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Is Akeso (HKG:9926) A Risky Investment?

Is Akeso (HKG:9926) A Risky Investment?

Akeso(HKG: 9926)是一项风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/16 07:24

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Akeso, Inc. (HKG:9926) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

大卫·伊本说得很好,他说:“波动性不是我们关心的风险。我们关心的是避免资本的永久损失。”当你研究公司的资产负债表的风险时,自然会考虑它的资产负债表,因为企业倒闭时通常会涉及债务。重要的是,Akeso, Inc.(HKG: 9926)确实有债务。但真正的问题是,这笔债务是否使公司面临风险。

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

为什么债务会带来风险?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

当企业无法通过自由现金流或以有吸引力的价格筹集资金来轻松履行债务和其他负债时,债务和其他负债就会面临风险。在最坏的情况下,如果一家公司无法向债权人付款,它可能会破产。但是,更常见(但仍然代价高昂)的情况是,公司必须以低廉的价格发行股票,永久稀释股东,以支撑其资产负债表。话虽如此,最常见的情况是公司合理地管理债务,而且是为了自己的利益。当我们检查债务水平时,我们首先要同时考虑现金和债务水平。

See our latest analysis for Akeso

查看我们对Akeso的最新分析

What Is Akeso's Debt?

Akeso 的债务是什么?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2023 Akeso had debt of CN¥2.52b, up from CN¥1.32b in one year. But it also has CN¥4.81b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥2.28b net cash.

下图显示截至2023年6月,Akeso的债务为252亿元人民币,高于一年的13.32亿元人民币,你可以点击下图了解更多详情。但它也有48亿元人民币的现金可以抵消这一点,这意味着它有22.8亿元人民币的净现金。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:9926 Debt to Equity History November 15th 2023
香港交易所:9926 债权与股权历史记录 2023 年 11 月 15 日

How Healthy Is Akeso's Balance Sheet?

Akeso的资产负债表有多健康?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Akeso had liabilities of CN¥933.3m falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥3.03b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥4.81b and CN¥288.9m worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast CN¥1.13b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

我们可以从最新的资产负债表中看出,Akeso的负债为9.333亿元人民币,此后到期的负债为30.3亿元人民币。另一方面,它在一年内有48亿元人民币的现金和价值2.889亿元人民币的应收账款。因此,它的流动性资产可以比之高出11.3亿元人民币 负债。

This surplus suggests that Akeso has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Succinctly put, Akeso boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

这种盈余表明Akeso的资产负债表比较保守,可以毫不费力地消除债务。简而言之,Akeso拥有净现金,因此可以公平地说,它没有沉重的债务负担!

Although Akeso made a loss at the EBIT level, last year, it was also good to see that it generated CN¥1.5b in EBIT over the last twelve months. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Akeso can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

尽管Akeso在息税前利润水平上出现了亏损,但也很高兴看到它在过去十二个月中创造了15亿元人民币的息税前利润。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是起点。但最终,该业务的未来盈利能力将决定Akeso能否随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果你专注于未来,你可以查看这份显示分析师利润预测的免费报告。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While Akeso has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last year, Akeso recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 87% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.

最后,尽管税务员可能喜欢会计利润,但贷款人只接受冷硬现金。尽管Akeso的资产负债表上有净现金,但仍值得一看其将息税前收益(EBIT)转换为自由现金流的能力,以帮助我们了解其建立(或侵蚀)现金余额的速度有多快。去年,Akeso的自由现金流占其息税前收益的87%,比我们通常预期的要强。如果需要的话,这有利于偿还债务。

Summing Up

总结

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Akeso has net cash of CN¥2.28b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. The cherry on top was that in converted 87% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in CN¥1.3b. So we don't think Akeso's use of debt is risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Akeso you should be aware of, and 2 of them are significant.

尽管我们同情那些认为债务相关的投资者,但您应该记住,Akeso的净现金为22.8亿元人民币,流动资产也多于负债。最重要的是,将息税前利润的87%转换为自由现金流,带来了13亿元人民币的收入。因此,我们认为Akeso使用债务没有风险。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中——远非如此。一个很好的例子:我们发现了你应该注意的 Akeso 的 3 个警告信号,其中 2 个很重要。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有兴趣投资能够在没有债务负担的情况下增加利润的企业,请查看这份资产负债表上有净现金的成长型企业的免费清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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