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Is Shanghai Feilo AcousticsLtd (SHSE:600651) A Risky Investment?

Is Shanghai Feilo AcousticsLtd (SHSE:600651) A Risky Investment?

上海飞乐声学有限公司(SHSE: 600651)是一项风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/12/14 17:13

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Shanghai Feilo Acoustics Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600651) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

霍华德·马克斯说得很好,他说:“我担心的是永久亏损的可能性... 我认识的每位务实投资者都很担心,而不是担心股价的波动。”当我们考虑一家公司的风险时,我们总是喜欢看它对债务的使用,因为债务超负荷可能导致破产。与许多其他公司一样,上海飞乐音响有限公司, Ltd(上海证券交易所代码:600651)利用债务。但真正的问题是,这笔债务是否使公司面临风险。

When Is Debt Dangerous?

债务何时危险?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

债务是帮助企业发展的工具,但如果企业无法还清贷款人,那么债务就任由他们摆布。资本主义的重要组成部分是 “创造性破坏” 的过程,在这个过程中,倒闭的企业将被银行家无情地清算。但是,更常见(但仍然代价高昂)的情况是,公司必须以低廉的价格发行股票,永久稀释股东,以支撑其资产负债表。话虽如此,最常见的情况是公司合理地管理其债务,并从自己的利益出发。考虑公司的债务水平时,第一步是将其现金和债务放在一起考虑。

Check out our latest analysis for Shanghai Feilo AcousticsLtd

查看我们对上海飞乐声学有限公司的最新分析

What Is Shanghai Feilo AcousticsLtd's Debt?

上海飞乐声学有限公司的债务是什么?

As you can see below, Shanghai Feilo AcousticsLtd had CN¥917.5m of debt at September 2023, down from CN¥1.21b a year prior. However, it does have CN¥1.05b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥135.5m.

如下所示,截至2023年9月,上海飞乐声学有限公司的债务为9.175亿元人民币,低于去年同期的12.1亿元人民币。但是,它确实有10.5亿元人民币的现金抵消了这一点,净现金为1.355亿元人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:600651 Debt to Equity History December 14th 2023
上海证券交易所:600651 债权与股权历史记录 2023 年 12 月 14 日

How Strong Is Shanghai Feilo AcousticsLtd's Balance Sheet?

上海飞乐声学有限公司的资产负债表有多强劲?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Shanghai Feilo AcousticsLtd had liabilities of CN¥1.02b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥763.0m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.05b as well as receivables valued at CN¥828.1m due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥96.9m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

根据上次公布的资产负债表,上海飞乐声学有限公司在12个月内到期的负债为10.2亿元人民币,12个月后到期的负债为7.630亿元人民币。为了抵消这些债务,它有10.5亿元人民币的现金以及价值8.281亿元人民币的应收账款,将在12个月内到期。所以它实际上有9,690万元人民币 更多 流动资产大于总负债。

Having regard to Shanghai Feilo AcousticsLtd's size, it seems that its liquid assets are well balanced with its total liabilities. So while it's hard to imagine that the CN¥8.70b company is struggling for cash, we still think it's worth monitoring its balance sheet. Simply put, the fact that Shanghai Feilo AcousticsLtd has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Shanghai Feilo AcousticsLtd will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

考虑到上海飞乐声学有限公司的规模,其流动资产与总负债似乎非常平衡。因此,尽管很难想象这家价值870亿元人民币的公司正在为现金而苦苦挣扎,但我们仍然认为值得监控其资产负债表。简而言之,上海飞乐声学有限公司的现金多于债务这一事实可以说很好地表明它可以安全地管理债务。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但是你不能完全孤立地看待债务;因为上海飞乐声学有限公司需要收益来偿还这笔债务。因此,如果你想进一步了解其收益,可能值得看看这张长期收益趋势图。

In the last year Shanghai Feilo AcousticsLtd had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 61%, to CN¥2.0b. To be frank that doesn't bode well.

去年,上海飞乐声学有限公司在利息和税前出现亏损,实际收入减少了61%,至20亿元人民币。坦率地说,这并不是一个好兆头。

So How Risky Is Shanghai Feilo AcousticsLtd?

那么上海飞乐音响有限公司的风险有多大?

Although Shanghai Feilo AcousticsLtd had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last twelve months, it made a statutory profit of CN¥12m. So taking that on face value, and considering the cash, we don't think its very risky in the near term. We'll feel more comfortable with the stock once EBIT is positive, given the lacklustre revenue growth. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Shanghai Feilo AcousticsLtd that you should be aware of before investing here.

尽管上海飞乐声学有限公司在过去十二个月中出现了息税前收益(EBIT)亏损,但其法定利润为1,200万元人民币。因此,从表面价值来看,考虑到现金,我们认为短期内风险不大。鉴于收入增长乏力,一旦息税前收益为正,我们就会对股票感到更加满意。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是起点。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中——远非如此。例如,我们发现了上海 Feilo AcousticsLtd 的 1 个警告信号,在这里投资之前,你应该注意这一点。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

归根结底,通常最好将注意力集中在没有净负债的公司身上。您可以访问我们的此类公司的特别名单(所有公司都有利润增长记录)。它是免费的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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