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Is Huafu Fashion (SZSE:002042) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

Is Huafu Fashion (SZSE:002042) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

华富时尚(深交所:002042)是否以冒险的方式使用债务?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/25 18:56

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Huafu Fashion Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002042) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

巴菲特(Warren Buffett)曾说过一句名言:波动性远非风险的代名词。因此,当你考虑到任何一只股票的风险有多大时,你需要考虑债务可能是显而易见的,因为太多的债务可能会让一家公司倒闭。我们可以看到华福服饰有限公司。(SZSE:002042)确实在其业务中使用债务。但这笔债务对股东来说是一个担忧吗?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

债务在什么时候是危险的?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

债务帮助企业,直到企业难以偿还债务,无论是用新资本还是用自由现金流。资本主义的一部分是“创造性破坏”的过程,破产的企业被银行家无情地清算。然而,更常见(但代价仍然高昂)的情况是,一家公司必须以极低的价格发行股票,永久性地稀释股东的股份,只是为了支撑其资产负债表。当然,在企业中,债务可以是一个重要的工具,特别是资本密集型企业。当我们检查债务水平时,我们首先同时考虑现金和债务水平。

Check out our latest analysis for Huafu Fashion

查看我们对华福时尚的最新分析

What Is Huafu Fashion's Net Debt?

华府时尚的净负债是多少?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Huafu Fashion had CN¥8.59b in debt in June 2023; about the same as the year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥4.43b, its net debt is less, at about CN¥4.16b.

下面的图表显示,2023年6月,华福时尚的债务为85.9亿元人民币;与前一年大致相同。你可以点击查看更多详细信息。然而,由于其拥有44.3亿加元的现金储备,其净债务较少,约为41.6亿加元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002042 Debt to Equity History October 25th 2023
深圳证交所:002042债转股历史2023年10月25日

How Strong Is Huafu Fashion's Balance Sheet?

华府时尚的资产负债表有多强?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Huafu Fashion had liabilities of CN¥9.89b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥1.40b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥4.43b as well as receivables valued at CN¥1.77b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥5.09b.

根据最近一次报告的资产负债表,华富时尚有98.9亿加元的负债在12个月内到期,14.0亿加元的负债在12个月后到期。作为对这些债务的抵消,该公司有44.3亿加元的现金以及17.7亿加元的应收账款在12个月内到期。因此,它的负债比现金和(近期)应收账款之和高出50.9亿元。

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of CN¥5.69b. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Huafu Fashion can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

相对于其56.9亿元的市值,这是一个堆积如山的杠杆。这表明,如果该公司需要匆忙支撑其资产负债表,股东将被严重稀释。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是一个起点。但最终,该业务未来的盈利能力将决定华府时尚能否随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的想法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。

In the last year Huafu Fashion had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 18%, to CN¥14b. That's not what we would hope to see.

去年,华福时尚出现息税前亏损,收入缩水18%,至140亿元人民币。这不是我们希望看到的。

Caveat Emptor

告诫买入者

Not only did Huafu Fashion's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Indeed, it lost CN¥526m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. We would feel better if it turned its trailing twelve month loss of CN¥562m into a profit. So in short it's a really risky stock. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example Huafu Fashion has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is potentially serious) we think you should know about.

华府时尚不仅在过去12个月里收入下滑,而且息税前收益(EBIT)也出现了负增长。事实上,在息税前利润水平上,它亏损了5.26亿加元。考虑到除了上面提到的债务,我们对公司应该使用如此多的债务没有太大的信心。坦率地说,我们认为资产负债表远远不能与之匹配,尽管随着时间的推移,它可能会得到改善。如果它将过去12个月5.62亿元的亏损扭亏为盈,我们会感觉更好。因此,简而言之,这是一只非常有风险的股票。当你分析债务时,资产负债表显然是你关注的领域。但归根结底,每家公司都可能包含存在于资产负债表之外的风险。例如,华福时尚就有2个警告标志(和1个潜在的严重问题)我们认为您应该知道。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有兴趣投资于可以在没有债务负担的情况下增长利润的企业,那么看看这个免费资产负债表上有净现金的成长型企业名单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

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