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Investors More Bullish on Hanhua Financial Holding (HKG:3903) This Week as Stock Surges 41%, Despite Earnings Trending Downwards Over Past Three Years

Investors More Bullish on Hanhua Financial Holding (HKG:3903) This Week as Stock Surges 41%, Despite Earnings Trending Downwards Over Past Three Years

尽管过去三年来收益呈下降趋势,但本周股价仍飙升41%,投资者更加看好瀚华金控(HKG: 3903)
Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/10 17:12

By buying an index fund, investors can approximate the average market return. But if you pick the right individual stocks, you could make more than that. Just take a look at Hanhua Financial Holding Co., Ltd. (HKG:3903), which is up 46%, over three years, soundly beating the market decline of 27% (not including dividends). However, more recent returns haven't been as impressive as that, with the stock returning just 36% in the last year.

通过购买指数基金,投资者可以估算出平均市场回报。但是,如果你选择了正确的个股,你的收益可能不止于此。看看瀚华金融控股有限公司(HKG: 3903),它在三年内上涨了46%,稳步超过了27%的市场跌幅(不包括股息)。但是,最近的回报并没有那么令人印象深刻,去年该股的回报率仅为36%。

After a strong gain in the past week, it's worth seeing if longer term returns have been driven by improving fundamentals.

在过去一周强劲上涨之后,值得一看的是长期回报是否是由基本面改善推动的。

View our latest analysis for Hanhua Financial Holding

查看我们对瀚华金控的最新分析

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

引用巴菲特的话说:“船只将在世界各地航行,但Flat Earth Society将蓬勃发展。市场上的价格和价值之间将继续存在巨大差异...”通过比较每股收益(EPS)和一段时间内的股价变化,我们可以了解投资者对公司的态度是如何随着时间的推移而变化的。

Over the last three years, Hanhua Financial Holding failed to grow earnings per share, which fell 72% (annualized). In this instance, recent extraordinary items impacted the earnings.

在过去三年中,汉华金控未能增长每股收益,每股收益下降了72%(按年计算)。在这种情况下,最近的特殊项目影响了收益。

Thus, it seems unlikely that the market is focussed on EPS growth at the moment. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.

因此,目前市场似乎不太可能将注意力集中在每股收益的增长上。由于每股收益的变化似乎与股价的变化无关,因此值得一看其他指标。

You can only imagine how long term shareholders feel about the declining revenue trend (slipping at 33% per year). What's clear is that historic earnings and revenue aren't matching up with the share price action, very well. So you might have to dig deeper to get a grasp of the situation

你只能想象长期股东对收入下降趋势(每年下滑33%)的看法。显而易见的是,历史收益和收入与股价走势不相称。因此,你可能需要更深入地挖掘才能了解情况

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下图描述了收入和收入随时间推移而发生的变化(点击图片即可显示确切的数值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SEHK:3903 Earnings and Revenue Growth November 10th 2023
香港交易所:3903 收益和收入增长 2023年11月10日

This free interactive report on Hanhua Financial Holding's balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

如果你想进一步调查汉华金控股的资产负债表实力,这份关于汉华金控资产负债表实力的免费互动报告是一个不错的起点。

What About The Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

那么股东总回报(TSR)呢?

We'd be remiss not to mention the difference between Hanhua Financial Holding's total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Hanhua Financial Holding's TSR of 55% for the 3 years exceeded its share price return, because it has paid dividends.

如果不提汉华金融控股的区别,那就太失职了 股东总回报 (TSR) 及其 股价回报。股东总回报率是一种回报计算方法,它考虑了现金分红的价值(假设收到的任何股息已被再投资)以及任何贴现资本筹集和分拆的计算价值。汉华金融控股在过去3年中为55%的股东总回报率超过了其股价回报率,因为它已经支付了股息。

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

We're pleased to report that Hanhua Financial Holding shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 36% over one year. That certainly beats the loss of about 4% per year over the last half decade. We generally put more weight on the long term performance over the short term, but the recent improvement could hint at a (positive) inflection point within the business. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Even so, be aware that Hanhua Financial Holding is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

我们很高兴地向大家报告,汉华金控股东在一年内获得了36%的股东总回报率。这无疑超过了过去五年中每年约4%的损失。我们通常更看重短期内的长期业绩,但最近的改善可能暗示业务将出现(积极的)转折点。我发现从长远来看,将股价视为业务表现的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正获得见解,我们还需要考虑其他信息。即便如此,请注意,汉华金融控股在我们的投资分析中显示出两个警告信号,您应该知道...

But note: Hanhua Financial Holding may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

但请注意:汉华金控可能不是最值得买入的股票。因此,来看看这份包含过去盈利增长(以及进一步增长预测)的有趣公司的免费名单吧。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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