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Declining Stock and Decent Financials: Is The Market Wrong About Guangdong Goworld Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000823)?

Declining Stock and Decent Financials: Is The Market Wrong About Guangdong Goworld Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000823)?

股票下跌和财务状况良好:市场对广东高沃德股份有限公司(深交所股票代码:000823)的看法错了吗?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/23 22:59

Guangdong Goworld (SZSE:000823) has had a rough three months with its share price down 11%. However, the company's fundamentals look pretty decent, and long-term financials are usually aligned with future market price movements. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Guangdong Goworld's ROE today.

广东歌德世界(SZSE:000823)经历了艰难的三个月,股价下跌了11%。然而,该公司的基本面看起来相当不错,长期财务状况通常与未来的市场价格走势保持一致。今天,我们将特别关注广东GoWorld的净资产收益率。

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

股本回报率(ROE)是用来评估公司管理层利用公司资本效率的关键指标。简而言之,它是用来评估一家公司相对于其权益资本的盈利能力。

See our latest analysis for Guangdong Goworld

查看我们对广东GoWorld的最新分析

How Is ROE Calculated?

净资产收益率是如何计算的?

The formula for ROE is:

这个净资产收益率公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率=(持续经营的)净利润?股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Guangdong Goworld is:

因此,根据上述公式,广东GoWorld的净资产收益率为:

7.2% = CN¥366m ÷ CN¥5.1b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2023).

7.2%=3.66亿元×51亿元(以截至2023年6月的12个月为基础)。

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.07.

“回报”指的是企业在过去一年中获得的收入。因此,这意味着股东每投资1元人民币,公司就会产生0.07元的利润。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

为什么净资产收益率对收益增长很重要?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

到目前为止,我们了解到净资产收益率是衡量一家公司盈利能力的指标。我们现在需要评估公司将多少利润再投资或“保留”用于未来的增长,这就让我们对公司的增长潜力有了一个了解。一般来说,在其他条件相同的情况下,股本回报率和利润留存较高的公司比不具备这些特征的公司有更高的增长率。

A Side By Side comparison of Guangdong Goworld's Earnings Growth And 7.2% ROE

广东Goworld盈利增长与7.2%净资产收益率的并列比较

When you first look at it, Guangdong Goworld's ROE doesn't look that attractive. However, its ROE is similar to the industry average of 7.4%, so we won't completely dismiss the company. On the other hand, Guangdong Goworld reported a moderate 9.1% net income growth over the past five years. Taking into consideration that the ROE is not particularly high, we reckon that there could also be other factors at play which could be influencing the company's growth. For instance, the company has a low payout ratio or is being managed efficiently.

乍一看,广东GoWorld的净资产收益率(ROE)看起来并不那么吸引人。不过,其净资产收益率接近7.4%的行业平均水平,因此我们不会完全对该公司不屑一顾。另一方面,广东Goworld报告称,过去五年净收入温和增长9.1%。考虑到净资产收益率不是特别高,我们认为也可能有其他因素在发挥作用,可能正在影响公司的增长。例如,该公司的派息率较低或管理效率较高。

We then compared Guangdong Goworld's net income growth with the industry and found that the company's growth figure is lower than the average industry growth rate of 12% in the same 5-year period, which is a bit concerning.

然后,我们将广东GoWorld的净收入增长与行业进行了比较,发现该公司的增长数字低于同期12%的行业平均增长率,这有点令人担忧。

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:000823 Past Earnings Growth October 24th 2023
深圳证交所:过去000823的收益增长2023年10月24日

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. If you're wondering about Guangdong Goworld's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

盈利增长是评估一只股票时需要考虑的一个重要指标。投资者下一步需要确定的是,预期的收益增长是否已经计入了股价。这有助于他们确定这只股票是为光明还是黯淡的未来做准备。如果你想知道广东GoWorld的估值,看看这个衡量其市盈率的指标,与其行业相比。

Is Guangdong Goworld Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

广东Goworld是否有效地利用了其留存收益?

Guangdong Goworld's three-year median payout ratio to shareholders is 16% (implying that it retains 84% of its income), which is on the lower side, so it seems like the management is reinvesting profits heavily to grow its business.

广东Goworld的三年向股东派息的中位数为16%(意味着它保留了84%的收入),这一比率处于较低水平,因此管理层似乎正在将利润进行大量再投资,以实现业务增长。

Moreover, Guangdong Goworld is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of paying a dividend for at least ten years.

此外,广东Goworld决心继续与股东分享利润,这是我们从其至少十年的派息历史中推断出来的。

Summary

摘要

On the whole, we do feel that Guangdong Goworld has some positive attributes. Namely, its respectable earnings growth, which it achieved due to it retaining most of its profits. However, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. While we won't completely dismiss the company, what we would do, is try to ascertain how risky the business is to make a more informed decision around the company. You can see the 1 risk we have identified for Guangdong Goworld by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here.

总体而言,我们确实觉得广东GoWorld有一些积极的属性。即其可观的收益增长,这要归功于它保留了大部分利润。然而,鉴于净资产收益率较低,投资者可能终究不会从所有这些再投资中受益。虽然我们不会完全解雇这家公司,但我们要做的是努力确定这项业务在公司周围做出更明智的决定的风险有多大。您可以通过访问我们的风险控制面板在我们的平台上是免费的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

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