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Earnings Troubles May Signal Larger Issues for Ningbo Yibin Electronic Technology (SZSE:001278) Shareholders

Earnings Troubles May Signal Larger Issues for Ningbo Yibin Electronic Technology (SZSE:001278) Shareholders

盈利困境可能预示着宁波宜宾电子科技(SZSE: 001278)股东面临更大的问题
Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/02 18:02

A lackluster earnings announcement from Ningbo Yibin Electronic Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:001278) last week didn't sink the stock price. We think that investors are worried about some weaknesses underlying the earnings.

一份乏善可陈的财报公告 宁波宜宾电子科技有限公司 (SZSE: 001278) 上周股价没有下跌。我们认为,投资者担心收益背后的一些弱点。

See our latest analysis for Ningbo Yibin Electronic Technology

查看我们对宁波宜宾电子科技的最新分析

earnings-and-revenue-history
SZSE:001278 Earnings and Revenue History November 2nd 2023
深圳证券交易所:001278 收益和收入记录 2023 年 11 月 2 日

Zooming In On Ningbo Yibin Electronic Technology's Earnings

放大宁波宜宾电子科技的收益

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

许多投资者还没有听说过 现金流应计比率,但它实际上是衡量公司在给定时期内自由现金流(FCF)在多大程度上支持利润的有用指标。为了获得应计比率,我们首先从一段时期的利润中减去FCF,然后将该数字除以该期间的平均运营资产。这个比率告诉我们,公司有多少利润没有自由现金流的支持。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,负应计比率对公司来说是正数,而正应计比率是负数。虽然正应计比率表明非现金利润达到一定水平不是问题,但高应计比率可以说是一件坏事,因为它表明纸面利润与现金流不匹配。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年发表的一篇论文,“应计额较高的公司将来的利润往往会降低”。

For the year to September 2023, Ningbo Yibin Electronic Technology had an accrual ratio of 0.26. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow fell significantly short of its reported profits. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥97.3m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥83m in the last year. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥83m, this year, indicates high risk. However, that's not all there is to consider. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

在截至2023年9月的一年中,宁波宜宾电子科技的应计比率为0.26。不幸的是,这意味着其自由现金流大大低于其报告的利润。尽管该公司公布的利润为9,730万元人民币,但从自由现金流来看,它实际上在去年耗尽了8300万元人民币。在去年自由现金流为负的背景下,我们想象一些股东可能会怀疑其今年8300万元人民币的现金消耗是否表明存在高风险。但是,这还不是要考虑的全部。应计比率至少部分反映了异常项目对法定利润的影响。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Ningbo Yibin Electronic Technology.

注意: 我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处查看我们对宁波宜宾电子科技的资产负债表分析。

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

不寻常的物品如何影响利润?

Given the accrual ratio, it's not overly surprising that Ningbo Yibin Electronic Technology's profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥17m in the last twelve months. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. Assuming those unusual items don't show up again in the current year, we'd thus expect profit to be weaker next year (in the absence of business growth, that is).

考虑到应计比率,在过去十二个月中,价值1700万元人民币的不寻常物品提振了宁波宜宾电子科技的利润也就不足为奇了。虽然获得更高的利润总是件好事,但来自不寻常物品的巨额贡献有时会抑制我们的热情。当我们整理数千家上市公司的数字时,我们发现,在给定年份中,不寻常的项目通常会带来提振 第二年重复。考虑到这个名字,这并不奇怪。假设这些不寻常的项目在本年度不会再次出现,那么我们预计明年的利润将疲软(也就是说,在业务没有增长的情况下)。

Our Take On Ningbo Yibin Electronic Technology's Profit Performance

我们对宁波宜宾电子科技的盈利表现的看法

Ningbo Yibin Electronic Technology had a weak accrual ratio, but its profit did receive a boost from unusual items. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at Ningbo Yibin Electronic Technology's statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Ningbo Yibin Electronic Technology at this point in time. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Ningbo Yibin Electronic Technology you should know about.

宁波宜宾电子科技的应计比率较弱,但其利润确实受到不寻常项目的提振。出于上述原因,我们认为,敷衍地看一眼宁波宜宾电子科技的法定利润可能会使其看起来比实际水平要好。因此,尽管收益质量很重要,但考虑宁波宜宾电子科技目前面临的风险同样重要。每家公司都有风险,我们已经发现 宁波宜宾电子科技有 1 个警告标志 你应该知道。

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

在这篇文章中,我们研究了许多可能损害利润数字效用的因素,我们持谨慎态度。但是,如果你能够将注意力集中在细节上,总会有更多东西需要发现。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率表明商业经济状况良好,而另一些人则喜欢 “关注资金”,寻找内部人士正在买入的股票。虽然可能需要你进行一些研究,但你可能会发现这一点 免费的 一系列拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份内部人士为了有用而买入的股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。 我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。 它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街在上述任何股票中都没有头寸。

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