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China Huarong Asset Management (HKG:2799 Investor Five-year Losses Grow to 72% as the Stock Sheds HK$2.4b This Past Week

China Huarong Asset Management (HKG:2799 Investor Five-year Losses Grow to 72% as the Stock Sheds HK$2.4b This Past Week

中国华融资产管理(HKG: 2799)投资者五年期亏损增至72%,该股上周下跌24亿港元
Simply Wall St ·  2023/12/13 19:04

China Huarong Asset Management Co., Ltd. (HKG:2799) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 13% in the last month. But spare a thought for the long term holders, who have held the stock as it bled value over the last five years. In fact, the share price has tumbled down a mountain to land 72% lower after that period. It's true that the recent bounce could signal the company is turning over a new leaf, but we are not so sure. The fundamental business performance will ultimately determine if the turnaround can be sustained.

中国华融资产管理有限公司(HKG: 2799)股东应该对上个月股价上涨13%感到高兴。但是不用考虑长期持有者,他们在过去五年中一直持有该股的价值。实际上,在此之后,股价已经下跌至72%。的确,最近的反弹可能预示着该公司正在翻开新的一页,但我们不太确定。基本业务绩效最终将决定这种转变能否持续下去。

With the stock having lost 6.9% in the past week, it's worth taking a look at business performance and seeing if there's any red flags.

由于该股在过去一周下跌了6.9%,值得一看业务表现,看看是否有任何危险信号。

View our latest analysis for China Huarong Asset Management

查看我们对中国华融资产管理的最新分析

China Huarong Asset Management wasn't profitable in the last twelve months, it is unlikely we'll see a strong correlation between its share price and its earnings per share (EPS). Arguably revenue is our next best option. Shareholders of unprofitable companies usually expect strong revenue growth. Some companies are willing to postpone profitability to grow revenue faster, but in that case one does expect good top-line growth.

中国华融资产管理在过去十二个月中没有盈利,我们不太可能看到其股价与每股收益(EPS)之间存在很强的相关性。可以说,收入是我们的下一个最佳选择。无利可图的公司的股东通常期望强劲的收入增长。一些公司愿意推迟盈利以更快地增加收入,但在这种情况下,人们确实预计收入会有良好的增长。

Over half a decade China Huarong Asset Management reduced its trailing twelve month revenue by 41% for each year. That's definitely a weaker result than most pre-profit companies report. So it's not that strange that the share price dropped 11% per year in that period. This kind of price performance makes us very wary, especially when combined with falling revenue. Ironically, that behavior could create an opportunity for the contrarian investor - but only if there are good reasons to predict a brighter future.

在过去的五年中,中国华融资产管理将其过去十二个月的收入每年减少41%。这绝对比大多数盈利前公司报告的结果要差。因此,在此期间,股价每年下跌11%也就不足为奇了。这种价格表现使我们非常警惕,尤其是在收入下降的情况下。具有讽刺意味的是,这种行为可以为逆势投资者创造机会——但前提是有充分的理由预测更光明的未来。

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下图显示了收入和收入在一段时间内的跟踪情况(如果你点击图片,你可以看到更多的细节)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SEHK:2799 Earnings and Revenue Growth December 14th 2023
SEHK: 2799 2023年12月14日收益和收入增长

This free interactive report on China Huarong Asset Management's balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

如果你想进一步调查该股,这份关于中国华融资产管理资产负债表实力的免费互动报告是一个很好的起点。

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

While the broader market lost about 9.3% in the twelve months, China Huarong Asset Management shareholders did even worse, losing 15%. Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. However, the loss over the last year isn't as bad as the 11% per annum loss investors have suffered over the last half decade. We would want clear information suggesting the company will grow, before taking the view that the share price will stabilize. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for China Huarong Asset Management you should be aware of.

尽管整个市场在十二个月中下跌了约9.3%,但中国华融资产管理股东的表现甚至更糟,下跌了15%。话虽如此,在下跌的市场中,一些股票不可避免地会被超卖。关键是要密切关注基本发展。但是,去年的亏损并不像投资者在过去五年中遭受的每年11%的亏损那么严重。在认为股价将稳定之前,我们希望获得明确的信息,表明该公司将增长。尽管市场状况可能对股价产生的不同影响值得考虑,但还有其他因素更为重要。一个很好的例子:我们发现了中国华融资产管理的一个警告信号,你应该注意。

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

对于那些喜欢寻找中奖投资的人来说,这份最近有内幕收购的成长型公司的免费名单可能只是门票。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报率。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并非旨在提供财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。华尔街只是没有持有上述任何股票的头寸。

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