Shandong Publishing&MediaLtd (SHSE:601019) Seems To Use Debt Rather Sparingly
Shandong Publishing&MediaLtd (SHSE:601019) Seems To Use Debt Rather Sparingly
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Shandong Publishing&Media Co.,Ltd (SHSE:601019) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
巴菲特(Warren Buffett)曾说过一句名言:波动性远非风险的代名词。当你考察一家公司的风险有多大时,考虑它的资产负债表是很自然的,因为当一家企业倒闭时,债务往往会涉及到它。我们注意到山东出版传媒有限公司(上交所:601019)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但更重要的问题是:这笔债务造成了多大的风险?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
为什么债务会带来风险?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
债务帮助企业,直到企业难以偿还债务,无论是用新资本还是用自由现金流。资本主义的一部分是“创造性破坏”的过程,破产的企业被银行家无情地清算。然而,一种更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,一家公司必须以低廉的股价稀释股东的股份,才能控制债务。当然,在企业中,债务可以是一个重要的工具,特别是资本密集型企业。当考虑一家企业使用了多少债务时,首先要做的是把现金和债务放在一起看。
View our latest analysis for Shandong Publishing&MediaLtd
查看我们对山东出版传媒有限公司的最新分析
How Much Debt Does Shandong Publishing&MediaLtd Carry?
山东出版传媒有限公司背负着多少债务?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Shandong Publishing&MediaLtd had CN¥48.6m of debt in June 2023, down from CN¥51.7m, one year before. But it also has CN¥9.60b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥9.55b net cash.
你可以点击下图查看历史数据,但它显示山东出版传媒有限公司在2023年6月的债务为4860万元人民币,低于一年前的5170万元人民币。但它也有人民币96亿元的现金来抵消,这意味着它有人民币95.5亿元的净现金。
A Look At Shandong Publishing&MediaLtd's Liabilities
山东出版传媒股份有限公司负债问题管窥
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Shandong Publishing&MediaLtd had liabilities of CN¥5.72b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥1.29b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥9.60b in cash and CN¥2.15b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥4.74b more liquid assets than total liabilities.
放大最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到,山东出版传媒有限公司有57.2亿加元的负债在12个月内到期,12.9亿加元的负债在12个月内到期。作为抵消,它有96亿加元的现金和21.5亿加元的应收账款在12个月内到期。所以它实际上有47.4亿元人民币更多流动资产超过总负债。
This excess liquidity suggests that Shandong Publishing&MediaLtd is taking a careful approach to debt. Given it has easily adequate short term liquidity, we don't think it will have any issues with its lenders. Succinctly put, Shandong Publishing&MediaLtd boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
这种过剩的流动性表明,山东出版传媒股份有限公司正在谨慎地处理债务问题。鉴于它拥有充足的短期流动性,我们认为它与贷款人之间不会有任何问题。简而言之,山东出版传媒有限公司拥有净现金,所以可以说它没有沉重的债务负担!
Fortunately, Shandong Publishing&MediaLtd grew its EBIT by 5.4% in the last year, making that debt load look even more manageable. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Shandong Publishing&MediaLtd's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
幸运的是,山东出版传媒股份有限公司去年息税前利润增长了5.4%,这使得债务负担看起来更容易管理。当你分析债务时,资产负债表显然是你关注的领域。但决定山东出版传媒有限公司未来能否保持健康资产负债表的,最重要的是未来的收益。所以,如果你关注未来,你可以看看这个免费显示分析师利润预测的报告。
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. Shandong Publishing&MediaLtd may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, Shandong Publishing&MediaLtd actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.
最后,尽管税务人员可能喜欢会计利润,但贷款人只接受冷硬现金。山东出版传媒股份有限公司的资产负债表上可能有净现金,但看看该业务将息税前利润(EBIT)转换为自由现金流的情况仍很有趣,因为这将影响其对债务的需求和管理债务的能力。在过去的三年里,山东出版传媒有限公司产生的自由现金流实际上超过了息税前利润。这种强劲的现金转换让我们像傻朋克演唱会上节奏下降时的观众一样兴奋。
Summing Up
总结
While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Shandong Publishing&MediaLtd has CN¥9.55b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. The cherry on top was that in converted 116% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in CN¥2.0b. So we don't think Shandong Publishing&MediaLtd's use of debt is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 1 warning sign with Shandong Publishing&MediaLtd , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
虽然调查一家公司的债务总是明智之举,但在这起案件中,山东出版传媒股份有限公司拥有95.5亿元人民币的净现金和体面的资产负债表。上面的樱桃是IN将息税前利润的116%转化为自由现金流,带来了人民币20亿元的收入。因此,我们不认为山东出版传媒股份有限公司使用债务是有风险的。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是一个起点。但归根结底,每家公司都可能包含存在于资产负债表之外的风险。我们已经确定了1个警告信号与山东出版传媒有限公司合作,了解他们应该是你投资过程的一部分。
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
归根结底,关注那些没有净债务的公司往往更好。你可以访问我们的这类公司的特别名单(都有利润增长的记录)。这是免费的。
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