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Repo Rates Spike: Are Lessons Of The 2019 Funding Crisis Being Heeded?

Repo Rates Spike: Are Lessons Of The 2019 Funding Crisis Being Heeded?

回购利率飙升:2019年融资危机的教训被吸取了吗?
Benzinga ·  2023/12/05 12:47

The U.S. repo market has come under the spotlight in the past couple of days as surging short-term interest rates are causing some stress for overnight funding on Wall Street, reminiscent of the 2019 funding crisis.

在过去的几天里,美国回购市场备受关注,因为短期利率飙升给华尔街的隔夜融资带来了一些压力,让人联想到2019年的融资危机。

A repo — or, to give its full name, a repurchase agreement — is an overnight trade in government securities where a dealer sells the securities to investors and buys them back the next day for a slightly higher price. Such trades are typically used to raise short-term capital — the dealer is effectively borrowing money overnight from investors, or lenders.

回购——或者,全称是回购协议——是政府证券的隔夜交易,交易商向投资者出售证券,并在第二天以略高的价格回购。此类交易通常用于筹集短期资金——交易商实际上是在隔夜向投资者或贷款人借钱。

The repo market is an important facet of the short-term funding habits of banks, and stresses in the market started showing up last month following the surge in bond buying in November as increased demand for short-term repo lending led to a jump in rates.

回购市场是银行短期融资习惯的重要方面,上个月,由于短期回购贷款需求的增加导致利率上升,债券购买量激增,市场压力开始显现。

While yields on longer-term Treasuries have continued to fall from the 16-year highs hit in October, at the shorter end maturities between 1 month and 1 year, yields remain above 5%. On the final trading day of November, yields on overnight general collateral repo jumped above 5.5% and have remained close to this high into December.

尽管长期国债收益率继续从10月份触及的16年高位下降,但在1个月至1年期之间的较短期限内,收益率仍高于5%。在11月的最后一个交易日,隔夜普通抵押品回购的收益率跃升至5.5%以上,并且一直接近这一高点,直到12月。

The iShares Floating Rate Bond ETF (NYSE:FLOT), an exchange traded fund that references overnight financing rates, was trading 0.1% higher at $50.65 in early trade on Tuesday.

参考隔夜融资利率的交易所交易基金iShares浮动利率债券ETF(纽约证券交易所代码:FLOT)在周二早盘交易中上涨0.1%,至50.65美元。

Also Read: November Rally Sets Treasury Bonds On Track For Best Month In 40 Years

另请阅读:11月的涨势使美国国债有望创下40年来最好的月份

Market Like It's 2019?

市场像 2019 年一样?

Some analysts said the repo market was showing early signs of the funding crisis of 2019, with elevated rates and liquidity scarcity. On Sept. 17, 2019, interest rates on repos, as measured by the Secured Overnight Financing Rate increased from 2.43% to 5.25%, hitting a peak during the day of more than 10%.

一些分析师表示,回购市场显示出2019年融资危机的早期迹象,利率上升和流动性稀缺。2019年9月17日,以有担保隔夜融资利率衡量的回购利率从2.43%上升至5.25%,达到当日最高水平,超过10%。

Fearing that surging rates on unsecured loans between banks could lead to a full-blown financial crisis, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York injected $75 billion of extra liquidity into the repo markets, and continued liquidity injections for the remainder of the week.

由于担心银行间无抵押贷款利率的飙升可能导致全面的金融危机,纽约联邦储备银行向回购市场注入了750亿美元的额外流动性,并在本周剩余时间内继续注入流动性。

The Federal Reserve linked the event to a drop in reserves due to the corporate tax date and increases in net Treasury issuance.

美联储将这一事件与公司纳税日期导致的储备金减少以及美国国债净发行量的增加联系起来。

The latest spike, analysts believe, could be related to the Treasury pile that is mounting up as government borrowing increases at the same time as the Fed starts selling Treasuries as part of its monetary tightening efforts.

分析师认为,最近的飙升可能与美国财政部资金的增加有关,因为在美联储作为货币紧缩措施的一部分开始出售美国国债的同时,政府借款增加。

However, banks should be well armed against another potential threat to their existence. They've all passed Fed stress tests, with reserves estimated at a combined $3.4 trillion.

但是,银行应该做好准备,以防其生存面临的另一种潜在威胁。它们都通过了美联储的压力测试,储备金总额估计为3.4万亿美元。

Now Read: 'Bond King' Bill Gross Nets Millions On Treasury Market Rebound

立即阅读:“债券之王” 比尔·格罗斯因美国国债市场反弹净赚数百万美元

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