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Shareholders in Huaan Securities (SHSE:600909) Are in the Red If They Invested Three Years Ago

Shareholders in Huaan Securities (SHSE:600909) Are in the Red If They Invested Three Years Ago

华安证券(SHSE: 600909)的股东如果在三年前进行投资,就会陷入亏损
Simply Wall St ·  2023/12/08 17:27

As an investor its worth striving to ensure your overall portfolio beats the market average. But its virtually certain that sometimes you will buy stocks that fall short of the market average returns. Unfortunately, that's been the case for longer term Huaan Securities Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600909) shareholders, since the share price is down 39% in the last three years, falling well short of the market decline of around 13%.

作为投资者,值得努力确保您的整体投资组合超过市场平均水平。但几乎可以肯定的是,有时候你会买入低于市场平均回报率的股票。不幸的是,华安证券股份有限公司(SHSE:600909)的长期股东就是这种情况,因为股价在过去三年中下跌了39%,远低于13%左右的市场跌幅。

Since shareholders are down over the longer term, lets look at the underlying fundamentals over the that time and see if they've been consistent with returns.

由于从长远来看,股东会下跌,让我们来看看那段时间的潜在基本面,看看它们与回报是否一致。

See our latest analysis for Huaan Securities

查看我们对华安证券的最新分析

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

引用巴菲特的话说:“船只将在世界各地航行,但Flat Earth Society将蓬勃发展。市场上的价格和价值之间将继续存在巨大差异...”考虑市场对公司的看法发生了怎样的变化的一种不完美但简单的方法是将每股收益(EPS)的变化与股价走势进行比较。

Huaan Securities saw its EPS decline at a compound rate of 10% per year, over the last three years. The share price decline of 15% is actually steeper than the EPS slippage. So it's likely that the EPS decline has disappointed the market, leaving investors hesitant to buy.

在过去三年中,华安证券的每股收益以每年10%的复合率下降。15%的股价跌幅实际上比每股收益的下滑幅度更大。因此,每股收益的下降很可能令市场失望,使投资者对买入犹豫不决。

The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下图显示了 EPS 在一段时间内的跟踪情况(如果你点击图片,你可以看到更多细节)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SHSE:600909 Earnings Per Share Growth December 8th 2023
上海证券交易所:600909 每股收益增长 2023 年 12 月 8 日

It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. Dive deeper into the earnings by checking this interactive graph of Huaan Securities' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

可能值得注意的是,首席执行官的薪水低于类似规模公司的中位数。始终值得关注首席执行官的薪酬,但更重要的问题是公司多年来是否会增加收益。查看这张华安证券收益、收入和现金流的交互式图表,深入了解收益。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Huaan Securities the TSR over the last 3 years was -28%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

在考虑投资回报时,重要的是要考虑两者之间的区别 股东总回报 (TSR) 和 股价回报。股价回报仅反映股价的变化,而股东总回报率包括股息的价值(假设股息已被再投资)以及任何折扣融资或分拆的收益。可以说,股东总回报率可以更全面地描述股票产生的回报。我们注意到,华安证券过去3年的股东总回报率为-28%,好于上述股价回报率。而且,猜测股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种差异是没有好处的!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

While it's never nice to take a loss, Huaan Securities shareholders can take comfort that , including dividends,their trailing twelve month loss of 0.7% wasn't as bad as the market loss of around 9.4%. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 3%, each year, over five years. In the best case scenario the last year is just a temporary blip on the journey to a brighter future. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Huaan Securities (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable) that you should be aware of.

尽管亏损从来都不是一件好事,但华安证券的股东可以放心,包括分红在内,他们过去十二个月的0.7%的亏损没有9.4%左右的市场亏损那么严重。长期投资者不会那么沮丧,因为他们本可以在五年内每年赚3%。在最好的情况下,去年只是通往更光明未来的短暂时刻。我发现从长远来看,将股价视为业务表现的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正获得见解,我们还需要考虑其他信息。例如,我们已经为华安证券确定了两个警告信号(1 个让我们有点不舒服),你应该注意这些信号。

We will like Huaan Securities better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.

如果我们看到一些大规模的内幕买入,我们会更喜欢华安证券。在我们等待的同时,请查看这份免费名单,列出了最近有大量内幕买入的成长型公司。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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