Is Yum China Holdings (NYSE:YUMC) Using Too Much Debt?
Is Yum China Holdings (NYSE:YUMC) Using Too Much Debt?
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Yum China Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:YUMC) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
由伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司的查理·芒格支持的外部基金经理李璐对此毫不掩饰,他说:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久性的资本损失。”因此,当你评估公司的风险时,聪明的货币似乎知道债务——通常与破产有关——是一个非常重要的因素。我们可以看到,百胜中国控股有限公司(纽约证券交易所代码:YUMC)确实在其业务中使用了债务。但是这笔债务是股东关心的问题吗?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
债务何时危险?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
一般而言,只有当公司无法通过筹集资金或利用自己的现金流轻松偿还债务时,债务才会成为真正的问题。如果情况变得非常糟糕,贷款人可以控制业务。尽管这种情况并不常见,但我们经常会看到负债公司永久稀释股东,因为贷款人强迫他们以不利的价格筹集资金。话虽如此,最常见的情况是公司合理地管理债务,而且是为了自己的利益。当我们检查债务水平时,我们首先要同时考虑现金和债务水平。
View our latest analysis for Yum China Holdings
查看我们对百胜中国控股的最新分析
How Much Debt Does Yum China Holdings Carry?
百胜中国控股公司持有多少债务?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2023 Yum China Holdings had debt of US$210.0m, up from none in one year. But on the other hand it also has US$3.13b in cash, leading to a US$2.92b net cash position.
您可以点击下图了解更多详细信息,该图片显示,截至2023年9月,百胜中国控股的债务为2.10亿美元,高于一年来的零债务。但另一方面,它也有31.3亿美元的现金,净现金头寸为29.2亿美元。
How Healthy Is Yum China Holdings' Balance Sheet?
百胜中国控股的资产负债表有多健康?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Yum China Holdings had liabilities of US$2.47b due within 12 months and liabilities of US$2.34b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$3.13b and US$62.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total US$1.62b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
纵观最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到,百胜中国控股在12个月内到期的负债为24.7亿美元,此后到期的负债为23.4亿美元。另一方面,它在一年内有31.3亿美元的现金和价值6,200万美元的应收账款。因此,其负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款的总和高出16.2亿美元。
Given Yum China Holdings has a humongous market capitalization of US$18.4b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Yum China Holdings boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
鉴于百胜中国控股的市值高达184亿美元,很难相信这些负债会构成太大威胁。但是,我们确实认为值得关注其资产负债表的实力,因为它可能会随着时间的推移而发生变化。尽管负债可观,但百胜中国控股拥有净现金,因此可以公平地说,它没有沉重的债务负担!
On top of that, Yum China Holdings grew its EBIT by 85% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Yum China Holdings's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
最重要的是,百胜中国控股在过去十二个月中将其息税前利润增长了85%,这种增长将使其更容易处理债务。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但是,未来的收益,比什么都重要,将决定百胜中国控股未来维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果你专注于未来,你可以查看这份显示分析师利润预测的免费报告。
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. Yum China Holdings may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, Yum China Holdings generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 80% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.
最后,尽管税务员可能喜欢会计利润,但贷款人只接受冷硬现金。百胜中国控股的资产负债表上可能有净现金,但看看该企业如何将其息税前收益(EBIT)转换为自由现金流仍然很有趣,因为这将影响其对债务的需求和管理债务的能力。在过去三年中,百胜中国控股产生的自由现金流占其息税前收益的80%,超出了我们的预期。如果需要的话,这有利于偿还债务。
Summing Up
总结
We could understand if investors are concerned about Yum China Holdings's liabilities, but we can be reassured by the fact it has has net cash of US$2.92b. The cherry on top was that in converted 80% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in US$749m. So we don't think Yum China Holdings's use of debt is risky. Another factor that would give us confidence in Yum China Holdings would be if insiders have been buying shares: if you're conscious of that signal too, you can find out instantly by clicking this link.
我们可以理解投资者是否担心百胜中国控股的负债,但可以放心,它的净现金为29.2亿美元。最重要的是,将息税前利润的80%转换为自由现金流,带来了7.49亿美元的收入。因此,我们认为百胜中国控股使用债务没有风险。让我们对百胜中国控股充满信心的另一个因素是内部人士是否一直在买入股票:如果你也意识到这个信号,你可以通过点击此链接立即找到答案。
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
归根结底,通常最好将注意力集中在没有净负债的公司身上。您可以访问我们的此类公司的特别名单(所有公司都有利润增长记录)。它是免费的。
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