When you buy and hold a stock for the long term, you definitely want it to provide a positive return. Furthermore, you'd generally like to see the share price rise faster than the market. But Bath & Body Works, Inc. (NYSE:BBWI) has fallen short of that second goal, with a share price rise of 66% over five years, which is below the market return. However, if you include the dividends then the return is market beating. The last year hasn't been great either, with the stock up just 2.3%.
After a strong gain in the past week, it's worth seeing if longer term returns have been driven by improving fundamentals.
View our latest analysis for Bath & Body Works
While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
Over half a decade, Bath & Body Works managed to grow its earnings per share at 3.1% a year. This EPS growth is lower than the 11% average annual increase in the share price. So it's fair to assume the market has a higher opinion of the business than it did five years ago. That's not necessarily surprising considering the five-year track record of earnings growth.
The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
NYSE:BBWI Earnings Per Share Growth December 16th 2023
It is of course excellent to see how Bath & Body Works has grown profits over the years, but the future is more important for shareholders. Take a more thorough look at Bath & Body Works' financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.
What About Dividends?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for Bath & Body Works the TSR over the last 5 years was 131%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
A Different Perspective
Bath & Body Works shareholders gained a total return of 4.6% during the year. But that return falls short of the market. If we look back over five years, the returns are even better, coming in at 18% per year for five years. It's quite possible the business continues to execute with prowess, even as the share price gains are slowing. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Like risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Bath & Body Works (of which 1 is concerning!) you should know about.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
当你长期购买和持有股票时,你肯定希望它能提供正回报。此外,您通常希望看到股价的上涨速度快于市场。但是Bath & Body Works, Inc.(纽约证券交易所代码:BBWI)尚未实现第二个目标,股价在五年内上涨了66%,低于市场回报率。但是,如果您将股息包括在内,那么回报将超过市场。去年也不是很好,股票仅上涨了2.3%。
在过去的五年中,Bath & Body Works设法将其每股收益增长到每年3.1%。每股收益的增长低于股价年均增长11%。因此,可以公平地假设市场对该业务的看法比五年前更高。考虑到五年的收益增长记录,这并不一定令人惊讶。
下图描绘了 EPS 随着时间的推移而发生的变化(点击图片显示确切的数值)。
纽约证券交易所:BBWI 每股收益增长 2023 年 12 月 16 日
当然,很高兴看到Bath & Body Works多年来如何增加利润,但未来对股东来说更为重要。通过这份免费的资产负债表报告,更全面地了解Bath & Body Works的财务状况。
那股息呢?
重要的是要考虑任何给定股票的股东总回报率和股价回报率。尽管股价回报率仅反映股价的变化,但股东总回报率包括股息的价值(假设已进行再投资)以及任何折扣融资或分拆的收益。因此,对于支付丰厚股息的公司来说,股东总回报率通常远高于股价回报率。我们注意到,Bath & Body Works在过去5年的股东总回报率为131%,好于上述股价回报率。这在很大程度上是其股息支付的结果!
不同的视角
Bath & Body Works的股东在年内获得了4.6%的总回报。但是这种回报不及市场。如果我们回顾五年,回报率甚至更高,五年内每年为18%。尽管股价上涨放缓,但该业务很有可能继续表现出色。我发现将长期股价视为业务绩效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正获得见解,我们还需要考虑其他信息。比如风险。每家公司都有它们,我们发现了 Bath & Body Works 的 3 个警告标志(其中 1 个令人担忧!)你应该知道。