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- 新华人寿保险股份有限公司(SHSE: 601336)的风险可能比看起来更大
New China Life Insurance Company Ltd. (SHSE:601336) Could Be Riskier Than It Looks
New China Life Insurance Company Ltd. (SHSE:601336) Could Be Riskier Than It Looks
When close to half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 35x, you may consider New China Life Insurance Company Ltd. (SHSE:601336) as a highly attractive investment with its 11.5x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.
New China Life Insurance has been struggling lately as its earnings have declined faster than most other companies. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to improve at all. If you still like the company, you'd want its earnings trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. Or at the very least, you'd be hoping the earnings slide doesn't get any worse if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Check out our latest analysis for New China Life Insurance

How Is New China Life Insurance's Growth Trending?
New China Life Insurance's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling earnings, and importantly, perform much worse than the market.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 44%. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 36% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 21% per annum as estimated by the analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 22% per year, which is not materially different.
In light of this, it's peculiar that New China Life Insurance's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.
The Key Takeaway
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that New China Life Insurance currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is in line with the wider market. When we see an average earnings outlook with market-like growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/E ratio. It appears some are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide more support to the share price.
Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with New China Life Insurance.
If you're unsure about the strength of New China Life Insurance's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
当中国近一半的公司的市盈率(或 “市盈率”)超过35倍时,您可以将新华人寿保险股份有限公司(SHSE: 601336)视为具有11.5倍市盈率的极具吸引力的投资。尽管如此,我们需要更深入地挖掘才能确定大幅降低市盈率是否有合理的基础。
新华人寿最近一直处于困境,因为其收益下降速度快于大多数其他公司。市盈率可能很低,因为投资者认为这种糟糕的收益表现根本不会改善。如果你仍然喜欢这家公司,你希望在做出任何决定之前扭转其盈利轨迹。或者至少,如果你计划在失宠的时候买入一些股票,你希望收益下滑不会变得更糟。
查看我们对新中国人寿保险的最新分析

新华人寿保险的增长趋势如何?
对于一家预计增长非常糟糕甚至收益下降的公司来说,新的中国人寿的市盈率将是典型的,更重要的是,其表现要比市场差得多。
如果我们回顾一下去年的收益,令人沮丧的是,该公司的利润下降至44%。结果,三年前的收益总体上也下降了36%。因此,不幸的是,我们必须承认,在此期间,该公司在增加收益方面做得并不出色。
谈到前景,根据关注该公司的分析师的估计,未来三年将实现每年21%的增长。同时,预计其他市场每年将增长22%,这没有实质性区别。
有鉴于此,奇怪的是,新华人寿的市盈率低于大多数其他公司。显然,一些股东对预测持怀疑态度,并一直在接受较低的销售价格。
关键要点
通常,我们倾向于将市盈率的使用限制在确定市场对公司整体健康状况的看法上。
我们已经确定,新华人寿目前的市盈率低于预期,因为其预测增长与整个市场一致。当我们看到具有类似市场增长的平均收益前景时,我们假设潜在风险可能会给市盈率带来压力。看来有些人确实在预期收益不稳定,因为这些条件通常应该为股价提供更多支撑。
另外,您还应该了解我们在新华人寿保险中发现的这三个警告信号。
如果你不确定新华人寿的业务实力,为什么不浏览我们为你可能错过的其他公司提供的具有稳健业务基础的股票互动清单。
对这篇文章有反馈吗?对内容感到担忧?直接联系我们。 或者,给编辑团队 (at) simplywallst.com 发送电子邮件。
Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。
moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融信息和交易应用程序。
在美国,moomoo上的投资产品和服务由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管的持牌主体。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融业监管局(FINRA)和证券投资者保护公司(SIPC)的成员。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Australia Limited提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
在加拿大,通过moomoo应用提供的仅限订单执行的券商服务由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,并受加拿大投资监管机构(CIRO)监管。
在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd., Moomoo Securities Australia Limited, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.,和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd.是关联公司。
风险及免责提示
moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融信息和交易应用程序。
在美国,moomoo上的投资产品和服务由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管的持牌主体。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融业监管局(FINRA)和证券投资者保护公司(SIPC)的成员。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Australia Limited提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
在加拿大,通过moomoo应用提供的仅限订单执行的券商服务由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,并受加拿大投资监管机构(CIRO)监管。
在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd., Moomoo Securities Australia Limited, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.,和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd.是关联公司。
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