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Shandong Daye's (SHSE:603278) Profits May Be Overstating Its True Earnings Potential

Shandong Daye's (SHSE:603278) Profits May Be Overstating Its True Earnings Potential

山东大业(SHSE: 603278)的利润可能夸大了其真正的盈利潜力
Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/05 19:41

Shareholders didn't seem to be thrilled with Shandong Daye Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:603278) recent earnings report, despite healthy profit numbers. Our analysis suggests they may be concerned about some underlying details.

股东们似乎对山东大业有限公司并不感到兴奋。”s(上海证券交易所代码:603278)最近的收益报告,尽管利润数字良好。我们的分析表明,他们可能会担心一些潜在的细节。

See our latest analysis for Shandong Daye

查看我们对山东大业的最新分析

earnings-and-revenue-history
SHSE:603278 Earnings and Revenue History November 6th 2023
SHSE: 603278 2023 年 11 月 6 日的收益和收入历史记录

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

不寻常物品对利润的影响

To properly understand Shandong Daye's profit results, we need to consider the CN¥67m gain attributed to unusual items. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. We can see that Shandong Daye's positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to September 2023. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.

为了正确理解山东大业的盈利业绩,我们需要考虑不寻常项目带来的6700万元人民币的收益。我们不能否认,更高的利润通常使我们感到乐观,但如果利润是可持续的,我们更愿意这样做。当我们分析全球绝大多数上市公司时,我们发现重要的不寻常项目通常不会重演。考虑到这个名字,这并不奇怪。我们可以看到,在截至2023年9月的一年中,山东大业的正向异常项目相对于其利润相当可观。在其他条件相同的情况下,这可能会使法定利润无法很好地指导潜在的盈利能力。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

这可能会让你想知道分析师对未来盈利能力的预测。幸运的是,您可以单击此处查看根据他们的估计描绘未来盈利能力的交互式图表。

An Unusual Tax Situation

不寻常的税收状况

Having already discussed the impact of the unusual items, we should also note that Shandong Daye received a tax benefit of CN¥45m. It's always a bit noteworthy when a company is paid by the tax man, rather than paying the tax man. Of course, prima facie it's great to receive a tax benefit. And since it previously lost money, it may well simply indicate the realisation of past tax losses. However, the devil in the detail is that these kind of benefits only impact in the year they are booked, and are often one-off in nature. In the likely event the tax benefit is not repeated, we'd expect to see its statutory profit levels drop, at least in the absence of strong growth. While we think it's good that the company has booked a tax benefit, it does mean that there's every chance the statutory profit will come in a lot higher than it would be if the income was adjusted for one-off factors.

在已经讨论了这些不寻常项目的影响之后,我们还应该注意到,山东大业获得了4500万元人民币的税收优惠。当公司由税务员而不是向税务员付款时,总是值得注意的。当然, 初步证实 能获得税收优惠真是太好了。而且,由于它以前曾蒙受过损失,因此很可能仅表明过去的税收损失已经实现。但是,细节的魔鬼在于,这类福利仅在预订当年有效,而且通常是一次性的。如果税收优惠不重演,我们预计其法定利润水平将下降,至少在没有强劲增长的情况下是如此。尽管我们认为公司获得税收优惠是件好事,但这确实意味着法定利润很有可能比根据一次性因素调整收入时高得多。

Our Take On Shandong Daye's Profit Performance

我们对山东大业盈利表现的看法

In its last report Shandong Daye received a tax benefit which might make its profit look better than it really is on a underlying level. And on top of that, it also saw an unusual item boost its profit, suggesting that next year might see a lower profit number, if these events are not repeated. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at Shandong Daye's statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. Be aware that Shandong Daye is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis and 1 of those can't be ignored...

在上一份报告中,山东大业获得了税收优惠,这可能会使其利润看起来比实际水平要好。最重要的是,它还看到一个不寻常的项目提高了利润,这表明如果这些事件不重演,明年的利润数字可能会降低。出于上述原因,我们认为,敷衍地看一眼山东大业的法定利润可能会使其看起来比实际水平要好。请记住,在分析股票时,值得注意所涉及的风险。请注意,山东大业在我们的投资分析中显示出3个警告信号,其中一个不容忽视...

Our examination of Shandong Daye has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

我们对山东大业的审查侧重于某些可能使其收益好于实际的因素。而且,在此基础上,我们有些怀疑。但是,还有很多其他方法可以让你对公司的看法。有些人认为高股本回报率是优质业务的好兆头。因此,你可能希望看到这份免费收藏的拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份内部人士正在购买的股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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