Those holding Paragon 28, Inc. (NYSE:FNA) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 29% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 46% over that time.
Following the firm bounce in price, given close to half the companies operating in the United States' Medical Equipment industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 3x, you may consider Paragon 28 as a stock to potentially avoid with its 4.2x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
View our latest analysis for Paragon 28
How Has Paragon 28 Performed Recently?
With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Paragon 28 has been doing relatively well. The P/S is probably high because investors think this strong revenue performance will continue. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Paragon 28.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Paragon 28's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 20%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 87% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the seven analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 19% per year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 9.6% per year growth forecast for the broader industry.
In light of this, it's understandable that Paragon 28's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
The Final Word
Paragon 28's P/S is on the rise since its shares have risen strongly. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
As we suspected, our examination of Paragon 28's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook is contributing to its high P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in revenues is quite remote, justifying the elevated P/S ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for Paragon 28 you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Paragon 28's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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