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Those Who Invested in Nasdaq (NASDAQ:NDAQ) Five Years Ago Are up 84%

Those Who Invested in Nasdaq (NASDAQ:NDAQ) Five Years Ago Are up 84%

五年前投资纳斯达克(纳斯达克股票代码:NDAQ)的人上涨了84%
Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/06 09:22

Stock pickers are generally looking for stocks that will outperform the broader market. And the truth is, you can make significant gains if you buy good quality businesses at the right price. For example, long term Nasdaq, Inc. (NASDAQ:NDAQ) shareholders have enjoyed a 70% share price rise over the last half decade, well in excess of the market return of around 51% (not including dividends).

选股者通常在寻找表现优于大盘的股票。事实是,如果你以合适的价格购买优质的企业,你可以获得可观的收益。例如,长期 纳斯达克公司 纳斯达克股票代码:NDAQ)股东在过去五年中股价上涨了70%,远远超过了约51%的市场回报率(不包括股息)。

So let's assess the underlying fundamentals over the last 5 years and see if they've moved in lock-step with shareholder returns.

因此,让我们评估过去5年的基本面,看看它们是否与股东回报步调一致。

See our latest analysis for Nasdaq

查看我们对纳斯达克的最新分析

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

引用巴菲特的话说:“船只将在世界各地航行,但Flat Earth Society将蓬勃发展。市场上的价格和价值之间将继续存在巨大差异...”研究市场情绪如何随着时间的推移而变化的一种方法是研究公司股价与其每股收益(EPS)之间的相互作用。

During five years of share price growth, Nasdaq achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 4.9% per year. This EPS growth is slower than the share price growth of 11% per year, over the same period. This suggests that market participants hold the company in higher regard, these days. And that's hardly shocking given the track record of growth.

在五年的股价增长中,纳斯达克实现了每年4.9%的复合每股收益(EPS)增长。每股收益的增长低于同期股价每年11%的增长。这表明,如今,市场参与者对公司的重视程度更高。考虑到增长记录,这并不令人震惊。

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下图描述了 EPS 随着时间的推移是如何变化的(点击图片可以看到确切的值)。

earnings-per-share-growth
NasdaqGS:NDAQ Earnings Per Share Growth November 6th 2023
纳斯达克:NDAQ 每股收益增长 2023 年 11 月 6 日

It's good to see that there was some significant insider buying in the last three months. That's a positive. That said, we think earnings and revenue growth trends are even more important factors to consider. Dive deeper into the earnings by checking this interactive graph of Nasdaq's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

很高兴看到在过去三个月中出现了一些大规模的内幕买盘。这是积极的。也就是说,我们认为收益和收入增长趋势是更重要的考虑因素。查看这张纳斯达克收益、收入和现金流的交互式图表,深入了解收益。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for Nasdaq the TSR over the last 5 years was 84%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

除了衡量股价回报外,投资者还应考虑股东总回报(TSR)。股价回报仅反映股价的变化,而股东总回报率包括股息的价值(假设股息已被再投资)以及任何折扣融资或分拆的收益。因此,对于支付丰厚股息的公司来说,股东总回报率通常远高于股价回报。我们注意到,纳斯达克过去5年的股东总回报率为84%,好于上述股价回报率。而且,猜测股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种差异是没有好处的!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

Nasdaq shareholders are down 18% for the year (even including dividends), but the market itself is up 16%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 13%, each year, over five years. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Nasdaq (1 is a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

纳斯达克股东今年下跌了18%(甚至包括股息),但市场本身却上涨了16%。但是,请记住,即使是最好的股票有时也会在十二个月内表现逊于市场。长期投资者不会那么沮丧,因为他们本可以在五年内每年获得13%的收入。如果基本面数据继续显示长期可持续增长,那么当前的抛售可能是一个值得考虑的机会。我发现从长远来看,将股价视为业务表现的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正获得见解,我们还需要考虑其他信息。例如,我们发现了 纳斯达克有 2 个警告标志 (1 有点令人担忧!)在这里投资之前,你应该注意这一点。

There are plenty of other companies that have insiders buying up shares. You probably do not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

还有很多其他公司有内部人士买入股票。你可能这样做 想错过这个 免费的 内部人士正在收购的成长型公司名单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。 我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。 它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街在上述任何股票中都没有头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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