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Is Guangzhou Jinyi Media (SZSE:002905) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

Is Guangzhou Jinyi Media (SZSE:002905) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

广州金易传媒(SZSE:002905)是否以冒险的方式使用债务?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/05 20:03

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Guangzhou Jinyi Media Corporation (SZSE:002905) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

霍华德·马克斯说得很好,他说:“我担心的是永久亏损的可能性... 我认识的每位务实投资者都很担心,而不是担心股价的波动。”因此,当你评估公司的风险时,聪明的货币似乎知道债务——通常与破产有关——是一个非常重要的因素。与许多其他公司一样,广州金易传媒股份有限公司(SZSE:002905)也使用债务。但是,股东是否应该担心其使用债务?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

为什么债务会带来风险?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

债务为企业提供帮助,直到企业难以用新的资本或自由现金流还清债务。如果情况变得非常糟糕,贷款人可以控制业务。尽管这种情况不太常见,但我们经常看到负债公司永久稀释股东,因为贷款人迫使他们以低价筹集资金。当然,许多公司使用债务为增长提供资金,而不会产生任何负面后果。考虑公司债务水平的第一步是将其现金和债务放在一起考虑。

Check out our latest analysis for Guangzhou Jinyi Media

查看我们对广州金易传媒的最新分析

What Is Guangzhou Jinyi Media's Debt?

广州金易传媒的债务是什么?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Guangzhou Jinyi Media had CN¥418.0m in debt in June 2023; about the same as the year before. However, it does have CN¥498.4m in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥80.4m.

您可以点击下图了解更多详细信息,该图表显示,广州金易传媒在2023年6月的债务为4.180亿元人民币;与前一年大致相同。但是,它确实有4.984亿元人民币的现金抵消了这一点,净现金为8,040万元人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002905 Debt to Equity History November 6th 2023
深圳证券交易所:002905 债权与股权历史记录 2023 年 11 月 6 日

A Look At Guangzhou Jinyi Media's Liabilities

看看广州金易传媒的负债

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Guangzhou Jinyi Media had liabilities of CN¥1.12b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥2.94b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥498.4m as well as receivables valued at CN¥95.0m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥3.46b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

我们可以从最新的资产负债表中看出,广州金易传媒在一年内到期的负债为11.12亿元人民币,此后到期的负债为29.4亿元人民币。为了抵消这些债务,它有4.984亿元人民币的现金以及价值9,500万元人民币的应收账款,将在12个月内到期。因此,它的负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款的总和高出34.6亿元人民币。

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of CN¥3.85b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Guangzhou Jinyi Media's use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Guangzhou Jinyi Media also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Guangzhou Jinyi Media will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

相对于其38.5亿元人民币的市值,这一赤字相当可观,因此这确实表明股东应密切关注广州金易传媒的债务使用情况。这表明,如果公司需要迅速支撑资产负债表,股东将被大幅稀释。尽管确实有负债值得注意,但广州金易传媒的现金也多于债务,因此我们非常有信心它能够安全地管理债务。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但是你不能完全孤立地看待债务;因为广州金易传媒需要收益来偿还这笔债务。因此,如果你想进一步了解其收益,可能值得看看这张长期收益趋势图。

In the last year Guangzhou Jinyi Media had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 3.4%, to CN¥1.0b. We would much prefer see growth.

去年,广州金易传媒出现利息和税前亏损,实际收入减少了3.4%,至10亿元人民币。我们更希望看到增长。

So How Risky Is Guangzhou Jinyi Media?

那么,广州金易传媒的风险有多大?

While Guangzhou Jinyi Media lost money on an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) level, it actually generated positive free cash flow CN¥299m. So although it is loss-making, it doesn't seem to have too much near-term balance sheet risk, keeping in mind the net cash. With revenue growth uninspiring, we'd really need to see some positive EBIT before mustering much enthusiasm for this business. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Guangzhou Jinyi Media you should be aware of, and 1 of them shouldn't be ignored.

尽管广州金易传媒在息税前收益(EBIT)水平上亏损,但它实际上产生了正的自由现金流人民币2.99亿元。因此,尽管亏损,但考虑到净现金,它似乎没有太大的短期资产负债表风险。由于收入增长并不令人鼓舞,因此我们确实需要看到一些正的息税前利润,然后才能激发对该业务的热情。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是起点。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中——远非如此。一个很好的例子:我们发现了广州金易传媒的两个警告标志,你应该注意,其中一个不容忽视。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

毕竟,如果你对一家资产负债表坚如磐石的快速成长型公司更感兴趣,那么请立即查看我们的净现金增长股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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