Foot Locker, Inc. (NYSE:FL) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 37% gain in the last month alone. But the gains over the last month weren't enough to make shareholders whole, as the share price is still down 9.9% in the last twelve months.
Although its price has surged higher, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Foot Locker's P/S ratio of 0.4x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Specialty Retail industry in the United States is about the same. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
See our latest analysis for Foot Locker
NYSE:FL Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 18th 2023
What Does Foot Locker's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Foot Locker hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. It might be that many expect the dour revenue performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/S from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Foot Locker.
Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Foot Locker?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Foot Locker's to be considered reasonable.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 7.4%. Regardless, revenue has managed to lift by a handy 7.1% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 1.9% each year during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 6.9% per annum, which is noticeably more attractive.
With this information, we find it interesting that Foot Locker is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
The Bottom Line On Foot Locker's P/S
Foot Locker's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
Given that Foot Locker's revenue growth projections are relatively subdued in comparison to the wider industry, it comes as a surprise to see it trading at its current P/S ratio. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Circumstances like this present a risk to current and prospective investors who may see share prices fall if the low revenue growth impacts the sentiment.
You always need to take note of risks, for example - Foot Locker has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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