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Earnings Growth of 60% Over 1 Year Hasn't Been Enough to Translate Into Positive Returns for CSG Holding (SZSE:200012) Shareholders

Earnings Growth of 60% Over 1 Year Hasn't Been Enough to Translate Into Positive Returns for CSG Holding (SZSE:200012) Shareholders

一年内盈利增长60%还不足以为南玻控股(深交所代码:200012)股东带来正回报
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/20 16:57

The simplest way to benefit from a rising market is to buy an index fund. Active investors aim to buy stocks that vastly outperform the market - but in the process, they risk under-performance. For example, the CSG Holding Co., Ltd. (SZSE:200012) share price is down 25% in the last year. That falls noticeably short of the market decline of around 5.8%. However, the longer term returns haven't been so bad, with the stock down 5.0% in the last three years. Shareholders have had an even rougher run lately, with the share price down 11% in the last 90 days. Of course, this share price action may well have been influenced by the 8.2% decline in the broader market, throughout the period.

从市场上涨中受益的最简单方法是购买指数基金。活跃投资者的目标是购买表现远远优于市场的股票,但在此过程中,他们有可能表现不佳。例如, 南玻集团控股有限公司 (深交所代码:200012)股价在去年下跌了25%。这明显低于市场约5.8%的跌幅。但是,长期回报并没有那么糟糕,该股在过去三年中下跌了5.0%。最近,股东们的表现更加艰难,在过去的90天里,股价下跌了11%。当然,这一股价走势很可能受到整个市场在此期间下跌8.2%的影响。

If the past week is anything to go by, investor sentiment for CSG Holding isn't positive, so let's see if there's a mismatch between fundamentals and the share price.

如果过去一周还有什么值得关注的话,那么投资者对CSG Holding的情绪并不乐观,所以让我们看看基本面和股价之间是否存在不匹配的情况。

Check out our latest analysis for CSG Holding

查看我们对CSG Holding的最新分析

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

不可否认,市场有时是有效的,但价格并不总是能反映潜在的业务表现。考虑市场对公司的看法发生了怎样的变化的一种不完美但简单的方法是将每股收益(EPS)的变化与股价走势进行比较。

During the unfortunate twelve months during which the CSG Holding share price fell, it actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 60%. It's quite possible that growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.

在CSG Holding股价下跌的不幸十二个月中,其每股收益(EPS)实际上增长了60%。过去增长预期很可能是不合理的。

It's surprising to see the share price fall so much, despite the improved EPS. So it's easy to justify a look at some other metrics.

尽管每股收益有所改善,但股价仍大幅下跌令人惊讶。因此,很容易证明看其他一些指标是合理的。

The fact that the dividend has fallen is probably weighing on the share price, as it implies some form of business stress.

股息下降这一事实可能压制了股价,因为这意味着某种形式的业务压力。

You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

您可以在下图中看到收入和收入随时间推移而发生的变化(点击图表查看确切值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SZSE:200012 Earnings and Revenue Growth October 20th 2023
深交所股票代码:200012 2023 年 10 月 20 日收益和收入增长

It is of course excellent to see how CSG Holding has grown profits over the years, but the future is more important for shareholders. Take a more thorough look at CSG Holding's financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.

当然,很高兴看到CSG Holding多年来如何实现利润增长,但未来对股东来说更为重要。借此更全面地了解CSG Holding的财务状况 免费的 在其资产负债表上报告。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, CSG Holding's TSR for the last 1 year was -20%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

除了衡量股价回报外,投资者还应考虑股东总回报(TSR)。股东总回报率根据股息被再投资的假设纳入了任何分拆或贴现资本筹集的价值以及任何股息。因此,对于支付丰厚股息的公司来说,股东总回报率通常比股价回报率高得多。碰巧的是,CSG Holding在过去1年的股东总回报率为-20%,超过了前面提到的股价回报率。因此,该公司支付的股息极大地推动了 股东回报。

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

While the broader market lost about 5.8% in the twelve months, CSG Holding shareholders did even worse, losing 20% (even including dividends). However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 4% per year over half a decade. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for CSG Holding (1 can't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

尽管整个市场在十二个月内下跌了约5.8%,但CSG Holding的股东表现更糟,下跌了20%(甚至包括股息)。但是,可能只是股价受到了更广泛的市场紧张情绪的影响。如果有很好的机会,可能值得关注基本面。好的一面是,长期股东已经赚了钱,在过去的五年中,每年增长4%。最近的抛售可能是一个机会,因此可能值得查看基本面数据,以了解长期增长趋势的迹象。我发现从长远来看,将股价作为业务表现的代表非常有趣。但是,为了真正获得洞察力,我们还需要考虑其他信息。例如,我们发现 CSG Holding 的 2 个警告信号 (1 不容忽视!)在这里投资之前,你应该注意这一点。

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

当然, 你可能会在其他地方找到一笔不错的投资。 所以来看看这个 免费的 我们预计的公司名单将增加收益。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。 我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。 它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街在上述任何股票中都没有头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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