29% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Arthur J. Gallagher that you should be aware of.

很高兴看到Arthur J.Gallagher的股东在过去一年中获得了33%的总股东回报。这还包括股息。由于一年期的TSR好于五年期的TSR(后者的年收益率为29%),看起来该股的表现在最近有所改善。在最好的情况下,这可能暗示着一些真正的商业势头,意味着现在可能是深入研究的好时机。我发现,把股价作为衡量企业业绩的长期指标是非常有趣的。但为了真正获得洞察力,我们还需要考虑其他信息。例如,我们已经确定对亚瑟·J·加拉格尔的3个警告信号这一点你应该知道。

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).

如果你喜欢和管理层一起买股票,那么你可能会喜欢这本书免费公司名单。(提示:内部人士一直在买入这些股票)。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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