Is Hua Medicine (Shanghai) (HKG:2552) Using Debt In A Risky Way?
Is Hua Medicine (Shanghai) (HKG:2552) Using Debt In A Risky Way?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Hua Medicine (Shanghai) Ltd. (HKG:2552) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
传奇基金经理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾经说过:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久的资本损失。”当我们考虑一家公司的风险时,我们总是喜欢看它对债务的使用,因为债务超负荷可能导致破产。我们注意到,华医药(上海)有限公司(HKG: 2552)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但更重要的问题是:这笔债务造成了多少风险?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
债务何时危险?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
债务是帮助企业增长的工具,但如果企业无法还清贷方,那么债务就任其摆布。最终,如果公司无法履行偿还债务的法律义务,股东可能一无所有地离开。尽管这种情况不太常见,但我们经常看到负债公司永久稀释股东,因为贷款人迫使他们以低价筹集资金。但是,通过取代稀释,债务可以成为需要资本以高回报率投资增长的企业的一个非常好的工具。当我们研究债务水平时,我们首先要同时考虑现金和债务水平。
View our latest analysis for Hua Medicine (Shanghai)
查看我们对华医药(上海)的最新分析
What Is Hua Medicine (Shanghai)'s Debt?
华医药(上海)的债务是什么?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2023 Hua Medicine (Shanghai) had CN¥162.7m of debt, an increase on none, over one year. But on the other hand it also has CN¥881.3m in cash, leading to a CN¥718.6m net cash position.
你可以点击下图查看历史数字,但它显示,截至2023年6月,华医药(上海)在一年内有1.627亿元人民币的债务,没有增加。但另一方面,它也有8.813亿元人民币的现金,净现金头寸为7.186亿元人民币。
How Healthy Is Hua Medicine (Shanghai)'s Balance Sheet?
华医药(上海)的资产负债表有多健康?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Hua Medicine (Shanghai) had liabilities of CN¥256.5m due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥676.9m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥881.3m in cash and CN¥25.6m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥26.6m.
纵观最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到,华医药(上海)在12个月内到期的负债为2.565亿元人民币,此后到期的负债为6.769亿元人民币。抵消这一点的是,它有8.813亿元人民币的现金和2560万元人民币的应收账款,这些应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,其负债超过现金和(近期)应收账款总额2660万元人民币。
This state of affairs indicates that Hua Medicine (Shanghai)'s balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So it's very unlikely that the CN¥2.34b company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Hua Medicine (Shanghai) boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Hua Medicine (Shanghai)'s ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
这种状况表明,华医药(上海)的资产负债表看起来相当稳健,因为其总负债几乎等于其流动资产。因此,这家2.34亿元人民币的公司不太可能出现现金短缺,但仍值得关注资产负债表。尽管负债可观,但华医药(上海)拥有净现金,因此可以说它没有沉重的债务负担!毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但是,未来的收益,比什么都重要,将决定华医药(上海)未来保持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果你专注于未来,你可以查看这份显示分析师利润预测的免费报告。
While it hasn't made a profit, at least Hua Medicine (Shanghai) booked its first revenue as a publicly listed company, in the last twelve months.
尽管没有盈利,但至少华医药(上海)在过去十二个月中首次实现了上市公司的收入。
So How Risky Is Hua Medicine (Shanghai)?
那么华医学(上海)有多危险?
While Hua Medicine (Shanghai) lost money on an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) level, it actually generated positive free cash flow CN¥115m. So taking that on face value, and considering the net cash situation, we don't think that the stock is too risky in the near term. Until we see some positive EBIT, we're a bit cautious of the stock, not least because of the rather modest revenue growth. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Hua Medicine (Shanghai) that you should be aware of.
尽管华医药(上海)在息税前收益(EBIT)水平上亏损,但实际上它产生了正的自由现金流CN.115亿元人民币。因此,考虑到面值,并考虑到净现金状况,我们认为该股在短期内风险不大。在我们看到一些正的息税前收益之前,我们对该股持谨慎态度,尤其是因为收入增长相当温和。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但归根结底,每家公司都可以控制资产负债表之外的风险。例如,我们已经确定了华医药(上海)的1个警告标志,你应该注意。
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
毕竟,如果你对一家资产负债表坚如磐石的快速成长型公司更感兴趣,那么请立即查看我们的净现金增长股票清单。
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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。