Kinetic Development Group Limited (HKG:1277) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 26% after a shaky period beforehand. Longer-term shareholders would be thankful for the recovery in the share price since it's now virtually flat for the year after the recent bounce.
Although its price has surged higher, Kinetic Development Group's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 2.4x might still make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in Hong Kong, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 10x and even P/E's above 19x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.
For instance, Kinetic Development Group's receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the disappointing earnings performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Check out our latest analysis for Kinetic Development Group
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Kinetic Development Group, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Is There Any Growth For Kinetic Development Group?
Kinetic Development Group's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling earnings, and importantly, perform much worse than the market.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 36%. Even so, admirably EPS has lifted 133% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.
Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 23% shows it's noticeably more attractive on an annualised basis.
In light of this, it's peculiar that Kinetic Development Group's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance has exceeded its limits and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.
What We Can Learn From Kinetic Development Group's P/E?
Kinetic Development Group's recent share price jump still sees its P/E sitting firmly flat on the ground. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Our examination of Kinetic Development Group revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't contributing to its P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current market expectations. When we see strong earnings with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. It appears many are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions would normally provide a boost to the share price.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Kinetic Development Group, and understanding should be part of your investment process.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Kinetic Development Group Limited(HKG:1277)的股票经历了非常令人印象深刻的一个月,在经历了动荡时期之后上涨了26%。长期股东会感谢股价的回升,因为在最近的反弹之后的一年中,股价几乎持平。
尽管其价格飙升,但与香港市场相比,Kinetic Development Group的2.4倍市盈率(或 “市盈率”)仍可能使其目前看起来像是一个强劲的买盘。在香港市场,大约有一半的公司的市盈率超过10倍,甚至市盈率也高于19倍也很常见。尽管如此,我们需要进行更深入的研究,以确定大幅降低市盈率是否有合理的基础。
例如,Kinetic Development Group最近收益的下降必须值得深思。许多人可能预计令人失望的收益表现会持续或加速,这抑制了市盈率。如果你喜欢这家公司,你会希望情况并非如此,这样你就有可能在股票失宠的时候买入一些股票。
查看我们对 Kinetic 开发组的最新分析
尽管没有分析师对Kinetic Development Group的估计,但请看一下这个数据丰富的免费可视化,看看该公司的收益、收入和现金流是如何积累的。
Kinetic 开发集团有增长吗?
Kinetic Development Group的市盈率对于预计增长非常不佳甚至收益下降的公司来说是典型的,更重要的是,其表现要比市场差得多。
有鉴于此,奇怪的是,Kinetic Development Group的市盈率低于大多数其他公司。显然,一些股东认为最近的表现已经超出了极限,并且一直在接受大幅降低的销售价格。
我们可以从动能开发集团的市盈率中学到什么?
Kinetic Development Group最近的股价上涨仍使其市盈率保持稳定。通常,我们倾向于将市盈率的使用限制在确定市场对公司整体健康状况的看法上。
我们对Kinetic Development Group的审查显示,鉴于这些趋势看起来好于当前的市场预期,其三年收益趋势对其市盈率的贡献没有我们预期的那么大。当我们看到强劲的收益和快于市场的增长时,我们认为潜在风险可能会给市盈率带来巨大压力。看来许多人确实在预期收益不稳定,因为最近的这些中期条件的持续存在通常会提振股价。
始终有必要考虑永远存在的投资风险幽灵。我们已经向Kinetic Development Group发现了一个警告信号,理解应该成为您的投资过程的一部分。