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Optimistic Investors Push Changchun Zhiyuan New Energy Equipment Co., Ltd (SZSE:300985) Shares Up 42% But Growth Is Lacking

Optimistic Investors Push Changchun Zhiyuan New Energy Equipment Co., Ltd (SZSE:300985) Shares Up 42% But Growth Is Lacking

乐观投资者推动长春致远新能源设备有限公司(深交所代码:300985)股价上涨42%,但增长乏力
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/25 18:09

Changchun Zhiyuan New Energy Equipment Co., Ltd (SZSE:300985) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 42% gain in the last month alone. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 70%.

长春智源新能源设备有限公司(SZSE:300985)仅在上个月,股价就延续了近期的势头,上涨了42%。在过去的30天里,年度涨幅达到了非常大的70%。

Since its price has surged higher, given close to half the companies operating in China's Machinery industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 3.1x, you may consider Changchun Zhiyuan New Energy Equipment as a stock to potentially avoid with its 4.4x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

由于长春智源新能源设备的价格已大幅上涨,鉴于中国所在机械行业近一半的公司市盈率(P/S)低于3.1倍,你可能会考虑将长春智源新能源设备作为一只股票,其市盈率为4.4倍,可能会被规避。然而,P/S可能是有原因的,需要进一步调查才能确定是否合理。

See our latest analysis for Changchun Zhiyuan New Energy Equipment

请看我们对长春智源新能源设备的最新分析

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300985 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 25th 2023
深圳证券交易所:300985市销率2023年10月25日

How Changchun Zhiyuan New Energy Equipment Has Been Performing

长春智源新能源装备表现如何

Changchun Zhiyuan New Energy Equipment certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing its revenue at a really rapid pace. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to outperform the wider market, which has seemingly got people interested in the stock. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

长春智源新能源设备最近确实做得很好,因为它的收入一直在以非常快的速度增长。或许市场预计未来的收入表现将好于大盘,这似乎让人们对该股感兴趣。然而,如果情况并非如此,投资者可能会被发现为该股支付过高的价格。

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Changchun Zhiyuan New Energy Equipment, take a look at this
虽然没有分析师对长春智源新能源设备的估计,但看看这个。
free
免费
data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
丰富的数据可视化,看看公司的收益、收入和现金流是如何堆积的。

How Is Changchun Zhiyuan New Energy Equipment's Revenue Growth Trending?

长春智源新能源设备营收增长趋势如何?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as Changchun Zhiyuan New Energy Equipment's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.

只有当长春智源新能源设备的市盈率如此之高时,你才会真正放心地看到该公司的市盈率达到行业领先水平。

If we review the last year of revenue growth, we see the company's revenues grew exponentially. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen the company endure a nasty 11% drop in revenue in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

如果我们回顾过去一年的收入增长,我们会看到该公司的收入呈指数级增长。然而,这还不够,因为在最近三年的时间里,该公司的总收入大幅下降了11%。因此,公平地说,最近的收入增长对公司来说是不可取的。

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 32% shows it's an unpleasant look.

将这一中期收入轨迹与整个行业一年内增长32%的预测进行比较,可以看出这是一个令人不快的前景。

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Changchun Zhiyuan New Energy Equipment's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

有鉴于此,我们感到担忧的是,长春智源新能源装备的P/S超过了行业同行。显然,该公司的许多投资者比最近的情况所显示的要乐观得多,不愿以任何价格抛售他们的股票。如果市盈率/S指数跌至与近期负增长更为一致的水平,现有股东很有可能正在为未来的失望做准备。

What Does Changchun Zhiyuan New Energy Equipment's P/S Mean For Investors?

长春智源新能源装备的P/S对投资者意味着什么?

The large bounce in Changchun Zhiyuan New Energy Equipment's shares has lifted the company's P/S handsomely. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

长春智源新能源设备股价的大幅反弹,大幅提振了该公司的市盈率。我们会说,市销率的力量主要不是作为一种估值工具,而是衡量当前投资者的情绪和未来预期。

We've established that Changchun Zhiyuan New Energy Equipment currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

我们已经确定,长春智源新能源设备目前的市盈率远高于预期,因为该公司最近的收入在中期内一直在下降。由于投资者担心营收下滑,市场情绪恶化的可能性相当高,这可能会使市盈率/S回到我们预期的水平。如果近期的中期营收趋势持续下去,将使股东的投资面临重大风险,潜在投资者面临支付过高溢价的危险。

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Changchun Zhiyuan New Energy Equipment you should know about.

还有其他风险呢?每家公司都有它们,我们已经发现2长春智源新能源设备警示标志你应该知道。

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

当然了,利润丰厚、盈利增长迅速的公司通常是更安全的押注。所以你可能想看看这个免费其他市盈率合理、盈利增长强劲的公司的集合。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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