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Investors Who Have Held Swire Pacific (HKG:19) Over the Last Five Years Have Watched Its Earnings Decline Along With Their Investment

Investors Who Have Held Swire Pacific (HKG:19) Over the Last Five Years Have Watched Its Earnings Decline Along With Their Investment

在过去五年中持有太古太平洋(HKG: 19)的投资者看到太古太平洋的收益随着投资而下降
Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/16 00:10

For many, the main point of investing is to generate higher returns than the overall market. But in any portfolio, there will be mixed results between individual stocks. At this point some shareholders may be questioning their investment in Swire Pacific Limited (HKG:19), since the last five years saw the share price fall 41%. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 19% in the last three months.

对于许多人来说,投资的重点是产生比整个市场更高的回报。但是在任何投资组合中,个股之间的结果都会好坏参半。此时,一些股东可能会质疑他们对太古太平洋有限公司(HKG: 19)的投资,因为在过去五年中,股价下跌了41%。最近,跌幅加快,股价在过去三个月中下跌了19%。

While the last five years has been tough for Swire Pacific shareholders, this past week has shown signs of promise. So let's look at the longer term fundamentals and see if they've been the driver of the negative returns.

尽管过去五年对太古太平洋的股东来说是艰难的,但过去一周却显示出希望的迹象。因此,让我们来看看长期基本面,看看它们是否是负回报的驱动力。

See our latest analysis for Swire Pacific

查看我们对太古太平洋的最新分析

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

用本杰明·格雷厄姆的话来说:从短期来看,市场是一台投票机器,但从长远来看,它是一台称重机。评估公司情绪变化的一种有缺陷但合理的方法是将每股收益(EPS)与股价进行比较。

Swire Pacific became profitable within the last five years. That would generally be considered a positive, so we are surprised to see the share price is down. Other metrics might give us a better handle on how its value is changing over time.

太古太平洋在过去五年内实现了盈利。这通常被认为是积极的,因此我们惊讶地看到股价下跌。其他指标可能会让我们更好地了解其价值如何随着时间的推移而变化。

The steady dividend doesn't really explain why the share price is down. While it's not completely obvious why the share price is down, a closer look at the company's history might help explain it.

稳定的股息并不能真正解释股价下跌的原因。尽管股价下跌的原因尚不完全明显,但仔细研究该公司的历史可能有助于解释这一点。

You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

您可以在下图中看到收入和收入随时间推移而发生的变化(点击图表查看确切值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SEHK:19 Earnings and Revenue Growth November 16th 2023
香港交易所:19 收益与收入增长 2023年11月16日

It is of course excellent to see how Swire Pacific has grown profits over the years, but the future is more important for shareholders. Take a more thorough look at Swire Pacific's financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.

当然,很高兴看到太古太平洋多年来如何增加利润,但未来对股东来说更为重要。通过这份关于太古太平洋资产负债表的免费报告,更全面地了解太古太平洋的财务状况。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Swire Pacific's TSR for the last 5 years was -16%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

重要的是要考虑任何给定股票的股东总回报率以及股价回报。基于股息再投资的假设,股东总回报率包括任何分拆或贴现资本筹集的价值以及任何股息。可以说,股东总回报率可以更全面地描述股票产生的回报。碰巧的是,太古太平洋过去5年的股东总回报率为-16%,超过了前面提到的股价回报率。因此,该公司支付的股息促进了 股东回报。

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

Swire Pacific shareholders are up 1.7% for the year (even including dividends). But that was short of the market average. On the bright side, that's still a gain, and it is certainly better than the yearly loss of about 3% endured over half a decade. So this might be a sign the business has turned its fortunes around. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Swire Pacific better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Swire Pacific , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

太古太平洋股东今年上涨1.7%(包括股息)。但这低于市场平均水平。好的一面是,这仍然是一种收益,而且肯定比五年来每年约3%的亏损要好。因此,这可能表明该企业已经扭转了局面。长期跟踪股价表现总是很有意思的。但是,为了更好地了解太古航空,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。例如,以永远存在的投资风险幽灵为例。我们已经在太古太平洋发现了一个警告信号,理解这些信号应该是你投资过程的一部分。

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).

如果你想与管理层一起购买股票,那么你可能会喜欢这份免费的公司名单。(提示:业内人士一直在购买它们)。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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