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Declining Stock and Decent Financials: Is The Market Wrong About Explosive Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002096)?

Declining Stock and Decent Financials: Is The Market Wrong About Explosive Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002096)?

股票下跌和财务状况良好:市场对爆炸有限公司(SZSE: 002096)的看法是错误的吗?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/12/15 18:55

Explosive (SZSE:002096) has had a rough three months with its share price down 17%. However, stock prices are usually driven by a company's financials over the long term, which in this case look pretty respectable. Specifically, we decided to study Explosive's ROE in this article.

Explosive(深圳证券交易所:002096)经历了艰难的三个月,其股价下跌了17%。但是,从长远来看,股票价格通常由公司的财务状况驱动,在这种情况下,这看起来相当可观。具体而言,我们决定在本文中研究爆炸物的投资回报率。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

股本回报率或投资回报率是股东要考虑的重要因素,因为它告诉他们资本再投资的有效性。换句话说,它揭示了该公司成功地将股东投资转化为利润。

View our latest analysis for Explosive

查看我们对爆炸物的最新分析

How Is ROE Calculated?

投资回报率是如何计算的?

The formula for return on equity is:

股本回报率的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Explosive is:

因此,根据上述公式,爆炸物的投资回报率为:

3.5% = CN¥247m ÷ CN¥7.1b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

3.5% = 2.47亿元人民币 ÷ 71亿元人民币(基于截至2023年9月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.03 in profit.

“回报” 是指公司去年的收益。这意味着,公司每获得价值1元人民币的股东权益,就会产生0.03CN的利润。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

投资回报率与收益增长有什么关系?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

我们已经确定,投资回报率是衡量公司未来收益的有效利润指标。然后,根据公司对这些利润进行再投资或 “保留” 的金额及其有效性,我们就能评估公司的盈利增长潜力。一般而言,在其他条件相同的情况下,股本回报率和利润保留率高的公司比不具备这些属性的公司的增长率更高。

Explosive's Earnings Growth And 3.5% ROE

Explosive的收益增长和3.5%的投资回报率

It is quite clear that Explosive's ROE is rather low. Even when compared to the industry average of 6.8%, the ROE figure is pretty disappointing. However, we we're pleasantly surprised to see that Explosive grew its net income at a significant rate of 42% in the last five years. We believe that there might be other aspects that are positively influencing the company's earnings growth. Such as - high earnings retention or an efficient management in place.

很明显,爆炸物的投资回报率相当低。即使与6.8%的行业平均水平相比,投资回报率的数字也相当令人失望。但是,我们惊喜地看到,Explosive在过去五年中以42%的惊人速度增长了其净收入。我们认为,可能还有其他方面对公司的收益增长产生积极影响。例如——高收益留存率或实行高效管理。

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Explosive's growth is quite high when compared to the industry average growth of 12% in the same period, which is great to see.

接下来,与行业净收入增长进行比较时,我们发现,与同期行业平均增长12%相比,Explosive的增长相当高,这真是太好了。

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:002096 Past Earnings Growth December 15th 2023
SZSE: 002096 过去的收益增长 2023 年 12 月 15 日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Explosive is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

收益增长是股票估值的重要因素。无论如何,投资者应设法确定预期的收益增长或下降是否已计入其中。然后,这可以帮助他们确定股票是面向光明还是暗淡的未来。衡量预期收益增长的一个很好的指标是市盈率,它根据收益前景决定了市场愿意为股票支付的价格。因此,你可能需要检查一下Explosive相对于其行业是高市盈率还是低市盈率。

Is Explosive Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Explosive 能否有效地将其利润再投资?

Explosive's ' three-year median payout ratio is on the lower side at 11% implying that it is retaining a higher percentage (89%) of its profits. So it seems like the management is reinvesting profits heavily to grow its business and this reflects in its earnings growth number.

Explosime的 “三年派息率中位数” 较低,为11%,这意味着它保留了更高的利润百分比(89%)。因此,管理层似乎正在将利润大量再投资以发展业务,这反映在其收益增长数字上。

Besides, Explosive has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more. This shows that the company is committed to sharing profits with its shareholders.

此外,Explosive支付股息已有至少十年或更长时间了。这表明该公司致力于与股东分享利润。

Conclusion

结论

In total, it does look like Explosive has some positive aspects to its business. Despite its low rate of return, the fact that the company reinvests a very high portion of its profits into its business, no doubt contributed to its high earnings growth. We also studied the latest analyst forecasts and found that the company's earnings growth is expected be similar to its current growth rate. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

总的来说,看来Explosive的业务确实有一些积极的方面。尽管回报率很低,但该公司将其利润的很大一部分再投资于其业务这一事实无疑促进了其高收益增长。我们还研究了最新的分析师预测,发现该公司的收益增长预计与其当前的增长率相似。这些分析师的预期是基于对该行业的广泛预期,还是基于公司的基本面?点击此处进入我们分析师对公司的预测页面。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并非旨在提供财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。华尔街只是没有持有上述任何股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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