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Is Huasheng International Holding (HKG:1323) A Risky Investment?

Is Huasheng International Holding (HKG:1323) A Risky Investment?

华生国际控股(HKG: 1323)是一项风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/12/14 17:06

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Huasheng International Holding Limited (HKG:1323) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

由伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司的查理·芒格支持的外部基金经理李露对此毫不掩饰,他说:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久的资本损失。”当我们思考一家公司的风险有多大时,我们总是喜欢考虑其债务的用途,因为债务过载可能导致破产。与许多其他公司一样,华胜国际控股有限公司(HKG: 1323)也使用债务。但是,股东是否应该担心其债务的使用?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

债务何时危险?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

债务是帮助企业增长的工具,但是如果企业无法偿还贷款,那么债务就任其摆布。资本主义的组成部分是 “创造性破坏” 过程,在这种过程中,倒闭的企业被银行家无情地清算。但是,更频繁(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司必须以低廉的价格发行股票,永久稀释股东,以支撑其资产负债表。话虽如此,最常见的情况是公司合理地管理债务,而且对自己有利。考虑公司的债务水平的第一步是同时考虑其现金和债务。

View our latest analysis for Huasheng International Holding

查看我们对华胜国际控股的最新分析

How Much Debt Does Huasheng International Holding Carry?

华胜国际控股背负了多少债务?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2023 Huasheng International Holding had HK$356.6m of debt, an increase on HK$320.4m, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of HK$60.9m, its net debt is less, at about HK$295.6m.

你可以点击下图查看历史数字,但它显示,截至2023年9月,华胜国际控股在一年内有3.566亿港元的债务,比3.204亿港元有所增加。但是,由于其现金储备为6,090万港元,其净负债较少,约为2.956亿港元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:1323 Debt to Equity History December 14th 2023
SEHK: 1323 2023 年 12 月 14 日债务与股本比率的历史记录

A Look At Huasheng International Holding's Liabilities

看看华胜国际控股的负债

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Huasheng International Holding had liabilities of HK$569.4m falling due within a year, and liabilities of HK$223.3m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of HK$60.9m and HK$917.7m worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast HK$185.9m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

我们可以从最新的资产负债表中看出,华升国际控股的负债为5.694亿港元,一年后到期的负债为2.233亿港元。另一方面,它有6,090万港元的现金和价值9.177亿港元的应收账款在一年内到期。因此,它拥有的流动资产可以多出1.859亿港元 负债。

This excess liquidity is a great indication that Huasheng International Holding's balance sheet is almost as strong as Fort Knox. With this in mind one could posit that its balance sheet means the company is able to handle some adversity.

这种过剩的流动性很好地表明华升国际控股的资产负债表几乎和诺克斯堡一样强劲。考虑到这一点,人们可能会认为其资产负债表意味着公司能够应对一些逆境。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

我们使用两个主要比率来告知我们债务水平与收益的关系。第一个是净负债除以扣除利息、税项、折旧和摊销前的收益(EBITDA),第二个是其利息和税前收益(EBIT)抵消利息支出(或简称利息保障)的多少倍。这种方法的优势在于,我们既考虑了债务的绝对数量(净负债占息税折旧摊销前利润),也考虑了与该债务相关的实际利息支出(及其利息覆盖率)。

Huasheng International Holding's debt is 3.6 times its EBITDA, and its EBIT cover its interest expense 3.7 times over. Taken together this implies that, while we wouldn't want to see debt levels rise, we think it can handle its current leverage. However, one redeeming factor is that Huasheng International Holding grew its EBIT at 19% over the last 12 months, boosting its ability to handle its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Huasheng International Holding will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

华升国际控股的债务是其息税折旧摊销前利润的3.6倍,其息税前利润支付了3.7倍的利息支出。综上所述,这意味着,尽管我们不希望债务水平上升,但我们认为它可以承受目前的杠杆率。但是,一个赎回因素是,华升国际控股在过去12个月中将其息税前利润增长了19%,增强了其处理债务的能力。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但是你不能完全孤立地看待债务;因为华胜国际控股需要收益来偿还债务。因此,在考虑债务时,绝对值得一看收益趋势。单击此处查看交互式快照。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Huasheng International Holding burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

但是我们最终的考虑因素也很重要,因为公司无法用纸面利润来偿还债务;它需要冷硬现金。因此,我们总是检查息税前利润中有多少转化为自由现金流。在过去的三年中,华胜国际控股烧毁了大量现金。尽管这可能是增长支出的结果,但它确实使债务风险大大增加。

Our View

我们的观点

Huasheng International Holding's level of total liabilities suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. But we must concede we find its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow has the opposite effect. Looking at all the aforementioned factors together, it strikes us that Huasheng International Holding can handle its debt fairly comfortably. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example Huasheng International Holding has 4 warning signs (and 2 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about.

华升国际控股的总负债水平表明,它可以像克里斯蒂亚诺·罗纳尔多在对阵14岁以下的守门员时进球一样轻松地处理债务。但是我们必须承认,我们发现其将息税前利润转换为自由现金流会产生相反的效果。综合上述所有因素,令我们震惊的是,华胜国际控股能够相当轻松地处理债务。当然,尽管这种杠杆可以提高股本回报率,但它确实带来了更多的风险,因此值得关注。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。例如,华升国际控股有4个警告标志(其中2个不容忽视),我们认为你应该知道。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有兴趣投资能够在没有债务负担的情况下增加利润的企业,请查看这份资产负债表上有净现金的成长型企业的免费清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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