Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Newlink Technology Inc. (HKG:9600) share price has dived 31% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 71% loss during that time.
Even after such a large drop in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Newlink Technology's P/S ratio of 1.4x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the IT industry in Hong Kong is also close to 1.2x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
Check out our latest analysis for Newlink Technology
How Newlink Technology Has Been Performing
Newlink Technology has been doing a decent job lately as it's been growing revenue at a reasonable pace. Perhaps the expectation moving forward is that the revenue growth will track in line with the wider industry for the near term, which has kept the P/S subdued. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Newlink Technology, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
How Is Newlink Technology's Revenue Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Newlink Technology's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 3.2% last year. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see revenue up by 73% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenues over that time.
Comparing that recent medium-term revenue trajectory with the industry's one-year growth forecast of 11% shows it's noticeably more attractive.
With this information, we find it interesting that Newlink Technology is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance is at its limits and have been accepting lower selling prices.
What Does Newlink Technology's P/S Mean For Investors?
With its share price dropping off a cliff, the P/S for Newlink Technology looks to be in line with the rest of the IT industry. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Newlink Technology currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider industry forecast. When we see strong revenue with faster-than-industry growth, we can only assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/S ratio. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued if recent medium-term revenue trends continue, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 4 warning signs with Newlink Technology (at least 3 which are concerning), and understanding these should be part of your investment process.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Newlink Technology, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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