Is LianChuang Electronic TechnologyLtd (SZSE:002036) A Risky Investment?
Is LianChuang Electronic TechnologyLtd (SZSE:002036) A Risky Investment?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that LianChuang Electronic Technology Co.,Ltd (SZSE:002036) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
传奇基金经理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾经说过:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久的资本损失。”因此,当你评估公司的风险时,看来聪明的货币知道债务(通常涉及破产)是一个非常重要的因素。我们可以看到联创电子科技有限公司, Ltd(深圳证券交易所:002036)确实在其业务中使用债务。但是这笔债务是股东关心的问题吗?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
债务何时危险?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
债务是帮助企业增长的工具,但是如果企业无法还清贷款人的债务,那么债务就任其摆布。在最坏的情况下,如果公司无法向债权人付款,它可能会破产。但是,更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司为了控制债务,必须以低廉的股价稀释股东。当然,债务可以成为企业的重要工具,尤其是资本密集型企业。考虑公司的债务水平的第一步是同时考虑其现金和债务。
See our latest analysis for LianChuang Electronic TechnologyLtd
查看我们对联创电子科技有限公司的最新分析
What Is LianChuang Electronic TechnologyLtd's Debt?
联创电子科技有限公司的债务是多少?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2023 LianChuang Electronic TechnologyLtd had CN¥7.52b of debt, an increase on CN¥5.77b, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥2.79b, its net debt is less, at about CN¥4.73b.
你可以点击下图查看历史数字,但它显示,截至2023年9月,联创电子科技有限公司在一年内有75.2亿元人民币的债务,比577亿元人民币增加。但是,由于其现金储备为27.9亿元人民币,其净负债较少,约为47.3亿元人民币。
How Strong Is LianChuang Electronic TechnologyLtd's Balance Sheet?
联创电子科技有限公司的资产负债表有多强?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that LianChuang Electronic TechnologyLtd had liabilities of CN¥9.05b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥3.35b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥2.79b and CN¥3.56b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥6.05b.
放大最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到,联创电子科技有限公司在12个月内到期的负债为90.5亿元人民币,之后到期的负债为33.5亿元人民币。另一方面,它有27.9亿加元的现金和价值35.6亿元人民币的应收账款将在一年内到期。因此,其负债超过其现金和(短期)应收账款总额60.5亿元人民币。
This deficit isn't so bad because LianChuang Electronic TechnologyLtd is worth CN¥11.7b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine LianChuang Electronic TechnologyLtd's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
这种赤字还不错,因为联创电子科技有限公司的市值为117亿元人民币,因此,如果有需要,可能会筹集足够的资金来支撑其资产负债表。但很明显,我们一定要仔细研究它能否在不稀释的情况下管理债务。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但是,未来的收益比什么都重要,将决定联创电子科技有限公司未来维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的想法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。
In the last year LianChuang Electronic TechnologyLtd had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 11%, to CN¥10b. We would much prefer see growth.
去年,联创电子科技有限公司在利息和税前出现亏损,实际收入减少了11%,至100亿元人民币。我们更希望看到增长。
Caveat Emptor
Caveat Emptor
Not only did LianChuang Electronic TechnologyLtd's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). To be specific the EBIT loss came in at CN¥329m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled CN¥999m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that LianChuang Electronic TechnologyLtd is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is a bit unpleasant...
在过去的十二个月中,联创电子科技有限公司不仅收入下滑,而且还产生了负的息税前收益(EBIT)。具体而言,息税前利润亏损为3.29亿元人民币。考虑到这一点,除了上述负债外,我们对公司应该使用如此多的债务没有太大的信心。因此,我们认为其资产负债表有些紧张,尽管并非无法修复。另一个需要谨慎的原因是,在过去的十二个月中,自由现金流为负9.99亿元人民币。因此,只要说我们认为这只股票风险很高就足够了。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但归根结底,每家公司都可以控制资产负债表之外存在的风险。请注意,联创电子科技有限公司在我们的投资分析中显示了两个警告信号,其中一个有点令人不快...
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
归根结底,通常最好将注意力集中在没有净负债的公司身上。您可以访问我们的此类公司的特别名单(所有公司都有利润增长记录)。它是免费的。
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Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并非旨在提供财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。华尔街只是没有持有上述任何股票的头寸。