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Despite the Downward Trend in Earnings at Anhui Jinhe IndustrialLtd (SZSE:002597) the Stock Advances 4.5%, Bringing Five-year Gains to 57%

Despite the Downward Trend in Earnings at Anhui Jinhe IndustrialLtd (SZSE:002597) the Stock Advances 4.5%, Bringing Five-year Gains to 57%

尽管安徽金河实业有限公司(深交所:002597)的收益呈下降趋势,但该股仍上涨4.5%,使五年来涨幅达到57%
Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/09 19:13

Generally speaking the aim of active stock picking is to find companies that provide returns that are superior to the market average. Buying under-rated businesses is one path to excess returns. To wit, the Anhui Jinhe IndustrialLtd share price has climbed 41% in five years, easily topping the market return of 32% (ignoring dividends).

一般而言,积极选股的目的是寻找回报优于市场平均水平的公司。收购被低估的企业是获得超额回报的途径之一。换句话说,安徽金河实业有限公司的股价在五年内上涨了41%,轻松超过了32%的市场回报率(不考虑分红)。

After a strong gain in the past week, it's worth seeing if longer term returns have been driven by improving fundamentals.

在过去一周强劲上涨之后,值得一看的是长期回报是否是由基本面改善推动的。

See our latest analysis for Anhui Jinhe IndustrialLtd

查看我们对安徽金河实业有限公司的最新分析

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

在他的文章中 格雷厄姆和多兹维尔的超级投资者 沃伦·巴菲特描述了股价如何并不总是合理地反映企业的价值。研究市场情绪如何随着时间的推移而变化的一种方法是研究公司股价与其每股收益(EPS)之间的相互作用。

Anhui Jinhe IndustrialLtd's earnings per share are down 2.5% per year, despite strong share price performance over five years.

尽管五年来股价表现强劲,但安徽金河实业有限公司的每股收益每年下降2.5%。

So it's hard to argue that the earnings per share are the best metric to judge the company, as it may not be optimized for profits at this point. Therefore, it's worth taking a look at other metrics to try to understand the share price movements.

因此,很难说每股收益是评判公司的最佳指标,因为目前每股收益可能还没有针对利润进行优化。因此,值得一看其他指标,以了解股价走势。

In contrast revenue growth of 14% per year is probably viewed as evidence that Anhui Jinhe IndustrialLtd is growing, a real positive. It's quite possible that management are prioritizing revenue growth over EPS growth at the moment.

相比之下,每年14%的收入增长可能被视为安徽金河实业有限公司正在增长的证据,这确实是一个积极的因素。目前,管理层很有可能将收入增长置于每股收益增长之上。

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

公司的收入和收益(随着时间的推移)如下图所示(点击查看确切数字)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SZSE:002597 Earnings and Revenue Growth November 10th 2023
深圳证券交易所:002597 收益和收入增长 2023年11月10日

This free interactive report on Anhui Jinhe IndustrialLtd's balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

如果你想进一步调查该股,这份关于安徽金河实业有限公司资产负债表实力的免费互动报告是一个不错的起点。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Anhui Jinhe IndustrialLtd, it has a TSR of 57% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

在考虑投资回报时,重要的是要考虑两者之间的区别 股东总回报 (TSR) 和 股价回报。股价回报仅反映股价的变化,而股东总回报率包括股息的价值(假设股息已被再投资)以及任何折扣融资或分拆的收益。因此,对于支付丰厚股息的公司来说,股东总回报率通常远高于股价回报。就安徽金河实业有限公司而言,其过去5年的股东总回报率为57%。这超过了我们之前提到的股价回报率。而且,猜测股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种差异是没有好处的!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

While the broader market lost about 3.5% in the twelve months, Anhui Jinhe IndustrialLtd shareholders did even worse, losing 31% (even including dividends). However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 9%, each year, over five years. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Anhui Jinhe IndustrialLtd better, we need to consider many other factors. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Anhui Jinhe IndustrialLtd you should be aware of.

尽管大盘在十二个月内下跌了约3.5%,但安徽金河实业有限公司的股东表现更差,损失了31%(甚至包括股息)。但是,可能仅仅是股价受到了更广泛的市场紧张情绪的影响。如果有很好的机会,可能值得关注基本面。长期投资者不会那么沮丧,因为他们本可以在五年内每年获得9%的收入。最近的抛售可能是一个机会,因此可能值得查看基本面数据以寻找长期增长趋势的迹象。从长远来看,追踪股价表现总是很有意思的。但是,要更好地了解安徽金河实业有限公司,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。一个很好的例子:我们发现了安徽金河实业有限公司的两个警告标志,你应该注意。

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

如果你想看看另一家公司——一家财务状况可能优异的公司——那么千万不要错过这份已经证明自己可以增加收益的公司的免费名单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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