Optimism for Hebei Yichen Industrial Group (HKG:1596) Has Grown This Past Week, Despite Three-year Decline in Earnings
Optimism for Hebei Yichen Industrial Group (HKG:1596) Has Grown This Past Week, Despite Three-year Decline in Earnings
One simple way to benefit from the stock market is to buy an index fund. But if you buy good businesses at attractive prices, your portfolio returns could exceed the average market return. For example, Hebei Yichen Industrial Group Corporation Limited (HKG:1596) shareholders have seen the share price rise 17% over three years, well in excess of the market decline (28%, not including dividends). On the other hand, the returns haven't been quite so good recently, with shareholders up just 13% , including dividends .
从股票市场中受益的一种简单方法是购买指数基金。但是,如果你以诱人的价格收购优秀的企业,你的投资组合回报可能会超过平均市场回报。例如,河北翼晨实业集团股份有限公司(HKG:1596)股东的股价在三年内上涨了17%,远远超过了市场的跌幅(28%,不包括股息)。另一方面,最近的回报并不那么好,包括股息在内的股东仅增长了13%。
On the back of a solid 7-day performance, let's check what role the company's fundamentals have played in driving long term shareholder returns.
在连续7天表现稳健的背景下,让我们来看看公司的基本面在推动长期股东回报方面发挥了什么作用。
See our latest analysis for Hebei Yichen Industrial Group
查看我们对河北翼晨实业集团的最新分析
To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
引用巴菲特的话说:“船只将在世界各地航行,但Flat Earth Society将蓬勃发展。市场上的价格和价值之间将继续存在巨大差异...”评估公司情绪变化的一种有缺陷但合理的方法是将每股收益(EPS)与股价进行比较。
During the three years of share price growth, Hebei Yichen Industrial Group actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) drop 39% per year.
在股价增长的三年中,河北翼晨实业集团的每股收益(EPS)实际上每年下降39%。
Thus, it seems unlikely that the market is focussed on EPS growth at the moment. Therefore, we think it's worth considering other metrics as well.
因此,目前市场似乎不太可能将注意力集中在每股收益的增长上。因此,我们认为也值得考虑其他指标。
Languishing at just 1.2%, we doubt the dividend is doing much to prop up the share price. Do you think that shareholders are buying for the 1.8% per annum revenue growth trend? We don't. While we don't have an obvious theory to explain the share price rise, a closer look at the data might be enlightening.
股息仅为1.2%,我们怀疑股息能否在很大程度上支撑股价。你认为股东们是在为每年1.8%的收入增长趋势买入吗?我们没有。尽管我们没有显而易见的理论来解释股价上涨,但仔细观察数据可能会有所启发。
The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
下图显示了收入和收入随时间推移的跟踪情况(如果您点击图片,可以看到更多细节)。
You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.
您可以在这张免费的交互式图片中看到其资产负债表如何随着时间的推移而增强(或减弱)。
What About Dividends?
分红呢?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Hebei Yichen Industrial Group's TSR for the last 3 years was 20%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
重要的是要考虑任何给定股票的股东总回报率以及股价回报。基于股息再投资的假设,股东总回报率包括任何分拆或贴现资本筹集的价值以及任何股息。可以说,股东总回报率可以更全面地描述股票产生的回报。碰巧的是,河北翼晨实业集团过去3年的股东总回报率为20%,超过了前面提到的股价回报率。这在很大程度上是其股息支付的结果!
A Different Perspective
不同的视角
It's good to see that Hebei Yichen Industrial Group has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 13% in the last twelve months. That's including the dividend. Notably the five-year annualised TSR loss of 1.9% per year compares very unfavourably with the recent share price performance. We generally put more weight on the long term performance over the short term, but the recent improvement could hint at a (positive) inflection point within the business. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Hebei Yichen Industrial Group better, we need to consider many other factors. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Hebei Yichen Industrial Group you should be aware of, and 1 of them is a bit concerning.
很高兴看到河北翼晨实业集团在过去十二个月中向股东提供了13%的股东总回报率。这包括股息。值得注意的是,五年期年化股东总回报率每年亏损1.9%,与最近的股价表现相比非常不利。我们通常更看重短期内的长期业绩,但最近的改善可能暗示业务将出现(积极的)转折点。从长远来看,追踪股价表现总是很有意思的。但是,要更好地了解河北翼晨实业集团,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。一个很好的例子:我们发现了河北翼晨实业集团的两个警告标志,你应该注意,其中一个有点令人担忧。
If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).
如果你想与管理层一起购买股票,那么你可能会喜欢这份免费的公司名单。(提示:业内人士一直在购买它们)。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。