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Is Haima AutomobileLtd (SZSE:000572) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

Is Haima AutomobileLtd (SZSE:000572) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

海马汽车有限公司(深交所代码:000572)是否以冒险的方式使用债务?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/24 01:15

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Haima Automobile Co.,Ltd (SZSE:000572) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

有人说,作为投资者,波动性而不是债务是考虑风险的最佳方式,但沃伦·巴菲特曾说过一句名言:“波动性远非风险的代名词。”因此,很明显,当你考虑任何给定股票的风险时,你需要考虑债务,因为过多的债务会使公司陷入困境。重要的是,海马汽车有限公司, Ltd(深圳证券交易所代码:000572)确实有债务。但更重要的问题是:这笔债务造成了多少风险?

When Is Debt A Problem?

债务何时会成为问题?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

当企业无法轻易履行这些义务时,无论是通过自由现金流还是以诱人的价格筹集资金,债务和其他负债就会面临风险。最终,如果公司无法履行偿还债务的法律义务,股东可能一无所有地离开。但是,更频繁(但仍然代价高昂)的情况是,公司必须以低廉的价格发行股票,永久稀释股东,以支撑其资产负债表。当然,许多公司使用债务为增长提供资金,而不会产生任何负面后果。当我们考虑公司对债务的使用时,我们首先要同时考虑现金和债务。

See our latest analysis for Haima AutomobileLtd

查看我们对海马汽车有限公司的最新分析

What Is Haima AutomobileLtd's Net Debt?

海马汽车有限公司的净负债是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2023 Haima AutomobileLtd had CN¥191.8m of debt, an increase on CN¥100.0m, over one year. But on the other hand it also has CN¥644.9m in cash, leading to a CN¥453.1m net cash position.

你可以点击下图查看历史数字,但它显示,截至2023年9月,海马汽车有限公司在一年内有1.918亿元人民币的债务,比1.00亿元人民币增加了人民币。但另一方面,它也有6.449亿元人民币的现金,净现金头寸为4.531亿元人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:000572 Debt to Equity History November 24th 2023
深圳证券交易所:000572 债权与股权历史记录 2023 年 11 月 24 日

A Look At Haima AutomobileLtd's Liabilities

看看海马汽车有限公司的负债

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Haima AutomobileLtd had liabilities of CN¥3.65b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥171.2m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥644.9m and CN¥1.88b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥1.30b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

我们可以从最新的资产负债表中看出,海马汽车有限公司的负债为36.5亿元人民币,此后到期的负债为1.712亿元人民币。另一方面,它在一年内有6.449亿元人民币的现金和价值18.8亿元人民币的应收账款。因此,它的负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款的总和高出13亿元人民币。

Of course, Haima AutomobileLtd has a market capitalization of CN¥10.1b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Haima AutomobileLtd boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Haima AutomobileLtd will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

当然,海马汽车有限公司的市值为101亿元人民币,因此这些负债可能是可以控制的。话虽如此,很明显,我们应该继续监控其资产负债表,以免情况变得更糟。尽管负债可观,但海马汽车有限公司拥有净现金,因此可以说它没有沉重的债务负担!毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但是你不能完全孤立地看待债务;因为海马汽车有限公司需要收益来偿还这笔债务。因此,如果你想进一步了解其收益,可能值得看看这张长期收益趋势图。

In the last year Haima AutomobileLtd wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 9.2%, to CN¥2.6b. We usually like to see faster growth from unprofitable companies, but each to their own.

去年,海马汽车有限公司在息税前利润水平上没有实现盈利,但其收入增长了9.2%,达到26亿元人民币。我们通常希望看到无利可图的公司实现更快的增长,但每家公司都有自己的增长。

So How Risky Is Haima AutomobileLtd?

那么海马汽车有限公司的风险有多大?

By their very nature companies that are losing money are more risky than those with a long history of profitability. And in the last year Haima AutomobileLtd had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss, truth be told. Indeed, in that time it burnt through CN¥341m of cash and made a loss of CN¥1.5b. With only CN¥453.1m on the balance sheet, it would appear that its going to need to raise capital again soon. Overall, we'd say the stock is a bit risky, and we're usually very cautious until we see positive free cash flow. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Haima AutomobileLtd (1 shouldn't be ignored) you should be aware of.

就其本质而言,亏损的公司比那些盈利历史悠久的公司风险更大。说实话,去年海马汽车有限公司出现了息税前收益(EBIT)亏损。事实上,在那段时间里,它耗尽了3.41亿元人民币的现金,亏损了15亿元人民币。由于资产负债表上只有4.531亿元人民币,看来它需要很快再次筹集资金。总的来说,我们会说这只股票有点风险,在看到正的自由现金流之前,我们通常会非常谨慎。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中——远非如此。例如,我们已经为海马汽车有限公司确定了两个警告标志(其中一个不容忽视),你应该注意。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有兴趣投资能够在没有债务负担的情况下增加利润的企业,请查看这份资产负债表上有净现金的成长型企业的免费清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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