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Is Datang Telecom Technology (SHSE:600198) A Risky Investment?

Is Datang Telecom Technology (SHSE:600198) A Risky Investment?

大唐电信科技(SHSE: 600198)是一项风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/07 20:01

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Datang Telecom Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600198) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

由伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司的查理·芒格支持的外部基金经理李璐对此毫不掩饰,他说:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久性的资本损失。”当你研究公司的资产负债表的风险时,自然会考虑它的资产负债表,因为企业倒闭时通常会涉及债务。我们可以看到,大唐电信科技股份有限公司(SHSE:600198)确实在其业务中使用了债务。但是,股东是否应该担心其使用债务?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

为什么债务会带来风险?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

当企业无法轻易履行这些义务时,无论是通过自由现金流还是以诱人的价格筹集资金,债务和其他负债就会面临风险。资本主义的重要部分是 “创造性破坏” 的过程,在这个过程中,倒闭的企业被银行家无情地清算。尽管这种情况不太常见,但我们经常看到负债公司永久稀释股东,因为贷款人迫使他们以低价筹集资金。当然,债务可能是企业的重要工具,尤其是资本密集型企业。考虑公司债务水平的第一步是将其现金和债务放在一起考虑。

See our latest analysis for Datang Telecom Technology

查看我们对大唐电信科技的最新分析

How Much Debt Does Datang Telecom Technology Carry?

大唐电信科技背负了多少债务?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Datang Telecom Technology had debt of CN¥158.7m at the end of September 2023, a reduction from CN¥272.8m over a year. But it also has CN¥396.1m in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥237.4m net cash.

您可以点击下图了解更多详细信息,该图片显示,截至2023年9月底,大唐电信科技的债务为1.587亿元人民币,较去年同期的2.728亿元人民币有所减少。但它也有3.961亿元人民币的现金可以抵消这一点,这意味着它有2.374亿元人民币的净现金。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:600198 Debt to Equity History November 8th 2023
上海证券交易所:600198 债权与股权历史记录 2023 年 11 月 8 日

How Strong Is Datang Telecom Technology's Balance Sheet?

大唐电信科技的资产负债表有多强?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Datang Telecom Technology had liabilities of CN¥1.50b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥184.6m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥396.1m and CN¥902.5m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥386.5m.

最新的资产负债表数据显示,大唐电信科技在一年内到期的负债为15亿元人民币,此后到期的负债为1.846亿元人民币。另一方面,它在一年内有3.961亿元人民币的现金和价值9.025亿元人民币的应收账款。因此,其负债超过现金和(近期)应收账款总额3.865亿元人民币。

Since publicly traded Datang Telecom Technology shares are worth a total of CN¥9.38b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Datang Telecom Technology also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Datang Telecom Technology's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

由于公开交易的大唐电信科技股票总价值为93.8亿元人民币,因此这种负债水平似乎不太可能成为重大威胁。但是,我们确实认为值得关注其资产负债表的实力,因为它可能会随着时间的推移而发生变化。尽管大唐电信科技确实有负债值得注意,但其现金也多于债务,因此我们非常有信心它能够安全地管理债务。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但是,大唐电信科技的收益将影响未来资产负债表的表现。因此,在考虑债务时,绝对值得一看收益趋势。点击此处查看交互式快照。

Over 12 months, Datang Telecom Technology made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CN¥1.0b, which is a fall of 13%. That's not what we would hope to see.

在过去的12个月中,大唐电信科技的息税前利润水平出现亏损,收入下降至10亿元人民币,下降了13%。这不是我们希望看到的。

So How Risky Is Datang Telecom Technology?

那么大唐电信科技有多危险?

We have no doubt that loss making companies are, in general, riskier than profitable ones. And we do note that Datang Telecom Technology had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss, over the last year. Indeed, in that time it burnt through CN¥123m of cash and made a loss of CN¥27m. With only CN¥237.4m on the balance sheet, it would appear that its going to need to raise capital again soon. Overall, we'd say the stock is a bit risky, and we're usually very cautious until we see positive free cash flow. When we look at a riskier company, we like to check how their profits (or losses) are trending over time. Today, we're providing readers this interactive graph showing how Datang Telecom Technology's profit, revenue, and operating cashflow have changed over the last few years.

我们毫不怀疑,总体而言,亏损公司比盈利公司的风险更大。我们确实注意到,大唐电信科技去年出现了息税前收益(EBIT)亏损。事实上,在那段时间里,它耗尽了1.23亿元人民币的现金,亏损了2700万元人民币。由于资产负债表上只有人民币2.374亿元,看来它需要很快再次筹集资金。总的来说,我们会说这只股票有点风险,在看到正的自由现金流之前,我们通常会非常谨慎。当我们看一家风险较高的公司时,我们想看看他们的利润(或亏损)在一段时间内的趋势。今天,我们将向读者提供这张互动图表,显示大唐电信科技的利润、收入和运营现金流在过去几年中发生了怎样的变化。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

当然,如果你是那种喜欢在没有债务负担的情况下购买股票的投资者,那么请立即查看我们的独家净现金增长股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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