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Despite the Downward Trend in Earnings at Brilliance Technology (SZSE:300542) the Stock Swells 13%, Bringing Five-year Gains to 83%

Despite the Downward Trend in Earnings at Brilliance Technology (SZSE:300542) the Stock Swells 13%, Bringing Five-year Gains to 83%

尽管华晨科技(深交所股票代码:300542)的收益呈下降趋势,但该股仍上涨了13%,使五年来涨幅达到83%
Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/10 08:50

When we invest, we're generally looking for stocks that outperform the market average. Buying under-rated businesses is one path to excess returns. For example, long term Brilliance Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300542) shareholders have enjoyed a 79% share price rise over the last half decade, well in excess of the market return of around 32% (not including dividends). However, more recent returns haven't been as impressive as that, with the stock returning just 10.0% in the last year , including dividends .

当我们投资时,我们通常在寻找表现优于市场平均水平的股票。收购被低估的企业是获得超额回报的途径之一。例如,华晨科技股份有限公司(深交所股票代码:300542)的长期股东在过去五年中股价上涨了79%,远远超过了约32%的市场回报率(不包括股息)。但是,最近的回报并没有那么令人印象深刻,该股去年的回报率仅为10.0%,包括股息。

After a strong gain in the past week, it's worth seeing if longer term returns have been driven by improving fundamentals.

在过去一周强劲上涨之后,值得一看的是长期回报是否是由基本面改善推动的。

Check out our latest analysis for Brilliance Technology

查看我们对华晨科技的最新分析

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

尽管一些人继续教导高效市场假说,但事实证明,市场是反应过度的动态系统,投资者并不总是理性的。考虑市场对公司的看法发生了怎样的变化的一种不完美但简单的方法是将每股收益(EPS)的变化与股价走势进行比较。

During five years of share price growth, Brilliance Technology actually saw its EPS drop 9.2% per year.

在股价增长的五年中,华晨科技的每股收益实际上每年下降9.2%。

This means it's unlikely the market is judging the company based on earnings growth. Because earnings per share don't seem to match up with the share price, we'll take a look at other metrics instead.

这意味着市场不太可能根据收益增长来评判该公司。由于每股收益似乎与股价不符,因此我们将改用其他指标。

The modest 0.1% dividend yield is unlikely to be propping up the share price. On the other hand, Brilliance Technology's revenue is growing nicely, at a compound rate of 10% over the last five years. In that case, the company may be sacrificing current earnings per share to drive growth.

0.1%的适度股息收益率不太可能支撑股价。另一方面,华晨科技的收入增长良好,在过去五年中复合增长率为10%。在这种情况下,公司可能会牺牲当前的每股收益来推动增长。

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

公司的收入和收益(随着时间的推移)如下图所示(点击查看确切数字)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SZSE:300542 Earnings and Revenue Growth November 10th 2023
深交所:300542 收益和收入增长 2023年11月10日

This free interactive report on Brilliance Technology's balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

如果你想进一步调查该股,这份关于华晨科技资产负债表实力的免费互动报告是一个不错的起点。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of Brilliance Technology, it has a TSR of 83% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

在考虑投资回报时,重要的是要考虑两者之间的区别 股东总回报 (TSR) 和 股价回报。股价回报仅反映股价的变化,而股东总回报率包括股息的价值(假设股息已被再投资)以及任何折扣融资或分拆的收益。可以说,股东总回报率可以更全面地描述股票产生的回报。就华晨科技而言,其过去5年的股东总回报率为83%。这超过了我们之前提到的股价回报率。这在很大程度上是其股息支付的结果!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

We're pleased to report that Brilliance Technology shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 10.0% over one year. Of course, that includes the dividend. Having said that, the five-year TSR of 13% a year, is even better. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Brilliance Technology better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Brilliance Technology you should know about.

我们很高兴地向大家报告,华晨科技股东在一年内获得了10.0%的股东总回报率。当然,这包括分红。话虽如此,五年股东总回报率为每年13%,甚至更好。从长远来看,追踪股价表现总是很有意思的。但是,为了更好地了解华晨科技,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。例如,以风险为例。每家公司都有它们,我们发现了华晨科技的3个警告信号,你应该知道。

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).

如果你想与管理层一起购买股票,那么你可能会喜欢这份免费的公司名单。(提示:业内人士一直在购买它们)。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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