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Those Who Invested in Celanese (NYSE:CE) a Year Ago Are up 33%

Those Who Invested in Celanese (NYSE:CE) a Year Ago Are up 33%

一年前投资塞拉尼斯(纽约证券交易所代码:CE)的人上涨了33%
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/13 08:38

Passive investing in index funds can generate returns that roughly match the overall market. But if you pick the right individual stocks, you could make more than that. To wit, the Celanese Corporation (NYSE:CE) share price is 30% higher than it was a year ago, much better than the market return of around 16% (not including dividends) in the same period. That's a solid performance by our standards! However, the longer term returns haven't been so impressive, with the stock up just 1.1% in the last three years.

被动投资指数基金可以产生与整体市场大致相当的回报。但如果你选择了正确的个股,你可以赚得更多。也就是说,塞拉尼斯公司(纽约证券交易所股票代码:CE)股价比一年前高出30%,远好于同期约16%的市场回报率(不包括股息)。以我们的标准来看,这是一场坚实的表演!然而,较长期的回报并不是那么令人印象深刻,该股在过去三年中仅上涨了1.1%。

Let's take a look at the underlying fundamentals over the longer term, and see if they've been consistent with shareholders returns.

让我们来看看较长期的基本基本面,看看它们是否与股东回报一致。

See our latest analysis for Celanese

查看我们对塞拉尼斯的最新分析

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

用巴菲特的话说,“船只将在世界各地航行,但平坦的地球协会将蓬勃发展。市场上的价格和价值之间将继续存在巨大的差异……”通过比较每股收益(EPS)和股价随时间的变化,我们可以感受到投资者对一家公司的态度随着时间的推移发生了怎样的变化。

Over the last twelve months, Celanese actually shrank its EPS by 36%.

在过去的12个月里,塞拉尼斯的每股收益实际上缩水了36%。

Given the share price gain, we doubt the market is measuring progress with EPS. Therefore, it seems likely that investors are putting more weight on metrics other than EPS, at the moment.

考虑到股价的上涨,我们怀疑市场是否在衡量每股收益的进展。因此,目前投资者似乎更看重每股收益以外的其他指标。

However the year on year revenue growth of 7.7% would help. Many businesses do go through a phase where they have to forgo some profits to drive business development, and sometimes its for the best.

然而,7.7%的同比收入增长将有所帮助。许多企业确实经历了一个阶段,他们不得不放弃一些利润来推动业务发展,有时这是最好的。

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下图描述了收益和收入随时间的变化(通过单击图像来揭示确切的价值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NYSE:CE Earnings and Revenue Growth October 13th 2023
纽约证券交易所:CE收益和收入增长2023年10月13日

We like that insiders have been buying shares in the last twelve months. Having said that, most people consider earnings and revenue growth trends to be a more meaningful guide to the business. You can see what analysts are predicting for Celanese in this interactive graph of future profit estimates.

我们喜欢的是,内部人士在过去12个月一直在买入股票。话虽如此,大多数人认为盈利和收入增长趋势是更有意义的业务指南。你可以在这里看到分析师对塞拉尼斯的预测互动未来利润预估图表。

What About Dividends?

那股息呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Celanese the TSR over the last 1 year was 33%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

除了衡量股价回报外,投资者还应考虑总股东回报(TSR)。虽然股价回报只反映股价的变动,但TSR包括股息的价值(假设股息再投资),以及任何折价集资或分拆所带来的利益。可以说,TSR更全面地描绘了一只股票产生的回报。我们注意到塞拉尼斯在过去一年的TSR为33%,这比上面提到的股价回报率更好。该公司支付的股息因此提振了总计股东回报。

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

It's good to see that Celanese has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 33% in the last twelve months. And that does include the dividend. That's better than the annualised return of 7% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Like risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Celanese (of which 1 is significant!) you should know about.

很高兴看到塞拉尼斯在过去12个月里为股东带来了33%的总回报。这确实包括了股息。这比过去五年7%的年化回报率要好,这意味着该公司最近的表现更好。在最好的情况下,这可能暗示着一些真正的商业势头,意味着现在可能是深入研究的好时机。我发现,把股价作为衡量企业业绩的长期指标是非常有趣的。但为了真正获得洞察力,我们还需要考虑其他信息。比如风险。每家公司都有它们,我们已经发现塞拉尼斯的3个警告标志(其中1个是重要的!)你应该知道。

Celanese is not the only stock insiders are buying. So take a peek at this free list of growing companies with insider buying.

塞拉尼斯并不是业内人士唯一买入的股票。所以让我们来看看这个免费内幕收购的成长型公司名单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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