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Jiangxi Sunshine Dairy Co., Ltd. (SZSE:001318) Stock Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Uncertain: What Lies Ahead ?

Jiangxi Sunshine Dairy Co., Ltd. (SZSE:001318) Stock Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Uncertain: What Lies Ahead ?

江西阳光乳业股份有限公司(SZSE: 001318)股票走强,但基本面看起来不确定:未来会发生什么?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/12/11 17:05

Most readers would already be aware that Jiangxi Sunshine Dairy's (SZSE:001318) stock increased significantly by 11% over the past month. But the company's key financial indicators appear to be differing across the board and that makes us question whether or not the company's current share price momentum can be maintained. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Jiangxi Sunshine Dairy's ROE today.

大多数读者已经意识到,江西阳光乳业(SZSE:001318)的股票在过去一个月中大幅上涨了11%。但是该公司的关键财务指标似乎各不相同,这使我们质疑该公司目前的股价势头能否保持下去。特别是,我们今天将关注江西阳光乳业的投资回报率。

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

股本回报率或投资回报率是用于评估公司管理层利用公司资本效率的关键指标。换句话说,它揭示了公司成功地将股东投资转化为利润。

Check out our latest analysis for Jiangxi Sunshine Dairy

查看我们对江西阳光乳业的最新分析

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何计算股本回报率?

The formula for ROE is:

ROE 的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营业务)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Jiangxi Sunshine Dairy is:

因此,根据上述公式,江西阳光乳业的投资回报率为:

8.3% = CN¥110m ÷ CN¥1.3b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

8.3% = 1.1亿元人民币 ¥13亿元人民币(基于截至2023年9月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.08.

“回报” 是过去十二个月的税后收入。因此,这意味着公司每投资1元人民币,公司就会产生0.08元人民币的利润。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

为什么投资回报率对收益增长很重要?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

到目前为止,我们已经了解到,投资回报率衡量的是公司创造利润的效率。根据公司选择将多少利润进行再投资或 “保留”,我们便能够评估公司未来创造利润的能力。一般而言,在其他条件相同的情况下,股本回报率和利润留存率高的公司的增长率要高于不具有这些属性的公司。

Jiangxi Sunshine Dairy's Earnings Growth And 8.3% ROE

江西阳光乳业的收益增长和8.3%的投资回报率

On the face of it, Jiangxi Sunshine Dairy's ROE is not much to talk about. Yet, a closer study shows that the company's ROE is similar to the industry average of 8.5%. However, Jiangxi Sunshine Dairy has seen a flattish net income growth over the past five years, which is not saying much. Bear in mind, the company's ROE is not very high. Hence, this provides some context to the flat earnings growth seen by the company.

从表面上看,江西阳光乳业的投资回报率没什么好说的。然而,一项更仔细的研究表明,该公司的投资回报率与8.5%的行业平均水平相似。但是,在过去五年中,江西阳光乳业的净收入增长持平,这并不算什么。请记住,该公司的投资回报率不是很高。因此,这为该公司持平的收益增长提供了一些背景信息。

We then compared Jiangxi Sunshine Dairy's net income growth with the industry and found that the company's growth figure is lower than the average industry growth rate of 7.2% in the same 5-year period, which is a bit concerning.

然后,我们将江西阳光乳业的净收入增长与行业进行了比较,发现该公司的增长数字低于同期7.2%的行业平均增长率,这有点令人担忧。

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:001318 Past Earnings Growth December 11th 2023
深圳证券交易所:001318 过去的收益增长 2023 年 12 月 11 日

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. If you're wondering about Jiangxi Sunshine Dairy's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

收益增长是估值股票时要考虑的重要指标。投资者应努力确定预期的收益增长或下降,无论情况如何,是否已被考虑在内。通过这样做,他们将知道这只股票是进入清澈的蓝色海水还是沼泽水域在等着你。如果你想知道江西阳光乳业的估值,可以看看这个衡量其市盈率与行业比较的指标。

Is Jiangxi Sunshine Dairy Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

江西阳光乳业是否在有效利用其利润?

Despite having a moderate three-year median payout ratio of 36% (meaning the company retains64% of profits) in the last three-year period, Jiangxi Sunshine Dairy's earnings growth was more or les flat. So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For example, the business has faced some headwinds.

尽管在过去三年中,江西阳光乳业的三年中位派息率为36%(这意味着该公司保留了64%的利润),但其收益增长基本持平。因此,这里可能还有其他因素在起作用,这些因素可能会阻碍增长。例如,该业务面临一些阻力。

Only recently, Jiangxi Sunshine Dairy started paying a dividend. This means that the management might have concluded that its shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth.

就在最近,江西阳光乳业才开始分红。这意味着管理层可能已经得出结论,其股东更喜欢分红而不是收益增长。

Conclusion

结论

In total, we're a bit ambivalent about Jiangxi Sunshine Dairy's performance. While the company does have a high rate of profit retention, its low rate of return is probably hampering its earnings growth. Up till now, we've only made a short study of the company's growth data. So it may be worth checking this free detailed graph of Jiangxi Sunshine Dairy's past earnings, as well as revenue and cash flows to get a deeper insight into the company's performance.

总的来说,我们对江西阳光乳业的表现有些矛盾。尽管该公司的利润保留率确实很高,但其低回报率可能阻碍了其收益增长。到目前为止,我们只对公司的增长数据进行了简短的研究。因此,可能值得查看这张免费的江西阳光乳业过去收益以及收入和现金流的详细图表,以更深入地了解该公司的业绩。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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