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We Think You Can Look Beyond Thelloy Development Group's (HKG:1546) Lackluster Earnings

We Think You Can Look Beyond Thelloy Development Group's (HKG:1546) Lackluster Earnings

我们认为你可以将目光投向Thelloy Development Group (HKG: 1546) 乏善可陈的收益之外
Simply Wall St ·  2023/12/17 19:18

Soft earnings didn't appear to concern Thelloy Development Group Limited's (HKG:1546) shareholders over the last week. Our analysis suggests that while the profits are soft, the foundations of the business are strong.

上周,疲软的收益似乎并未引起泰洛伊发展集团有限公司(HKG: 1546)股东的担忧。我们的分析表明,尽管利润疲软,但业务基础坚实。

See our latest analysis for Thelloy Development Group

查看我们对Thelloy开发集团的最新分析

earnings-and-revenue-history
SEHK:1546 Earnings and Revenue History December 18th 2023
香港交易所:1546 收益和收入记录 2023 年 12 月 18 日

Zooming In On Thelloy Development Group's Earnings

放大Thelloy Development Group的收益

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

在高级财务中,用于衡量公司将报告的利润转换为自由现金流(FCF)的关键比率是应计比率(来自现金流)。应计比率从给定时期的利润中减去FCF,然后将结果除以该时间内公司的平均运营资产。你可以将现金流的应计比率视为 “非FCF利润率”。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

这意味着负应计比率是一件好事,因为它表明该公司带来的自由现金流比其利润所暗示的要多。虽然正应计比率表明非现金利润达到一定水平不是问题,但高应计比率可以说是一件坏事,因为它表明纸面利润与现金流不匹配。这是因为一些学术研究表明,高应计率往往会导致利润下降或利润增长减弱。

For the year to September 2023, Thelloy Development Group had an accrual ratio of -0.12. That implies it has good cash conversion, and implies that its free cash flow solidly exceeded its profit last year. In fact, it had free cash flow of HK$33m in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of HK$10.4m. Given that Thelloy Development Group had negative free cash flow in the prior corresponding period, the trailing twelve month resul of HK$33m would seem to be a step in the right direction.

在截至2023年9月的一年中,泰洛伊开发集团的应计比率为-0.12。这意味着它的现金转换率良好,也意味着其自由现金流稳步超过了去年的利润。实际上,它去年的自由现金流为3,300万港元,远远超过其1,040万港元的法定利润。鉴于Thelloy Development Group在前一个同期的自由现金流为负数,过去十二个月的业绩为3,300万港元,似乎是朝着正确方向迈出的一步。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Thelloy Development Group.

注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处查看我们对Thelloy Development Group的资产负债表分析。

Our Take On Thelloy Development Group's Profit Performance

我们对Thelloy开发集团利润表现的看法

Thelloy Development Group's accrual ratio is solid, and indicates strong free cash flow, as we discussed, above. Because of this, we think Thelloy Development Group's earnings potential is at least as good as it seems, and maybe even better! Better yet, its EPS are growing strongly, which is nice to see. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Thelloy Development Group (of which 2 are significant!) you should know about.

如上所述,Thelloy Development Group的应计比率稳健,表明自由现金流强劲。因此,我们认为Thelloy Development Group的盈利潜力至少和看起来一样好,甚至可能更好!更好的是,其每股收益强劲增长,很高兴看到。本文的目的是评估我们可以多大程度地依靠法定收益来反映公司的潜力,但还有很多需要考虑的地方。有鉴于此,如果你想对公司进行更多分析,了解所涉及的风险至关重要。每家公司都有风险,我们发现了Thelloy Development Group的4个警告信号(其中2个很重要!)你应该知道。

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Thelloy Development Group's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

本说明仅研究了揭示Thelloy Development Group利润性质的单一因素。但是,如果你能够将注意力集中在细节上,总会有更多值得发现的地方。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率表明商业经济状况良好,而另一些人则喜欢 “追随资金”,寻找内部人士正在购买的股票。因此,你可能希望看到这批拥有高股本回报率的免费公司,或者这份内部人士正在购买的股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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