Huadong Medicine's (SZSE:000963) Investors Will Be Pleased With Their Decent 68% Return Over the Last Three Years
Huadong Medicine's (SZSE:000963) Investors Will Be Pleased With Their Decent 68% Return Over the Last Three Years
By buying an index fund, you can roughly match the market return with ease. But if you choose individual stocks with prowess, you can make superior returns. Just take a look at Huadong Medicine Co., Ltd (SZSE:000963), which is up 65%, over three years, soundly beating the market decline of 14% (not including dividends).
通过购买指数基金,你可以轻松地大致匹配市场回报。但如果你选择实力雄厚的个股,你就可以获得优异的回报。只要看一看华东医药股份有限公司(SZSE:000963),三年来上涨了65%,稳稳地超过了市场14%的跌幅(不包括股息)。
So let's investigate and see if the longer term performance of the company has been in line with the underlying business' progress.
因此,让我们来调查一下,看看该公司的长期表现是否与基础业务的发展一致。
See our latest analysis for Huadong Medicine
查看我们对华东医药的最新分析
There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
不可否认,市场有时是有效的,但价格并不总是反映潜在的商业表现。评估围绕一家公司的情绪变化的一个有缺陷但合理的方法是将每股收益(EPS)与股价进行比较。
During the three years of share price growth, Huadong Medicine actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) drop 4.2% per year.
在股价上涨的三年中,华东医药的每股收益(EPS)实际上每年下降4.2%。
Given the share price resilience, we don't think the (declining) EPS numbers are a good measure of how the business is moving forward, right now. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.
考虑到股价的弹性,我们认为(不断下降的)每股收益数字并不能很好地衡量目前业务的进展情况。由于每股收益的变化似乎与股价的变化没有相关性,因此值得看看其他指标。
The modest 0.7% dividend yield is unlikely to be propping up the share price. It may well be that Huadong Medicine revenue growth rate of 5.6% over three years has convinced shareholders to believe in a brighter future. In that case, the company may be sacrificing current earnings per share to drive growth, and maybe shareholder's faith in better days ahead will be rewarded.
0.7%的适度股息收益率不太可能支撑股价。华东医药过去三年5.6%的收入增长率很可能让股东们相信了更光明的未来。在这种情况下,该公司可能会牺牲当前的每股收益来推动增长,或许股东对未来更好日子的信心将得到回报。
The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
下图显示了收益和收入随时间的变化情况(如果您点击该图,您可以看到更多详细信息)。
Huadong Medicine is a well known stock, with plenty of analyst coverage, suggesting some visibility into future growth. So we recommend checking out this free report showing consensus forecasts
华东医药是一只知名的股票,有大量的分析师报道,这表明对未来的增长有一定的可见性。因此,我们建议您查看以下内容免费显示共识预测的报告
What About Dividends?
那股息呢?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for Huadong Medicine the TSR over the last 3 years was 68%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
重要的是要考虑任何给定股票的总股东回报以及股价回报。虽然股价回报只反映股价的变动,但TSR包括股息的价值(假设股息再投资),以及任何折价集资或分拆所带来的利益。公平地说,TSR为支付股息的股票提供了更完整的图景。我们注意到,华东医药过去3年的总回报率为68%,好于上述股价回报率。而且,猜测股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种差异是没有好处的!
A Different Perspective
不同的视角
While it's certainly disappointing to see that Huadong Medicine shares lost 2.4% throughout the year, that wasn't as bad as the market loss of 3.2%. Of course, the long term returns are far more important and the good news is that over five years, the stock has returned 7% for each year. In the best case scenario the last year is just a temporary blip on the journey to a brighter future. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Huadong Medicine better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Huadong Medicine , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
虽然看到华东医药的股价全年下跌2.4%肯定令人失望,但这并没有市场3.2%的跌幅那么糟糕。当然,长期回报要重要得多,好消息是,在过去的五年里,该股的年回报率为7%。在最好的情况下,去年只是通向更光明未来的旅途中的一个暂时的转折点。跟踪股价的长期表现总是很有趣的。但要更好地理解华东医药,我们还需要考虑许多其他因素。例如,考虑一下无处不在的投资风险幽灵。我们已经确定了1个警告信号与华东医药合作,了解他们应该是你投资过程的一部分。
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.
当然了,如果你把目光投向别处,你可能会发现这是一笔很棒的投资。所以让我们来看看这个免费我们预计收益将会增长的公司名单。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。