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Allegion's (NYSE:ALLE) Investors Will Be Pleased With Their 18% Return Over the Last Five Years

Allegion's (NYSE:ALLE) Investors Will Be Pleased With Their 18% Return Over the Last Five Years

Allegion(纽约证券交易所代码:ALLE)的投资者将对过去五年中18%的回报率感到满意
Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/01 11:14

Allegion plc (NYSE:ALLE) shareholders might be concerned after seeing the share price drop 14% in the last quarter. On the bright side the share price is up over the last half decade. Unfortunately its return of 10% is below the market return of 62%.

Allegion plc(纽约证券交易所代码:ALLE)股东在上个季度看到股价下跌14%后可能会感到担忧。好的一面是,在过去的五年中,股价一直在上涨。不幸的是,其10%的回报率低于62%的市场回报率。

Now it's worth having a look at the company's fundamentals too, because that will help us determine if the long term shareholder return has matched the performance of the underlying business.

现在也值得一看公司的基本面,因为这将有助于我们确定长期股东回报是否与基础业务的表现相匹配。

View our latest analysis for Allegion

查看我们对 Allegion 的最新分析

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

在他的文章中 格雷厄姆和多兹维尔的超级投资者 沃伦·巴菲特描述了股价如何并不总是合理地反映企业的价值。研究市场情绪如何随着时间的推移而变化的一种方法是研究公司股价与其每股收益(EPS)之间的相互作用。

Over half a decade, Allegion managed to grow its earnings per share at 14% a year. This EPS growth is higher than the 2% average annual increase in the share price. Therefore, it seems the market has become relatively pessimistic about the company.

在过去的五年中,Allegion设法将其每股收益以每年14%的速度增长。每股收益的增长高于股价每年平均增长2%。因此,看来市场对该公司已经变得相对悲观了。

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

该公司的每股收益(随着时间的推移)如下图所示(点击查看确切数字)。

earnings-per-share-growth
NYSE:ALLE Earnings Per Share Growth November 1st 2023
纽约证券交易所:ALLE 2023 年 11 月 1 日每股收益增长

We like that insiders have been buying shares in the last twelve months. Even so, future earnings will be far more important to whether current shareholders make money. Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here..

我们喜欢内部人士在过去十二个月中一直在购买股票。即便如此,未来的收益对于当前股东能否赚钱要重要得多。在买入或卖出股票之前,我们始终建议仔细研究历史增长趋势,可在此处查阅。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Allegion, it has a TSR of 18% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

重要的是要考虑任何给定股票的股东总回报率以及股价回报。股东总回报率是一种回报计算方法,它考虑了现金分红的价值(假设收到的任何股息已被再投资)以及任何贴现资本筹集和分拆的计算价值。因此,对于支付丰厚股息的公司来说,股东总回报率通常远高于股价回报。就Allegion而言,它在过去5年的股东总回报率为18%。这超过了我们之前提到的股价回报率。而且,猜测股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种差异是没有好处的!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

Investors in Allegion had a tough year, with a total loss of 6.2% (including dividends), against a market gain of about 9.0%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 3% per year over half a decade. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Allegion you should know about.

Allegion的投资者经历了艰难的一年,总亏损6.2%(包括股息),而市场涨幅约为9.0%。但是,请记住,即使是最好的股票有时也会在十二个月内表现逊于市场。好的一面是,长期股东已经赚了钱,在过去的五年中,每年增长3%。如果基本面数据继续显示长期可持续增长,那么当前的抛售可能是一个值得考虑的机会。我发现从长远来看,将股价视为业务表现的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正获得见解,我们还需要考虑其他信息。例如,以风险为例。每家公司都有它们,我们发现了 Allegion 的 1 个警告信号,你应该知道。

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).

如果你想与管理层一起购买股票,那么你可能会喜欢这份免费的公司名单。(提示:业内人士一直在购买它们)。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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