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Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Suzhou QingYue Optoelectronics Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:688496) Shares

Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Suzhou QingYue Optoelectronics Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:688496) Shares

对于苏州清越光电科技有限公司来说,可能会有不愉快的惊喜。”s (上海证券交易所:688496) 股票
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/31 03:03

With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 8.2x in the Semiconductor industry in China, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Suzhou QingYue Optoelectronics Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:688496) P/S ratio of 7.7x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

中国半导体行业的市销率中值接近8.2倍,你对此漠不关心也是情有可原的苏州青月光电科技有限公司S(上交所:688496)P/S比率为7.7倍。尽管如此,在没有解释的情况下简单地忽视市盈率S是不明智的,因为投资者可能会忽视一个独特的机会或代价高昂的错误。

Check out our latest analysis for Suzhou QingYue Optoelectronics Technology

查看我们对苏州清越光电科技的最新分析

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:688496 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 31st 2023
上海证交所:688496市销率与行业2023年10月31日

How Has Suzhou QingYue Optoelectronics Technology Performed Recently?

苏州清越光电科技近期表现如何?

For instance, Suzhou QingYue Optoelectronics Technology's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. Perhaps investors believe the recent revenue performance is enough to keep in line with the industry, which is keeping the P/S from dropping off. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

例如,苏州清越光电科技公司近期营收下滑的情况就值得深思了。或许投资者认为,最近的营收表现足以与行业保持一致,这让市盈率/S指数不会下跌。如果你喜欢这家公司,你至少会希望情况是这样的,这样你就可以在它不太受欢迎的时候买入一些股票。

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Suzhou QingYue Optoelectronics Technology, take a look at this
尽管没有分析师对苏州青月光电科技的估计,但看看这个。
free
免费
data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
丰富的数据可视化,看看公司的收益、收入和现金流是如何堆积的。

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

收入增长指标告诉我们有关市盈率的哪些信息?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Suzhou QingYue Optoelectronics Technology's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

只有当苏州清越光电科技的发展密切跟踪行业发展时,你才会感到放心地看到苏州青月光电科技这样的P/S。

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 18%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by an impressive 66% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would definitely welcome the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

回顾过去一年的财务状况,我们沮丧地看到该公司的收入下降到了18%。然而,在此之前的几年非常强劲,这意味着它在过去三年的总收入仍能增长66%,令人印象深刻。因此,尽管股东们更愿意继续运营,但他们肯定会欢迎中期的收入增长率。

Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 40% shows it's noticeably less attractive.

将最近的中期营收趋势与该行业一年40%的增长预期进行比较,可以发现它的吸引力明显下降。

With this information, we find it interesting that Suzhou QingYue Optoelectronics Technology is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. They may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

有了这些信息,我们发现有趣的是,苏州青月光电科技的市盈率与S的行业相当。似乎大多数投资者都忽视了最近相当有限的增长率,并愿意为股票敞口支付高价。如果市盈率/S指数跌至与近期增速更接近的水平,他们可能会在未来感到失望。

The Key Takeaway

关键的外卖

Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

仅仅用市销率来决定你是否应该出售你的股票是不明智的,但它可以成为公司未来前景的实用指南。

Our examination of Suzhou QingYue Optoelectronics Technology revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't resulting in a lower P/S as per our expectations, given they look worse than current industry outlook. When we see weak revenue with slower than industry growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, bringing the P/S back in line with expectations. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, the probability of a share price decline will become quite substantial, placing shareholders at risk.

我们对苏州清越光电科技的调查显示,其糟糕的三年营收趋势并没有像我们预期的那样导致市盈率下降,因为它们看起来比当前的行业前景更糟糕。当我们看到营收疲软且增长慢于行业增长时,我们怀疑该公司股价有下跌的风险,使市盈率/S重新符合预期。如果近期的中期营收趋势持续下去,股价下跌的可能性将变得相当大,将股东置于风险之中。

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Suzhou QingYue Optoelectronics Technology, and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

总是有必要考虑到投资风险的幽灵无处不在。我们已经确认了苏州清越光电科技的2个警示标志,并了解这些应该是你投资过程的一部分。

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

当然了,利润丰厚、盈利增长迅速的公司通常是更安全的押注。所以你可能想看看这个免费其他市盈率合理、盈利增长强劲的公司的集合。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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