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Is Shenzhen Neptunus Bioengineering (SZSE:000078) A Risky Investment?

Is Shenzhen Neptunus Bioengineering (SZSE:000078) A Risky Investment?

深圳海王生物工程(深交所股票代码:000078)是风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/20 20:02

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Shenzhen Neptunus Bioengineering Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000078) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

David·伊本说得好,波动不是我们关心的风险,我们关心的是避免资本的永久性损失。当我们考虑一家公司的风险有多大时,我们总是喜欢看它对债务的使用,因为债务过重可能导致破产。重要的是深圳市海王星生物工程有限公司。(SZSE:000078)确实有债务。但真正的问题是,这笔债务是否让该公司面临风险。

When Is Debt Dangerous?

债务在什么时候是危险的?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

债务是帮助企业发展的一种工具,但如果一家企业无法偿还贷款人的债务,那么它就只能听从贷款人的摆布。资本主义的一部分是“创造性破坏”的过程,破产的企业被银行家无情地清算。尽管这并不常见,但我们确实经常看到负债累累的公司永久性地稀释股东的权益,因为贷款人迫使他们以令人沮丧的价格筹集资金。然而,通过取代稀释,对于需要资本投资于高回报率增长的企业来说,债务可以成为一个非常好的工具。当我们考虑一家公司的债务用途时,我们首先会把现金和债务放在一起看。

View our latest analysis for Shenzhen Neptunus Bioengineering

查看我们对深圳海王星生物工程的最新分析

What Is Shenzhen Neptunus Bioengineering's Debt?

深圳海王星生物工程的债务是什么?

As you can see below, at the end of June 2023, Shenzhen Neptunus Bioengineering had CN¥12.2b of debt, up from CN¥11.4b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has CN¥3.78b in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥8.42b.

如下所示,截至2023年6月底,深圳海王星生物工程的债务为122亿元人民币,高于一年前的114亿元人民币。单击图像了解更多详细信息。另一方面,它拥有37.8亿元现金,导致净债务约为84.2亿元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:000078 Debt to Equity History October 21st 2023
深交所:000078债转股历史2023年10月21日

How Strong Is Shenzhen Neptunus Bioengineering's Balance Sheet?

深圳海王星生物工程的资产负债表有多强?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Shenzhen Neptunus Bioengineering had liabilities of CN¥29.8b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥398.7m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥3.78b in cash and CN¥23.4b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥3.10b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

从最近的资产负债表中我们可以看到,深圳海王星生物工程有298亿元人民币的负债在一年内到期,还有3.987亿元人民币的负债在一年内到期。作为抵消,它有37.8亿加元的现金和234亿加元的应收账款在12个月内到期。因此,它的负债总额比现金和短期应收账款的总和多出人民币31亿元。

This deficit isn't so bad because Shenzhen Neptunus Bioengineering is worth CN¥8.03b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

这一赤字并不是那么糟糕,因为深圳海王星生物工程价值人民币80.3亿元,因此如果需要的话,可能会筹集到足够的资本来支撑其资产负债表。但我们肯定希望密切关注其债务带来太大风险的迹象。

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

我们通过查看公司的净债务除以利息、税项、折旧和摊销前收益(EBITDA),并计算其息税前收益(EBIT)覆盖利息支出(利息覆盖)的容易程度,来衡量公司的债务负担与其盈利能力的关系。因此,我们考虑债务相对于收益,包括折旧和摊销费用。

Weak interest cover of 0.89 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 8.7 hit our confidence in Shenzhen Neptunus Bioengineering like a one-two punch to the gut. The debt burden here is substantial. Worse, Shenzhen Neptunus Bioengineering's EBIT was down 36% over the last year. If earnings continue to follow that trajectory, paying off that debt load will be harder than convincing us to run a marathon in the rain. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Shenzhen Neptunus Bioengineering's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

0.89倍的疲弱利息覆盖率以及8.7的令人不安的高净债务与EBITDA比率打击了我们对深圳海王星生物工程的信心,就像对肠子的一击。这里的债务负担是巨大的。更糟糕的是,深圳海王星生物工程的息税前利润比去年下降了36%。如果盈利继续沿着这一轨迹发展,还清债务将比说服我们在雨中跑马拉松更难。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是一个起点。但深圳海王星生物工程的盈利将影响未来资产负债表的表现。因此,当考虑债务时,绝对值得关注收益趋势。点击此处查看互动快照。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. In the last three years, Shenzhen Neptunus Bioengineering's free cash flow amounted to 42% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

但我们的最后考虑也很重要,因为一家公司不能用账面利润来偿还债务;它需要冷硬现金。因此,我们总是检查EBIT中有多少转化为自由现金流。在过去的三年中,深圳海王星生物工程的自由现金流占其息税前利润的42%,低于我们的预期。当涉及到偿还债务时,这并不是很好。

Our View

我们的观点

On the face of it, Shenzhen Neptunus Bioengineering's interest cover left us tentative about the stock, and its EBIT growth rate was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is not so bad. It's also worth noting that Shenzhen Neptunus Bioengineering is in the Healthcare industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. Looking at the bigger picture, it seems clear to us that Shenzhen Neptunus Bioengineering's use of debt is creating risks for the company. If all goes well, that should boost returns, but on the flip side, the risk of permanent capital loss is elevated by the debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Shenzhen Neptunus Bioengineering .

从表面上看,深圳海王星生物工程的利息封面让我们对这只股票持怀疑态度,其EBIT增长率并不比一年中最繁忙的夜晚的一家空荡荡的餐厅更诱人。但至少它将息税前利润转换为自由现金流并不是那么糟糕。同样值得注意的是,深圳海王星生物工程是在医疗行业,该行业通常被认为是相当防御性的。从更大的角度来看,我们似乎很清楚,深圳海王星生物工程公司的债务使用正在为公司带来风险。如果一切顺利,这应该会提高回报,但另一方面,债务增加了永久资本损失的风险。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是一个起点。但归根结底,每家公司都可能包含存在于资产负债表之外的风险。为此,您应该意识到2个警告标志我们发现了深圳海王星生物工程公司。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

如果你对一家增长迅速、资产负债表坚如磐石的公司更感兴趣,那么请立即查看我们的净现金成长型股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

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