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Investors More Bullish on Tianjin Tianyao Pharmaceuticals (SHSE:600488) This Week as Stock Rises 7.5%, Despite Earnings Trending Downwards Over Past Five Years

Investors More Bullish on Tianjin Tianyao Pharmaceuticals (SHSE:600488) This Week as Stock Rises 7.5%, Despite Earnings Trending Downwards Over Past Five Years

尽管过去五年来收益呈下降趋势,但本周股价仍上涨7.5%,投资者更加看好天津天药业(SHSE:600488)
Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/23 17:29

Generally speaking the aim of active stock picking is to find companies that provide returns that are superior to the market average. And the truth is, you can make significant gains if you buy good quality businesses at the right price. To wit, the Tianjin Tianyao Pharmaceuticals share price has climbed 40% in five years, easily topping the market return of 33% (ignoring dividends). However, more recent returns haven't been as impressive as that, with the stock returning just 18% in the last year , including dividends .

一般而言,积极选股的目的是寻找回报优于市场平均水平的公司。事实是,如果你以合适的价格收购优质的企业,你就能获得可观的收益。换句话说,天津天药业的股价在五年内上涨了40%,轻松超过了33%的市场回报率(不考虑股息)。但是,最近的回报并没有那么令人印象深刻,该股去年包括股息在内的回报率仅为18%。

On the back of a solid 7-day performance, let's check what role the company's fundamentals have played in driving long term shareholder returns.

在连续7天表现稳健的背景下,让我们来看看公司的基本面在推动长期股东回报方面发挥了什么作用。

See our latest analysis for Tianjin Tianyao Pharmaceuticals

查看我们对天津天药制药的最新分析

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

用本杰明·格雷厄姆的话来说:从短期来看,市场是一台投票机器,但从长远来看,它是一台称重机。研究市场情绪如何随着时间的推移而变化的一种方法是研究公司股价与其每股收益(EPS)之间的相互作用。

Tianjin Tianyao Pharmaceuticals' earnings per share are down 0.2% per year, despite strong share price performance over five years.

尽管五年来股价表现强劲,但天津天药业的每股收益每年下降0.2%。

By glancing at these numbers, we'd posit that the decline in earnings per share is not representative of how the business has changed over the years. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.

通过浏览这些数字,我们可以假设每股收益的下降并不能代表业务多年来的变化。由于每股收益的变化似乎与股价的变化无关,因此值得一看其他指标。

The modest 0.2% dividend yield is unlikely to be propping up the share price. In contrast revenue growth of 8.2% per year is probably viewed as evidence that Tianjin Tianyao Pharmaceuticals is growing, a real positive. In that case, the company may be sacrificing current earnings per share to drive growth.

0.2%的适度股息收益率不太可能支撑股价。相比之下,每年8.2%的收入增长可能被视为天津天药业正在增长的证据,这确实是一个积极的因素。在这种情况下,公司可能会牺牲当前的每股收益来推动增长。

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

您可以在下面看到收入和收入如何随着时间的推移而变化(点击图片了解确切的值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:600488 Earnings and Revenue Growth November 23rd 2023
上海证券交易所:600488 2023 年 11 月 23 日收益和收入增长

Balance sheet strength is crucial. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.

资产负债表的强度至关重要。可能值得一看我们关于其财务状况如何随着时间的推移而变化的免费报告。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of Tianjin Tianyao Pharmaceuticals, it has a TSR of 44% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

重要的是要考虑任何给定股票的股东总回报率以及股价回报。股东总回报率是一种回报计算方法,它考虑了现金分红的价值(假设收到的任何股息已被再投资)以及任何贴现资本筹集和分拆的计算价值。可以说,股东总回报率可以更全面地描述股票产生的回报。就天津天药药业而言,其过去5年的股东总回报率为44%。这超过了我们之前提到的股价回报率。而且,猜测股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种差异是没有好处的!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

It's good to see that Tianjin Tianyao Pharmaceuticals has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 18% in the last twelve months. And that does include the dividend. That gain is better than the annual TSR over five years, which is 8%. Therefore it seems like sentiment around the company has been positive lately. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Tianjin Tianyao Pharmaceuticals (at least 1 which is a bit unpleasant) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

很高兴看到天津天药业在过去十二个月中向股东提供了18%的股东总回报率。这确实包括股息。该增幅优于五年内的年度股东总回报率,后者为8%。因此,最近公司周围的情绪似乎一直乐观。持乐观观点的人可能会将最近股东总回报率的改善视为业务本身随着时间的推移而变得越来越好。我发现从长远来看,将股价视为业务表现的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正获得见解,我们还需要考虑其他信息。例如,以永远存在的投资风险幽灵为例。我们已经发现天津天药药业有两个警告信号(至少有一个有点不愉快),了解它们应该是您投资过程的一部分。

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

如果你想看看另一家公司——一家财务状况可能优异的公司——那么千万不要错过这份已经证明自己可以增加收益的公司的免费名单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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