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Jilin Sino-Microelectronics (SHSE:600360) Shareholders Notch a 11% CAGR Over 5 Years, yet Earnings Have Been Shrinking

Jilin Sino-Microelectronics (SHSE:600360) Shareholders Notch a 11% CAGR Over 5 Years, yet Earnings Have Been Shrinking

吉林华微电子(SHSE: 600360)的股东在5年内实现了11%的复合年增长率,但收益一直在萎缩
Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/17 18:12

When we invest, we're generally looking for stocks that outperform the market average. And the truth is, you can make significant gains if you buy good quality businesses at the right price. For example, long term Jilin Sino-Microelectronics Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600360) shareholders have enjoyed a 47% share price rise over the last half decade, well in excess of the market return of around 31% (not including dividends). On the other hand, the more recent gains haven't been so impressive, with shareholders gaining just 12% , including dividends .

当我们投资时,我们通常在寻找表现优于市场平均水平的股票。事实是,如果你以合适的价格收购优质的企业,你就能获得可观的收益。例如,吉林华微电子股份有限公司(SHSE: 600360)的长期股东在过去五年中股价上涨了47%,远远超过了约31%的市场回报率(不包括股息)。另一方面,最近的涨幅并不那么令人印象深刻,包括股息在内的股东仅获得12%的收益。

Since it's been a strong week for Jilin Sino-Microelectronics shareholders, let's have a look at trend of the longer term fundamentals.

由于这是吉林中微电子股东表现强劲的一周,让我们来看看长期基本面的走势。

View our latest analysis for Jilin Sino-Microelectronics

查看我们对吉林华微电子的最新分析

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

用本杰明·格雷厄姆的话来说:从短期来看,市场是一台投票机器,但从长远来看,它是一台称重机。评估公司情绪变化的一种有缺陷但合理的方法是将每股收益(EPS)与股价进行比较。

During five years of share price growth, Jilin Sino-Microelectronics actually saw its EPS drop 24% per year.

在股价增长的五年中,吉林华微电子的每股收益实际上每年下降24%。

This means it's unlikely the market is judging the company based on earnings growth. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.

这意味着市场不太可能根据收益增长来评判该公司。由于每股收益的变化似乎与股价的变化无关,因此值得一看其他指标。

We doubt the modest 0.2% dividend yield is attracting many buyers to the stock. On the other hand, Jilin Sino-Microelectronics' revenue is growing nicely, at a compound rate of 3.9% over the last five years. In that case, the company may be sacrificing current earnings per share to drive growth.

我们怀疑0.2%的适度股息收益率能否吸引许多买家购买该股。另一方面,吉林中微电子的收入增长良好,在过去五年中复合增长率为3.9%。在这种情况下,公司可能会牺牲当前的每股收益来推动增长。

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

公司的收入和收益(随着时间的推移)如下图所示(点击查看确切数字)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:600360 Earnings and Revenue Growth November 17th 2023
上海证券交易所:600360 收益和收入增长 2023 年 11 月 17 日

Take a more thorough look at Jilin Sino-Microelectronics' financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.

通过这份关于吉林中微电子资产负债表的免费报告,更全面地了解吉林中微电子的财务状况。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Jilin Sino-Microelectronics the TSR over the last 5 years was 68%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

除了衡量股价回报外,投资者还应考虑股东总回报(TSR)。股价回报仅反映股价的变化,而股东总回报率包括股息的价值(假设股息已被再投资)以及任何折扣融资或分拆的收益。可以说,股东总回报率可以更全面地描述股票产生的回报。我们注意到,吉林华微电子在过去5年的股东总回报率为68%,好于上述股价回报率。而且,猜测股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种差异是没有好处的!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

We're pleased to report that Jilin Sino-Microelectronics shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 12% over one year. Of course, that includes the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 11% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Jilin Sino-Microelectronics better, we need to consider many other factors. Even so, be aware that Jilin Sino-Microelectronics is showing 5 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 2 of those shouldn't be ignored...

我们很高兴地向大家报告,吉林华微电子的股东在一年内获得了12%的股东总回报率。当然,这包括分红。由于一年期股东总回报率好于五年期股东总回报率(后者为每年11%),该股的表现似乎在最近有所改善。持乐观观点的人可能会将最近股东总回报率的改善视为业务本身随着时间的推移而变得越来越好。从长远来看,追踪股价表现总是很有意思的。但是,为了更好地了解吉林华微电子,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。即便如此,请注意,吉林华微电子在我们的投资分析中显示了5个警告信号,其中2个不容忽视...

We will like Jilin Sino-Microelectronics better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.

如果我们看到一些大规模的内幕买入,我们会更喜欢吉林华微电子。在我们等待的同时,请查看这份免费名单,列出了最近有大量内幕买入的成长型公司。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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