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The Five-year Decline in Earnings Might Be Taking Its Toll on Zhejiang Zomax Transmission (SHSE:603767) Shareholders as Stock Falls 12% Over the Past Week

The Five-year Decline in Earnings Might Be Taking Its Toll on Zhejiang Zomax Transmission (SHSE:603767) Shareholders as Stock Falls 12% Over the Past Week

由于过去一周股价下跌了12%,五年来收益的下降可能会给浙江中马输电(SHSE: 603767)的股东造成损失
Simply Wall St ·  2023/12/07 23:46

While Zhejiang Zomax Transmission Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603767) shareholders are probably generally happy, the stock hasn't had particularly good run recently, with the share price falling 27% in the last quarter. Looking further back, the stock has generated good profits over five years. Its return of 99% has certainly bested the market return!

尽管浙江中马传动有限公司(SHSE:603767)的股东可能普遍感到高兴,但该股最近表现并不特别好,上个季度股价下跌了27%。再往前看,该股在五年内创造了丰厚的利润。它99%的回报率无疑超过了市场回报率!

Since the long term performance has been good but there's been a recent pullback of 12%, let's check if the fundamentals match the share price.

由于长期表现良好,但最近出现了12%的回调,让我们来看看基本面是否与股价相符。

See our latest analysis for Zhejiang Zomax Transmission

查看我们对浙江 Zomax 变速器的最新分析

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

尽管一些人继续教导高效市场假说,但事实证明,市场是反应过度的动态系统,投资者并不总是理性的。研究市场情绪如何随着时间的推移而变化的一种方法是研究公司股价与其每股收益(EPS)之间的相互作用。

During five years of share price growth, Zhejiang Zomax Transmission actually saw its EPS drop 3.4% per year.

在股价增长的五年中,浙江中马传动的每股收益实际上每年下降3.4%。

So it's hard to argue that the earnings per share are the best metric to judge the company, as it may not be optimized for profits at this point. Therefore, it's worth taking a look at other metrics to try to understand the share price movements.

因此,很难说每股收益是评判公司的最佳指标,因为目前每股收益可能还没有针对利润进行优化。因此,值得一看其他指标,以了解股价走势。

In contrast revenue growth of 4.1% per year is probably viewed as evidence that Zhejiang Zomax Transmission is growing, a real positive. In that case, the company may be sacrificing current earnings per share to drive growth.

相比之下,每年4.1%的收入增长可能被视为浙江Zomax输电正在增长的证据,这确实是一个积极的因素。在这种情况下,公司可能会牺牲当前的每股收益来推动增长。

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下图显示了收入和收入随时间推移的跟踪情况(如果您点击图片,可以看到更多细节)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:603767 Earnings and Revenue Growth December 8th 2023
上海证券交易所:603767 2023 年 12 月 8 日的收益和收入增长

This free interactive report on Zhejiang Zomax Transmission's balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

如果你想进一步调查该股,这份关于浙江中马传动资产负债表实力的免费互动报告是一个不错的起点。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, Zhejiang Zomax Transmission's TSR for the last 5 years was 131%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

在考虑投资回报时,重要的是要考虑两者之间的区别 股东总回报 (TSR) 和 股价回报。股东总回报率是一种回报计算方法,它考虑了现金分红的价值(假设收到的任何股息已被再投资)以及任何贴现资本筹集和分拆的计算价值。可以公平地说,股东总回报率为支付股息的股票提供了更完整的画面。碰巧的是,浙江中马传动在过去5年的股东总回报率为131%,超过了前面提到的股价回报率。因此,该公司支付的股息促进了 股东回报。

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

We're pleased to report that Zhejiang Zomax Transmission shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 91% over one year. And that does include the dividend. That gain is better than the annual TSR over five years, which is 18%. Therefore it seems like sentiment around the company has been positive lately. Given the share price momentum remains strong, it might be worth taking a closer look at the stock, lest you miss an opportunity. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Zhejiang Zomax Transmission (at least 1 which is significant) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

我们很高兴地向大家报告,浙江Zomax Transmission的股东在一年内获得了91%的股东总回报率。这确实包括股息。该增幅优于五年内的年度股东总回报率,后者为18%。因此,最近公司周围的情绪似乎一直乐观。鉴于股价势头仍然强劲,可能值得仔细研究该股,以免错过机会。我发现从长远来看,将股价视为业务表现的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正获得见解,我们还需要考虑其他信息。例如,以永远存在的投资风险幽灵为例。我们已经发现了浙江Zomax Transmission的3个警告信号(至少有1个很重要),了解它们应该成为您投资过程的一部分。

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).

如果你想与管理层一起购买股票,那么你可能会喜欢这份免费的公司名单。(提示:业内人士一直在购买它们)。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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