Digital Domain Holdings Limited (HKG:547) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 56% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 14% in the last twelve months.
Even after such a large jump in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Digital Domain Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.1x is worth a mention when the median P/S in Hong Kong's Entertainment industry is similar at about 1.7x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
See our latest analysis for Digital Domain Holdings
How Has Digital Domain Holdings Performed Recently?
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Digital Domain Holdings over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps investors believe the recent revenue performance is enough to keep in line with the industry, which is keeping the P/S from dropping off. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Digital Domain Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?
Digital Domain Holdings' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 4.5%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by an impressive 49% in total over the last three years. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.
Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 46% shows it's noticeably less attractive.
In light of this, it's curious that Digital Domain Holdings' P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.
What Does Digital Domain Holdings' P/S Mean For Investors?
Its shares have lifted substantially and now Digital Domain Holdings' P/S is back within range of the industry median. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
We've established that Digital Domain Holdings' average P/S is a bit surprising since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, the probability of a share price decline will become quite substantial, placing shareholders at risk.
Having said that, be aware Digital Domain Holdings is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those is concerning.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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