share_log

Positive Earnings Growth Hasn't Been Enough to Get Fu Shou Yuan International Group (HKG:1448) Shareholders a Favorable Return Over the Last Three Years

Positive Earnings Growth Hasn't Been Enough to Get Fu Shou Yuan International Group (HKG:1448) Shareholders a Favorable Return Over the Last Three Years

在过去三年中,正的收益增长不足以让福寿源国际集团(HKG: 1448)的股东获得丰厚的回报
Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/06 18:28

In order to justify the effort of selecting individual stocks, it's worth striving to beat the returns from a market index fund. But in any portfolio, there are likely to be some stocks that fall short of that benchmark. Unfortunately, that's been the case for longer term Fu Shou Yuan International Group Limited (HKG:1448) shareholders, since the share price is down 32% in the last three years, falling well short of the market decline of around 16%.

为了证明选择个股的努力是合理的,值得努力超过市场指数基金的回报。但是在任何投资组合中,都可能有一些股票未达到该基准。不幸的是,从长远来看,情况一直如此 福寿园国际集团有限公司 (HKG: 1448) 股东们,由于股价在过去三年中下跌了32%,远低于市场约16%的跌幅。

While the stock has risen 3.4% in the past week but long term shareholders are still in the red, let's see what the fundamentals can tell us.

尽管该股在过去一周上涨了3.4%,但长期股东仍处于亏损状态,但让我们看看基本面能告诉我们什么。

View our latest analysis for Fu Shou Yuan International Group

查看我们对福寿园国际集团的最新分析

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

在他的文章中 格雷厄姆和多兹维尔的超级投资者 沃伦·巴菲特描述了股价如何并不总是合理地反映企业的价值。通过比较每股收益(EPS)和一段时间内的股价变化,我们可以了解投资者对公司的态度是如何随着时间的推移而变化的。

Although the share price is down over three years, Fu Shou Yuan International Group actually managed to grow EPS by 17% per year in that time. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Alternatively, growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.

尽管股价在三年内下跌,但在此期间,福寿源国际集团实际上设法每年将每股收益增长17%。鉴于股价反应,人们可能会怀疑每股收益并不能很好地指导该期间的业务表现(可能是由于一次性的亏损或收益)。或者,过去的增长预期可能不合理。

It's worth taking a look at other metrics, because the EPS growth doesn't seem to match with the falling share price.

值得一看其他指标,因为每股收益的增长似乎与股价的下跌不符。

Revenue is actually up 11% over the three years, so the share price drop doesn't seem to hinge on revenue, either. This analysis is just perfunctory, but it might be worth researching Fu Shou Yuan International Group more closely, as sometimes stocks fall unfairly. This could present an opportunity.

在过去的三年中,收入实际上增长了11%,因此股价的下跌似乎也不取决于收入。这种分析只是敷衍了事,但可能值得对福寿园国际集团进行更仔细的研究,因为有时股市下跌不公平。这可能带来机会。

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

公司的收入和收益(随着时间的推移)如下图所示(点击查看确切数字)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SEHK:1448 Earnings and Revenue Growth November 6th 2023
香港交易所:1448 收益和收入增长 2023年11月6日

We know that Fu Shou Yuan International Group has improved its bottom line lately, but what does the future have in store? If you are thinking of buying or selling Fu Shou Yuan International Group stock, you should check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

我们知道福寿园国际集团最近的利润有所提高,但是未来会发生什么?如果你想买入或卖出福寿源国际集团的股票,你应该看看这个 免费的 显示分析师盈利预测的报告。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Fu Shou Yuan International Group, it has a TSR of -28% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

在考虑投资回报时,重要的是要考虑两者之间的区别 股东总回报 (TSR) 和 股价回报。股东总回报率是一种回报计算方法,它考虑了现金分红的价值(假设收到的任何股息已被再投资)以及任何贴现资本筹集和分拆的计算价值。可以公平地说,股东总回报率为支付股息的股票提供了更完整的画面。就福寿园国际集团而言,其过去3年的股东总回报率为-28%。这超过了我们之前提到的股价回报率。因此,该公司支付的股息促进了 股东回报。

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

It's good to see that Fu Shou Yuan International Group has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 18% in the last twelve months. Of course, that includes the dividend. That certainly beats the loss of about 1.4% per year over the last half decade. The long term loss makes us cautious, but the short term TSR gain certainly hints at a brighter future. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Fu Shou Yuan International Group that you should be aware of before investing here.

很高兴看到福寿源国际集团在过去十二个月中向股东提供了18%的股东总回报率。当然,这包括分红。这无疑超过了过去五年中每年约1.4%的损失。长期亏损使我们持谨慎态度,但短期股东总回报率的上涨无疑预示着更光明的未来。尽管值得考虑市场状况可能对股价产生的不同影响,但还有其他因素更为重要。例如,我们发现了 福寿园国际集团有 1 个警告标志 在这里投资之前,你应该注意这一点。

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

如果你想去另一家公司看看 —— 一家财务状况可能优异的公司 —— 那千万不要错过这个 免费的 已证明可以增加收益的公司名单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对这篇文章有反馈吗?担心内容吗? 取得联系 直接和我们在一起。 或者,给编辑团队 (at) simplywallst.com 发送电子邮件。
Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。 我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。 它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街在上述任何股票中都没有头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发