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Hongfa Technology's (SHSE:600885) Five-year Total Shareholder Returns Outpace the Underlying Earnings Growth

Hongfa Technology's (SHSE:600885) Five-year Total Shareholder Returns Outpace the Underlying Earnings Growth

宏发科技(SHSE: 600885)的五年期股东总回报超过基础收益增长
Simply Wall St ·  2023/12/10 20:17

It hasn't been the best quarter for Hongfa Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600885) shareholders, since the share price has fallen 17% in that time. On the bright side the returns have been quite good over the last half decade. It has returned a market beating 69% in that time.

对于宏发科技股份有限公司(SHSE:600885)股东来说,这并不是最好的季度,因为当时股价下跌了17%。好的一面是,在过去的五年中,回报相当不错。在那段时间里,它的市场回升了69%。

While the stock has fallen 3.0% this week, it's worth focusing on the longer term and seeing if the stocks historical returns have been driven by the underlying fundamentals.

尽管该股本周下跌了3.0%,但值得关注的是长期情况,看看股票的历史回报是否受到基础基本面的推动。

Check out our latest analysis for Hongfa Technology

查看我们对宏发科技的最新分析

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

用本杰明·格雷厄姆的话来说:从短期来看,市场是一台投票机器,但从长远来看,它是一台称重机。通过比较每股收益(EPS)和一段时间内的股价变化,我们可以了解投资者对公司的态度是如何随着时间的推移而变化的。

Over half a decade, Hongfa Technology managed to grow its earnings per share at 14% a year. The EPS growth is more impressive than the yearly share price gain of 11% over the same period. Therefore, it seems the market has become relatively pessimistic about the company.

在过去的五年中,宏发科技成功地以每年14%的速度增长了每股收益。每股收益的增长比同期11%的年度股价涨幅更令人印象深刻。因此,看来市场对该公司已经变得相对悲观了。

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下图描述了 EPS 随着时间的推移是如何变化的(点击图片可以看到确切的值)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SHSE:600885 Earnings Per Share Growth December 11th 2023
上海证券交易所:600885 每股收益增长 2023 年 12 月 11 日

We know that Hongfa Technology has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? This free report showing analyst revenue forecasts should help you figure out if the EPS growth can be sustained.

我们知道宏发科技最近提高了利润,但它会增加收入吗?这份显示分析师收入预测的免费报告应该可以帮助您弄清楚每股收益的增长是否可以持续。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for Hongfa Technology the TSR over the last 5 years was 77%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

在考虑投资回报时,重要的是要考虑两者之间的区别 股东总回报 (TSR) 和 股价回报。股东总回报率是一种回报计算方法,它考虑了现金分红的价值(假设收到的任何股息已被再投资)以及任何贴现资本筹集和分拆的计算价值。可以公平地说,股东总回报率为支付股息的股票提供了更完整的画面。我们注意到,宏发科技在过去5年的股东总回报率为77%,好于上述股价回报率。因此,该公司支付的股息促进了 股东回报。

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

While the broader market lost about 9.8% in the twelve months, Hongfa Technology shareholders did even worse, losing 14% (even including dividends). Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 12% per year over half a decade. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Hongfa Technology .

尽管大盘在过去十二个月中下跌了约9.8%,但宏发科技股东的表现更差,下跌了14%(甚至包括股息)。话虽如此,在下跌的市场中,一些股票不可避免地会被超卖。关键是要密切关注基本发展。好的一面是,长期股东已经赚了钱,在过去的五年中,每年增长12%。最近的抛售可能是一个机会,因此可能值得查看基本面数据以寻找长期增长趋势的迹象。我发现从长远来看,将股价视为业务表现的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正获得见解,我们还需要考虑其他信息。为此,您应该注意我们在宏发科技上发现的1个警告信号。

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

对于那些喜欢寻找中奖投资的人来说,这份最近有内幕收购的成长型公司的免费名单可能只是门票。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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