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Shareholders in Anhui Conch Cement (HKG:914) Are in the Red If They Invested Three Years Ago

Shareholders in Anhui Conch Cement (HKG:914) Are in the Red If They Invested Three Years Ago

安徽海螺水泥(HKG: 914)的股东如果在三年前投资,就会陷入亏损
Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/03 19:20

If you are building a properly diversified stock portfolio, the chances are some of your picks will perform badly. But the last three years have been particularly tough on longer term Anhui Conch Cement Company Limited (HKG:914) shareholders. Sadly for them, the share price is down 62% in that time. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 15% in the last three months. But this could be related to the weak market, which is down 9.9% in the same period.

如果你正在建立一个适当多元化的股票投资组合,那么你的某些精选股票很可能会表现不佳。但从长远来看,过去的三年尤其艰难 安徽海螺水泥股份有限公司 (HKG: 914) 股东。令他们感到遗憾的是,那段时间股价下跌了62%。最近,跌幅加快,股价在过去三个月中下跌了15%。但这可能与疲软的市场有关,同期市场下跌了9.9%。

With that in mind, it's worth seeing if the company's underlying fundamentals have been the driver of long term performance, or if there are some discrepancies.

考虑到这一点,值得一看公司的基本面是否是长期业绩的驱动力,或者是否存在一些差异。

Check out our latest analysis for Anhui Conch Cement

查看我们对安徽海螺水泥的最新分析

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

尽管一些人继续教导高效市场假说,但事实证明,市场是反应过度的动态系统,投资者并不总是理性的。研究市场情绪如何随着时间的推移而变化的一种方法是研究公司股价与其每股收益(EPS)之间的相互作用。

Anhui Conch Cement saw its EPS decline at a compound rate of 30% per year, over the last three years. This fall in EPS isn't far from the rate of share price decline, which was 28% per year. So it seems that investor expectations of the company are staying pretty steady, despite the disappointment. It seems like the share price is reflecting the declining earnings per share.

在过去三年中,安徽海螺水泥的每股收益复合年下降率为30%。每股收益的下降与每年28%的股价下跌率相差不远。因此,尽管令人失望,但投资者对该公司的预期似乎仍保持相当稳定。股价似乎反映了每股收益的下降。

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

你可以在下面看到 EPS 是如何随着时间的推移而变化的(点击图片发现确切的值)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SEHK:914 Earnings Per Share Growth November 3rd 2023
香港交易所:914 每股收益增长 2023 年 11 月 3 日

Dive deeper into Anhui Conch Cement's key metrics by checking this interactive graph of Anhui Conch Cement's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

查看这张安徽海螺水泥收益、收入和现金流的交互式图表,深入了解安徽海螺水泥的关键指标。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, Anhui Conch Cement's TSR for the last 3 years was -54%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

除了衡量股价回报外,投资者还应考虑股东总回报(TSR)。基于股息再投资的假设,股东总回报率包括任何分拆或贴现资本筹集的价值以及任何股息。可以公平地说,股东总回报率为支付股息的股票提供了更完整的画面。碰巧的是,安徽海螺水泥过去3年的股东总回报率为-54%,超过了前面提到的股价回报率。因此,该公司支付的股息促进了 股东回报。

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

Investors in Anhui Conch Cement had a tough year, with a total loss of 6.1% (including dividends), against a market gain of about 15%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Unfortunately, longer term shareholders are suffering worse, given the loss of 7% doled out over the last five years. We would want clear information suggesting the company will grow, before taking the view that the share price will stabilize. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Anhui Conch Cement that you should be aware of before investing here.

安徽海螺水泥的投资者经历了艰难的一年,总亏损6.1%(包括股息),而市场涨幅约为15%。但是,请记住,即使是最好的股票有时也会在十二个月内表现逊于市场。不幸的是,鉴于过去五年中亏损了7%,长期股东遭受的损失更大。在认为股价将稳定之前,我们希望获得明确的信息,表明公司将增长。我发现从长远来看,将股价视为业务绩效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正获得见解,我们还需要考虑其他信息。例如,我们发现了 安徽海螺水泥有 2 个警告标志 在这里投资之前,你应该注意这一点。

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

对于那些喜欢寻找的人 获胜的投资 这个 免费的 最近进行内幕收购的成长型公司名单可能只是门票。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。 我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。 它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街在上述任何股票中都没有头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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