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Can Mixed Fundamentals Have A Negative Impact on Shanghai Tianchen Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600620) Current Share Price Momentum?

Can Mixed Fundamentals Have A Negative Impact on Shanghai Tianchen Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600620) Current Share Price Momentum?

基本面好坏参半能否对上海天辰股份产生负面影响, Ltd(上海证券交易所代码:600620)当前的股价走势?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/19 02:20

Shanghai TianchenLtd (SHSE:600620) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 8.9% over the last week. But the company's key financial indicators appear to be differing across the board and that makes us question whether or not the company's current share price momentum can be maintained. Specifically, we decided to study Shanghai TianchenLtd's ROE in this article.

上海天辰股份有限公司(上海证券交易所股票代码:600620)在过去一周的股票市场上大幅上涨了8.9%。但该公司的关键财务指标似乎在所有方面都不同,这让我们质疑该公司目前的股价势头能否保持下去。具体地说,我们决定在本文中研究上海天辰股份有限公司的净资产收益率。

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

股本回报率(ROE)是用来评估公司管理层利用公司资本效率的关键指标。简而言之,净资产收益率显示了每一美元相对于其股东投资产生的利润。

Check out our latest analysis for Shanghai TianchenLtd

查看我们对上海天辰股份有限公司的最新分析

How Is ROE Calculated?

净资产收益率是如何计算的?

The formula for return on equity is:

这个股本回报率公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率=(持续经营的)净利润?股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shanghai TianchenLtd is:

因此,根据上述公式,上海天辰股份有限公司的净资产收益率为:

4.7% = CN¥96m ÷ CN¥2.1b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2023).

4.7%=9,600万元×21亿元(以截至2023年6月的12个月为基础)。

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.05 in profit.

“回报”指的是一家公司过去一年的收益。另一种说法是,公司每持有价值1元的股权,就能赚取0.05元的利润。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

净资产收益率与盈利增长之间有什么关系?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

我们已经证实,净资产收益率是一家公司未来收益的有效盈利指标。根据公司选择再投资或“保留”多少利润,我们就能够评估一家公司未来产生利润的能力。假设其他条件相同,与没有相同特征的公司相比,拥有更高股本回报率和更高利润保留率的公司通常会有更高的增长率。

Shanghai TianchenLtd's Earnings Growth And 4.7% ROE

上海天辰股份有限公司盈利增长和4.7%的净资产收益率

As you can see, Shanghai TianchenLtd's ROE looks pretty weak. A comparison with the industry shows that the company's ROE is pretty similar to the average industry ROE of 4.0%. Given the low ROE Shanghai TianchenLtd's five year net income decline of 7.8% is not surprising.

如你所见,上海天辰股份有限公司的净资产收益率(ROE)看起来相当疲软。与行业的对比显示,该公司的净资产收益率与行业平均4.0%的净资产收益率相当接近。考虑到净资产收益率较低,上海天辰股份有限公司五年来净利润下降7.8%并不令人意外。

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Shanghai TianchenLtd's earnings seems to be shrinking at a similar rate as the industry which shrunk at a rate of a rate of 7.3% in the same period.

接下来,对比行业净收入增长,我们发现上海天辰股份有限公司的收益似乎以与同期行业7.3%的速度缩水的速度相似的速度缩水。

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:600620 Past Earnings Growth October 19th 2023
上海证券交易所:过去600620的收益增长2023年10月19日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Shanghai TianchenLtd is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

盈利增长是股票估值的一个重要因素。对于投资者来说,重要的是知道市场是否已经消化了公司预期的收益增长(或下降)。这样做将有助于他们确定该股的未来看起来是光明的还是不祥的。衡量预期收益增长的一个很好的指标是市盈率,它根据一只股票的盈利前景决定市场愿意为其支付的价格。因此,你可能想看看上海天辰股份有限公司相对于其行业是高市盈率还是低市盈率。

Is Shanghai TianchenLtd Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

上海天辰股份有限公司是否有效地将利润进行了再投资?

Despite having a normal three-year median payout ratio of 26% (where it is retaining 74% of its profits), Shanghai TianchenLtd has seen a decline in earnings as we saw above. So there could be some other explanations in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.

尽管上海天辰股份有限公司正常的三年派息率中值为26%(该公司保留了74%的利润),但正如我们上面看到的那样,它的收益出现了下降。因此,在这方面可能会有其他一些解释。例如,该公司的业务可能正在恶化。

Moreover, Shanghai TianchenLtd has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth.

此外,上海天辰股份有限公司至少在十年或更长时间内一直在分红,这表明管理层肯定已经意识到,股东更喜欢分红,而不是收益增长。

Summary

摘要

In total, we're a bit ambivalent about Shanghai TianchenLtd's performance. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. Our risks dashboard would have the 2 risks we have identified for Shanghai TianchenLtd.

总体而言,我们对上海天辰股份有限公司的表现有点矛盾。尽管它似乎保留了大部分利润,但鉴于净资产收益率较低,投资者可能终究不会从所有这些再投资中受益。低收益增长率表明我们的理论是正确的。总而言之,我们将谨慎对待这家公司,其中一种方法是查看业务的风险概况。我们的风险仪表板将包含我们为上海天辰股份有限公司确定的两个风险。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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